Energy Realities #97 – SPIRIT COOKER – Filmed Live On YouTube on February 5, 2024

Energy News Beat

ENERGY REALITIES EPISODE #97 – SPIRIT COOKER

Highlights of the podcast:

00:34 – Spirit Cooker
03:28 – The consequence of growth of EVs.
07:05 – Problems with electric cars
09:56 – Some countries are defining EVs as the only car types and their territories
14:19 – Biden’s LNG decision is a win for Political symbolism, not the climate.
16:49 – The United States LNG industry
18:51 – The E-mail Scandal
21:13 –  Volvo had cut off all funding for its electric vehicles production
23:12 – Heavy machinery for farming purposes runs on diesel.
24:33 – About green hydrogen
26:31 – The European solar industry is in a state of massive crisis
32:24 – The EVs that are being ripped apart for their copper.
34:08 – The West has put so much of its political capital into the idea of electric vehicles.
36:41 -The lithium in Chile
42:23 – Oil firms forced to consider full climate effects of new drilling, following landmark Norwegian court ruling.
46:05 – Coal fired capacity
48:26 – Sales in the US of EVS

 

 

The Podcast Hosts for The Energy Transition

Armondo Cavanha LinkedIn:
Irina Slav, Energy Writer LinkedIn:
David Blackmon, Consultant, Writer, speaker, podcaster, miner of absurdities LinkedIn:Tammy Nemeth, Energy Consulting Specialists LinkedIn: Stu Turley, CEO, Podcast Host, Legend in his own mind LinkedIn: 

Blubrry Podcast:

 

 

ENERGY REALITIES EPISODE #97 – SPIRIT COOKER

 

Armando Cavanha [00:00:03] Energy Realities 97 spirit cooker. We are live on YouTube, LinkedIn and Twitter. Good morning. Good afternoon to all.

Irina Slav [00:00:13] Good morning.

David Blackmon [00:00:14] Hello.

Tammy Nemeth [00:00:15] Hello, everybody.

Armando Cavanha [00:00:17] David, please let me start with you, Spirit Cooker. but

David Blackmon [00:00:21]  sure, put me on.

Armando Cavanha [00:00:22] Expectation of this expression. Sorry.

David Blackmon [00:00:26] Put me on the spot. Here we go. Let’s let’s explain this.

Armando Cavanha [00:00:29] Yes, please.

Irina Slav [00:00:31] Please.

Armando Cavanha [00:00:32] Please go ahead.

David Blackmon [00:00:33] Well,  spirit cooker. So, last week, we got the big news that, the replacement for John Kerry as the white House climate envoy. Excuse me. Forgotten the term, will be none other than long time Democratic Party activists. John Podesta, who, unfortunately for America, shows up with a significant role in every Democratic administration for the last 30 years. Mr. Podesta, the whole spirit cooker thing, as Mr. Podesta famously, I don’t know if he’s if she’s still his girlfriend, but he had a girlfriend, several years back when all his emails leaked and created such a problem for the Hillary Clinton campaign in 2016, who was, in fact, a witch who engages in spirit cooking practice, which is a form of devil worshiping. And, and so. He got.

Irina Slav [00:01:37] I’m sorry, what.

David Blackmon [00:01:38] He did with that associate said, oh, yes, this is all well documented fact. And and Mr. Podesta, thanks to photos taken in his residence that have been leaked online, has a very large collection of, satanic, works of art, in his home. And, so he, he is, well associated with that facet of our society. This is who our new, climate envoy who will be traveling the world on private jets, just like John Kerry did to, make speeches at climate conferences, like, I guess Cop 29. And if Biden gets reelected, then, you know, the World Economic Forum, confab in Davos each year. And I think that’s perfectly appropriate. But, quite honestly, in fact, I predicted the day Carey announced he was resigning in mid-January that John Podesta would be his replacement. It’s, it’s he’s actually the perfect representative for this administration.

Armando Cavanha [00:02:43] Yeah. But, the other interpretation for this expression. spirit cooker.

David Blackmon [00:02:48] Spirit cooker. Well, I don’t know, maybe that’s proper. I haven’t bothered to, go out to Wikipedia and see. I’m sure Wikipedia has a very long and detailed page of the, but.

Armando Cavanha [00:03:00] The the great  yeah, sure, sure. Stuart. Please.

Stuart Turley [00:03:05] I got an easy one. For any man that gets married. Their spirit is cooked as soon as they’re married. Sorry.

David Blackmon [00:03:15] That is

Irina Slav [00:03:17] Roles, right?

Armando Cavanha [00:03:19] Okay. Tammy, please. Apparently, EVs, bring some symptoms to the society. What do you see? The tandem consequence of growth of EVs.

Tammy Nemeth [00:03:33] Well, we we saw a few headlines, which I’m sure we’ll be talking about a little bit later, about the unintended consequences of electric vehicles. But first of all, is that the weight of the vehicles are so huge that it makes it difficult for safety issues with respect to guardrails, which I will be talking about. And, and not just the weight for, for things like that, but for roads and the wear and the, the tires. And then we’ve got the unintended consequences of the materials that, are comprised in the, in the EV. So they use a lot of copper. There’s a lot of copper in their charging stations. And on the West Coast there’s been gangs of thieves going around, cracking open the Chargers and stripping out the copper. And what’s really fascinating is that the copper, is then taken to a metal recycler. It’s recycled. It’s sent back to China, where it’s put into a new charger and then sent back to to California or wherever, where it’s then stolen again, and the cycle repeats itself. So what is the economy? It’s a circular economy, for sure, but but it’s one of these unintended consequences where it increases crime. You know, if you think about it, that. Or because these thieves are going around and stealing the copper. Now, of course, there was lots of other crime going on with with SUVs. And before it was Mercedes, with the little logo on the front and people were stealing things and so on. And there’s obviously normal car thefts, but I think one of the unintended consequences is this, because there is such a, a reliance on these minerals and materials that are worth quite a lot right now that people, some people, choose to embark upon a life of crime in order to, have a benefit from from those things.

David Blackmon [00:05:40] Hey Tammy. You know, the good part, though, is if they just limit their thievery, to the state of California and limit their individual thefts to no more than $995 worth of copper, then they won’t be prosecuted for it. You know, I mean, so, you know, that’s the key to that whole scam is just do it in California and be careful exactly how much you steal on each occasion. And you can just keep doing it forever.

Armando Cavanha [00:06:07] Up to $1,000.

Tammy Nemeth [00:06:10] Up to. 1,000. Yeah.

Stuart Turley [00:06:11] Just under this, with this, the new pricing, that’s as far as you can steal. Then David, is the size of this pen I’m holding.

Armando Cavanha [00:06:19] Oh my God. Impressive, Irina. Oh, we know that you are an expert in planning. And, what if planners what if you planners do most these days? Number one, promote research, science and education. Number two, provide subsidies. And I see that this.

Irina Slav [00:06:46] Is the latter. I’m afraid, I don’t think that there’s been a whole lot of planning from what we have been hearing and reading lately about EVs, what Tammy said. And she’ll talk about it more later when we get to the headlines. But it seems to me that with all these problems with electric cars popping up every day, it seems really reports of problems with EVs have increased substantially in the past couple of months or so. And winter is one reason, because turns out, EVs do not perform as well as they should in winter, and people are suddenly surprised, even though people, other people have been warning about it. Now we have revelations about the wear and tear of tires on on roads, because EVs are so much heavier and their tires wear out more quickly. And this particle emissions from these tires. And the guardrails problem and the destruction of roads because of their weight. And let me tell you that I know exactly how road destruction looks, when you suddenly increase traffic on a stretch of road. Because we recently had such a case on the road that passes via a village that leads into town. I don’t know if you remember, there was some protests from the coal power plants. And protesters closed off the highway, so traffic had to be redirected. Well, not two lane road.  and we’re having a massive increase in potholes.

Armando Cavanha [00:08:30] Yeah.

Irina Slav [00:08:31] Because of that sudden increase in traffic, including by trucks. So imagine millions of heavy of thems, EVs, going on roads. There will be road destruction. And on and on and on. It seems that the planners of the evil revolution that continues to be just about to take off, but is not taking off, did not plan for any of these things. Not that they were secrets or, you know, discoveries to be made. All of these things should be calculated in advance. They just they just. I think they just said we’ll just spend some money on chargers and on subsidies, and we’ll just ban other cars. Job done.

Tammy Nemeth [00:09:21] And it will happen and it will happen.

Irina Slav [00:09:23] It will, it will happen. Yeah. People will want to buy them. Oh, yeah. Incidentally, the insurance rates are through the roof, EVs. And nobody wants to buy a secondhand EV.

Armando Cavanha [00:09:35] Yeah.

David Blackmon [00:09:36] It’s all working out. Just just fine.

Irina Slav [00:09:38] Yeah, yeah, yeah. Totally fine.

Armando Cavanha [00:09:42]  Great to, conclude this first.

Irina Slav [00:09:45] Good talk to you too.

David Blackmon [00:09:46] Hello, Patrick. Good to see you.

Armando Cavanha [00:09:48] Hello. Let’s see it. Stuart, before we go to the headlines, I would like to ask you the following. Some countries are defining EVs as the only car types and their territories. For instance, I have, example here. My question for you, before we go to the headlines, Stuart, is the U.S. ready to do the same?

Stuart Turley [00:10:15] Excuse me while I get airsick. I’m going to get my airsick bag and just come over here and and then throw up. I’ll be right back in just a second. No, this is terrible. There. There’s only two reasons people are doing this. And I want to ask a question of our live listeners out there over Christmas. Did anybody else besides me have a family fight with somebody that is a, electric car, renewable zealot? When I told them that they were an idiot and and the family Christmas was ruined at that particular moment. I just said you’re you’re an idiot. Okay. So when we take a look at the EV, why did Ford cut it out? So Biden’s in, enrichment. Excuse me? Backing the unions and going out there. And then the unions are all losing their jobs because the American people are waking up, and, Irina. It’s also tied in Tammy. It’s tied to the farmers. There is a great awakening going on when we’re tired of having these green New Deal shoved up our nose in it. I that’s why I said no. And so I didn’t want this to turn into a family gathering where you guys ostracized me. And so, and so when we sit back. Armando, what a great question. Because, when you look at Toyota, Toyota is going nuts with their, hybrids. I, Rina, and I have talked about hybrids for a long time. I’m in on a hybrid. Let me have my. Yeah, yeah, I am. Give me a hybrid. I’m all in, but I gotta have a 350 pickup to tow. You know, everything I need. So I’m going to have a hybrid in my 350 Ford pickup just because I can. Anyway, there’s a great awakening, Armando. And a quick, quick answer. I also do not want to be driving down the road like that guy I saw on Twitter or X with a Apple headset on, playing, driving a cyber truck going, okay, he’s letting the truck drive with an Apple headset on. I’m sorry, I that’s worse than my wife putting makeup on. Sorry.

Armando Cavanha [00:12:51] Yeah. That’s great.

Tammy Nemeth [00:12:52] I’m waiting for there to be a hybrid tractor because with respect to farming, they keep telling. Like, what I hear in Canada is that you can use these electric tractors, and they are writing these stories about somebody with a little hobby farm, has an electric tractor, and he gets all of two hours of work out of it, and then he’s got to recharge for ten hours or some ridiculous thing. How does that work for like seeding, where you got to get the crop in and harvesting when you got to get it off before weather changes, but you have to wait for charging. And how is that going? How are you going to get the tractor back to your yard? And so is there going to be a hybrid tractor? That’s what I would like to know. Is there research going on.

Stuart Turley [00:13:34] Oh but it can’t work in in Washington state because David, didn’t Washington State just ban all outdoor, blower leaf blowers, lawn mowers? Tractor.

David Blackmon [00:13:47] Wow. Yeah, well, that doesn’t surprise me. That’s the California move. And it’s the West Coast, so that’s why I don’t doubt that at all.

Armando Cavanha [00:13:55] Okay. Okay. Let’s start going to. David, please, your headlines, the first one.

David Blackmon [00:14:03] Well, I picked this one. I have to admit, it’s it’s purely self-centered because I read this editorial in the Washington Post last week, written by the left wing zealots on the editorial board at the Washington Post titled, Biden’s LNG decision is a win for Political symbolism, not the climate. And I read that, and I just marveled at the fact that it read just like something I have written. And what I’ve written. They’re making the exact same points against the LNG, permitting delay that I have made and the Telegraph and the the Daily Caller and in Forbes, and at my Substack. And, this is the first time I can remember being in full and complete agreement with the editorial board at the Washington Post, which, frankly, makes me want to rethink exactly my opinion on this decision ought to be because, you know, that’s dangerous territory being. I just thought it was ironic and, that just it just really, I think. Puts puts a kind of a period on. On the fact that or the reality of just how awful and counterproductive that decision by the Biden White House truly is for not not just for the LNG industry, but for the United States as a reliable trading partner. It’s really, just a, sop to the left wing, climate alarmists, funders of Democrat, political campaigns and nothing more than that. And, you know, when you’ve lost the Washington Post editorial board, President Biden, you have lost.

Tammy Nemeth [00:15:47] If I can add there, like within minutes of that part of that decision being made, the environmentalists in Canada were saying, let’s stop LNG in Canada, even though we haven’t even exported anything yet. So it you know, the because I think it’s supposed to come online this later this year or something, the very first one on the West Coast, but they’re like, oh, maybe we should be reconsidering because America is doing this like, oh my gosh, that didn’t take long.

Armando Cavanha [00:16:13] And David, how do you see Europe dependance on this LNG from the US.

David Blackmon [00:16:19] Well, and that’s the nub of the whole thing, right? I mean, Europe, because of, Putin’s war in Ukraine, has, lost access to Russian natural gas on which countries like Germany and some others have become so reliant. And, their alternative was to go to the LNG markets and, and rapidly build out their own import capacity and re gas capacity for LNG. And, they become, highly dependent on the United States LNG industry for their economic, you know, growth there and in Europe, many of those countries. And so, you know, you have the United States, which has historically, really outpaced most of the rest of the world in terms of, having a predictable, regulatory legal structure and predictable enforcement of the laws and regulations, on the books and investors from all over the world and trading partners from all over the world have invested trillions of dollars over the year in the United States and its economy, based on that faith of the predictability and consistency of the laws and regulations and the faith that they know the government is going to enforce those laws and regulations in an even handed way. This decision is just like the the day one decision by President Biden to cancel the Keystone XL pipeline. Yet if there’s severe damage to both of those concepts and is going to have the impact inevitably, loss of trading partners, loss of billions of. For dollars in investments in the U.S. economy and a destruction of the United States reputation as a reliable trading partner. And those things are terrible for the country. And, you know, the people in the Biden administration have to be fully aware of it.

Tammy Nemeth [00:18:24] So Patricks

David Blackmon [00:18:26] Yeah. Go ahead Tammy.

Tammy Nemeth [00:18:27] No. Go ahead David.

David Blackmon [00:18:30] LNG is a pole to keep Europe’s tent erected until they sort out a plan to move ahead with renewables. Yeah. Well, and that could be forever.

Irina Slav [00:18:40] Probably will be.

David Blackmon [00:18:42] You know, I mean, all of our lifetimes anyway.

Armando Cavanha [00:18:48] David, your second, headlines, please.

David Blackmon [00:18:51] Biden taps Podesta. Yeah, we talked about that earlier. The second part of that headline is, is really interesting. And I touched on it. We did go, but didn’t really go into detail. People will remember the email scandal, Hillary Clinton’s email server that was kept on the.

Armando Cavanha [00:19:10] private computer.

David Blackmon [00:19:11] Right. It’s, kept, the server was in the bathroom, actually, of, of a third party server company in Colorado Springs, Colorado, I think. And it caused a real scandal in the midst of the presidential campaign in 2016. Well, the emails that leaked publicly were John Podesta’s from John Podesta’s account, and he and Hillary Clinton had traded thousands, literally thousands of emails while she was secretary of state in the Obama administration. And a lot of those communications showed a great deal of coordination in the, in, the project during the Obama years. And it ended up selling 20% of United States uranium reserves to Russia. Okay. Russia, which the Democratic Party wants you to believe is the sworn enemy of the United States and the biggest danger to our society. And, so I you know, that’s kind of ironic, too, is Podesta is one of these, Washington, DC creatures, who, despite being embroiled in a series of scandals, really over the past 30 years, always manages to fail upwards. You know, he’ll get involved in a scandal, he’ll lose the current job he’s got in. 2 or 3 years later, he reappears in a in a different Democratic administration at a higher level job. And, you know, so here he is now. He’s are unelected, unconfirmed by the Senate climate envoy.

Tammy Nemeth [00:20:42] Yeah.

Armando Cavanha [00:20:45] Perfect. Because David anniversary this week, he has a chance to have to have three headlines.

David Blackmon [00:20:54] Was this mine?

Armando Cavanha [00:20:56] Yeah.

David Blackmon [00:20:57] So, Volvo. Yeah. Yeah. Volvo cut off funding. Well, I was on a radio. I do a Monday afternoon radio program, and, the host kind of caught me off, off guard last week, with this story. And, he had kind of misread the story, saying that Volvo had cut off all funding for its electric vehicles production. What it really cut off funding for was for Polestar, a third party joint venture that it was involved in with a Chinese EV maker for the last, what, 28 years? Polestar was created in 1996. It was one of the very earliest, pure electric vehicle companies, that went into business eight years before Tesla did. And has been yeah, really not much of a success, and has never really made any money. And finally, I guess, Volvo ended up getting some of its management ended up getting so much pressure from its investors. They finally decided to abandon Polestar, the Chinese company whose name I’m going to forget here, will now become the 100% owner of Polestar Star. So, you know, I mean, if you buy a Polestar, just recognize you’re supporting now the Chinese Communist Party.

Tammy Nemeth [00:22:18] Yeah.

David Blackmon [00:22:20] They’re cool looking cars, though, just like all the EVs. They’re always cool looking. So you got that going for you. In Arizona, driverless car companies submitted applications for permits for them to operate on freeways. Yeah, I know wrong with that.

Tammy Nemeth [00:22:35] No, no.

Armando Cavanha [00:22:36] That’s great. Okay. Irina our, our planning expert. Please go ahead.

Irina Slav [00:22:47] Could I just please, first, there’s a question from, from a listener.

Armando Cavanha [00:22:51] Sure, sure.

Irina Slav [00:22:53] Well, LinkedIn user, I don’t know if I could. Thank you. So the question is, do the farmers in Europe even have a farm in your choice where they aren’t taxed as much as those mobile use diesel, which I imagine is that’s through the nose in the EU. Like gasoline. I don’t know if they have a choice. I have heard that, heavy machinery for farming purposes runs on diesel. So they have to, to to buy diesel to, run their machines. Well, the protests are about ostensibly is planned by some European governments. France, notably. And Germany notably to cut and eventually phase out the subsidies that they provide, farmers with for their diesel fuel. This diesel for farmers is subsidized, and they want to reduce the subsidies and eventually phase them out because, you know, the Green New Deal and let’s go, all electric, even in farming. So yes, I don’t know about Joyce, but I don’t think they have a choice. They have subsidized diesel and they are afraid they’re going to lose it, which is why they are. Protesting because they won’t survive. It’s as simple as that. Supermarkets are buying cheap and selling expensive, and farmers are on the brink of survival, thanks in no small part to the European Union’s green policies. Yeah, I hope that answers the question. I don’t know what regenerative braking would be, but I’m willing to agree. I think Mihai knows what he’s talking about. So about green hydrogen. My favorite fuel cell. So green hydrogen is the only viable route for aviation and shipping. It’s a smashing headline, because you can just visualize all the ships and airplanes running on green hydrogen, which is not exactly what the author is saying. He also, by the way, is an advocate for, green hydrogen. But she made some quite, quite rational points, such as the point that green hydrogen is very expensive to produce, and the process of producing it is not very energy efficient, which suggests that production will inevitably be limited for a very long time to come. So her suggestion is that we do not use green hydrogen indiscriminately for every, industrial sector, but rather those sectors that can be electrified should be electrified, and we should reserve what green hydrogen we could produce for the impossible to electrify sectors such as shipping and aviation. As she she. She says that acknowledging the limitations of green hydrogen and acknowledging that the fact that it will be a very long time before we can scale up weight, by we, I mean Europe can scale up hydrogen green hydrogen production to any levels that will be meaningful, you know, to use in any industry. Still, she says that is the only viable route radiation in shipping, which I am not sure is the case, to be honest.

Armando Cavanha [00:26:26] Great. Let’s go to the other one, please. Irina this yours?

Irina Slav [00:26:31] Yes. The European solar industry is in a state of massive crisis. That’s not funny at all, because nobody could have predicted it.

Armando Cavanha [00:26:43] Right.

Irina Slav [00:26:46] Basically, this is the problem. There’s a lot of produce, but unsold, solar panels in Europe. And they have no chance of being sold because they’re a lot more expensive than Chinese panels, which are very competitive in terms of quality and especially in terms of price. And even those are sitting in warehouses because there’s not enough demand for solar panels in Europe right now, but because European manufacturers of solar panels have much, much higher production costs. Their survival is now in question, and the industry is proposing that the European Union sets up a special fund to buy out all these panels that have already been produced. So, you know, to allow the industry to survive, that’s totally not government intervention in an industry to keep it alive artificially. Of course. And yeah, there was a very funny reminder by one of these industry insiders saying that the Chinese are selling below production costs. Yes, they are selling below your production costs because your production cost is very, very high because you’re producing your panels in Europe.

David Blackmon [00:28:13] Isn’t the solution, though, to find a segment of the population that the solar panel manufacturers can enslave for the free, free labor like China?

Irina Slav [00:28:24] No

Armando Cavanha [00:28:24] Oh my God.

Irina Slav [00:28:25] No they will. They still have to pay for the energy they would use in the manufacturing process.

Armando Cavanha [00:28:33] In Brazil, we call this this procedure local content or market protection.

Irina Slav [00:28:38] Yeah yeah.

David Blackmon [00:28:39] Yeah.

Tammy Nemeth [00:28:40] Yeah for sure.

Armando Cavanha [00:28:42] Yeah. Great. Thank. Irina.

Tammy Nemeth [00:28:45] By the Way, the the LinkedIn user is Travis Lynn. So thank you.

Irina Slav [00:28:50] Hi Travis. Thanks for the question. Great question by the way.

Tammy Nemeth [00:28:53] And pseudo scientist has a couple comments here I thought I would just put on David do you want to read those out.

David Blackmon [00:29:01] Buying an EV is backing communism. It kills the West economy. And ultimately China imports 75 to 85% of their oil. They need EVs and want the West to finance its tech.

Tammy Nemeth [00:29:14] Yeah, maybe. But they also want to kind of take over the industry. Right. So if you have, putting out of business the the Western automakers and now there’s all these calls to say, oh, Chinese EVs are really cheap, let’s import them in. And now in the UK, they’re saying, well, this could be a problem because of security issues with respect to all the cameras. And it’s it’s, processing data everywhere it goes and all this kind of thing. So now there’s hesitation to, to, to import the Chinese EVs. And then pseudo scientist also has a comment here about the hydrogen.

David Blackmon [00:29:53] Declare their ships like carriers is the answer. Sure. But then many will convert nuclear powered container ships on to carrier. I’m not sure what that means.

Tammy Nemeth [00:30:03] Can you imagine container ships fueled by

Irina Slav [00:30:06] Powered by Nuclear.

Tammy Nemeth [00:30:07]  I guess it’s better than the wind that they’re trying to go back to.

Irina Slav [00:30:12] Oh, that would with with.

David Blackmon [00:30:15] With the nuclear power on, the container ships be a problem when they’re carrying EVs? That light on fires that you can’t put out?

Tammy Nemeth [00:30:24] I know I was thinking about that, you know. My gosh.

David Blackmon [00:30:27] I’m not sure that be a hazard.

Irina Slav [00:30:29] It has to be set of goods, very, very guardrails.

David Blackmon [00:30:33] I doubt the whole that’s.

Irina Slav [00:30:34] Not going to be expensive at all.

Stuart Turley [00:30:36] What about a hydrogen carrier that blows up like the Hindenburg in Texas? We call that blowed up

Tammy Nemeth [00:30:46] That would be bad. And then Patrick has a couple of questions here about uranium.

David Blackmon [00:30:53] How much of the uranium made it to around the U.S, uranium that we sold to the Russians. I assume that Hillary Clinton, facilitated that deal. You know, I don’t know. I think that’s a good question. Somebody ought to it.

Tammy Nemeth [00:31:09] Yeah, it’s true. They do. It does have chemical markers.

Stuart Turley [00:31:11] Well, considering, Patrick, great question. I think with the billions of dollars that the US administration has allowed, Iran, was it 80 billion? Tammy, you talked about, I think with, it used to be 40, 400,000 barrels per day when President Trump was in office. They’re up to, I think, 3.5 million, 3.4 million barrels per day because the sanctions don’t work as intended, as Irina says, which I love that phrase. They never work as intended. And I have a t shirt here with that. And, so, I think it’s pretty funny that, you have if they, they could afford the, the uranium if they did. Patrick. How’s that for an answer?

Armando Cavanha [00:32:07] Yeah. Tammy please go ahead with our first headline.

Tammy Nemeth [00:32:12] Okay. So this is what I was talking about before, but one of these unintended consequences that there’s this increase in green crime. And I forgot to mention that it’s not just the EV chargers and the EVs that are being ripped apart for their copper. It’s also wind turbines in remote locations where they go up there and they break into the they sell or whatever and strip out the copper. And they also do it to the solar panels and the cables that go to the, to the solar arrays. So, yeah, copper theft is a big deal now because the price of copper has gone up so high. And there there is a bit of a growing shortage, or at least projection of shortages for copper, for the, energy transition, the forced transition. Yeah

Armando Cavanha [00:33:01]  they do they cut the lines and and bring the material.

Irina Slav [00:33:05] They cut the cables.

Tammy Nemeth [00:33:06] They cut the cables, pull them out, load them onto the truck, take it to the recycling place. And sometimes, like the article suggests, that in some instances they’re swaps for drugs or whatever instead of actual money. So it, you know, in order to keep it sort of under the radar.

Irina Slav [00:33:26] So you pay trucks with copper. It’s amazing.

Stuart Turley [00:33:32]  I have never heard of money laundering buy through drugs. How sad is that? I’ve written.

Tammy Nemeth [00:33:39] Oh, yeah. He’s pretty good. oh. If I can just say I found a stat here, Stu. And, in December 23rd, Iran, its crude oil production was 3.1 million barrels a day.

Stuart Turley [00:33:54] Thank you. I knew I loved you.

Armando Cavanha [00:34:01] Tammy, your second headline, please.

Tammy Nemeth [00:34:05] Well, I mean, the the West is, has put so much of its political capital into the idea of electric vehicles. But the way I see it is they a lot of the policy makers knew it wasn’t going to work. And the whole point is to get people out of their cars. I mean, if you read what they talk about, for example, in the UK absolute Zero plan, which was put forward by the Climate Change Committee, it’s all about very few cars. Whatever cars are out there will be ridesharing like Ubers or whatever. Those will be electric, but the people are supposed to be encouraged to walk. Number one, bike number two, take public transit. Number three. And if you must, call an Uber. So this is the sort of mentality behind a lot of the policies. But. When when the electric car sort of thing starts to fail because it doesn’t work in a cold climate and whatnot. You have to remember what some of the policy proposals out there, what the long term trajectory is, and that’s to get you out of your car.

David Blackmon [00:35:22] That’s and I completely agree with that. I fully endorse Tammy’s comment there.

Armando Cavanha [00:35:28] Yeah. Interesting point.

Tammy Nemeth [00:35:31] So can I add here Mihai has a comment about the hydrogen, irina.

Irina Slav [00:35:36] Right. Looking for clean, clean hydrogen is to replace the huge amounts of hydrogen already used as a chemical. So I agree, mostly producing coal, methane. And these are some huge amounts of hydrogen.

David Blackmon [00:35:50] Well, it’s not green.

Irina Slav [00:35:51] It’s not green. But you have to make the production capacity of green hydrogen like overnight, which is not going to happen. It’s really, really expensive. Still, even in Spain, which has some big plans for green hydrogen, I hear, because it has so much sun. But does it have the water? Is my question.

David Blackmon [00:36:13] Good question

Armando Cavanha [00:36:15]  Good question. Good question. Stuart, before we go to do your headlines, your sent to me, video, please let me share this.

Narrator [00:36:28] Just a positive lithium in the world. The lightweight metal is known as white gold because it’s essential for making rechargeable batteries that power things like computers, mobile phones and electric cars. The lithium here in Chile is locked away in underground salt water or brine. Billions of gallons of pumped to the surface every year, where it is left to evaporate and concentrate. It can take around 18 months for the brine to move through the series of ponds. The concentrated lithium brine is then processed into lithium carbonate, which is then taken to another factory near the coast, where it is purified into battery grade lithium. It can take more than a thousand gallons of brine to produce enough lithium for just one electric car battery.

[00:37:20] Stuart its your.

Stuart Turley [00:37:22] That’s that’s. That’s, that’s a little bit of an eco friendly system when you. I just love the theme. So spirit cooking could also mean that they gotta cook the brine, and then they have all them things down there. So it’s pretty pathetic when when we think about the child abuse, the ecology, ecological disaster. That’s my Oklahoma coming out. And so when you sit back and think about that guys, it’s just disgusting. How much ecological damage is done in the name of greenies?

Irina Slav [00:37:59] Yes.

Stuart Turley [00:38:00] David. I actually love the fact that you got a laugh out of that. I mean.

David Blackmon [00:38:07] You’re right, man. I mean, it’s it’s, you know, cool. But who how many what percentage of the American public do you think is even modestly aware of any of that? 1%? Maybe you’re.

Armando Cavanha [00:38:20] 10%.

David Blackmon [00:38:20] Lucky. I don’t know, 10% are. You know, I would suspect it’s substantially less than 10%.

Stuart Turley [00:38:28] You know, Patrick’s comment, the toxic waste from the lithium process is another issue not receiving attention. But for some of them, that is some of the biggest stuff with the renewables. When you have a, an EV that has the battery. And I know that Irene has talked about this and David and Tammy, you guys and Amanda, it is the you drive it, for 4,000 miles and you have to replace your tire. And then it is the battery that is $20,000 in the car. New car is 20, you know, $30,000. And you try to buy all these used EVs from Hertz that David was talking about. You’re going to have to say, here’s a $30,000 EV. And now you got to put in within a year, the, 30,000 to 40,000, for the battery replacement. But it’s the recycling and the end of life. You can recycle an Ice car and really do quite well on making the money when you munch it up, you know, peel everything out of it. It’s a nice system. There’s nothing that you can do on the solar panels other than ship it to Africa, like the slums that we are in my west and makes me airsick that these things are so toxic. And then a wind farm is, $800,000 just to remove the cement and steel with your carbon heavy at the end of life. And nobody is even paying for that. So that’s ruined the farmlands. My head’s exploding with the recycling thing.

Tammy Nemeth [00:40:13] Well, with the EVs, the batteries. I saw a program where there’s a couple of smaller companies that are trialing different ways in order to recycle the batteries to where they process it and separate it out. And, you know, that’s really energy intensive. Takes a long time. It’s very expensive. So I’m not really sure unless governments force companies to do it and make them pay for it. It’s it’s problematic how you do it. And there is actually a lot of waste, water and, and whatnot out of that as well. So I don’t know. It’s hit and miss. I think they still need to do more research. But this is another thing where it’s putting the cart before the horse. We want to have all this stuff, but the things aren’t there yet to make it so, so yet the governments are still pushing ahead 100%.

David Blackmon [00:41:04] But it’s just around the corner, just

Tammy Nemeth [00:41:06] Just Around the corner.

Irina Slav [00:41:07] So this way it’s easier. They’ve gone so far. They can walk it all back now. well they can but they don’t.

David Blackmon [00:41:14] They can. Yeah. But they’re going.

Tammy Nemeth [00:41:15]  Yeah. But their egos are now wrapped up in that and. Yeah. And reputation

Stuart Turley [00:41:18]  You know well. Oh sorry. sorry I’m sorry I view the market for hydrogen gas is an aerospace space X. There’s absolutely no need for earthlings to force the entire development world to converting to a green, blue, green hydrogen rainbow. That’s I in that, generation when we’re blessed with, boku. Yeah. Thank you. Irina. And, Oklahoma would be bohu, reserves, carbon, natural resources.

David Blackmon [00:41:53] Boku is a Louisiana word.

Stuart Turley [00:41:55] Oh. Thank you. But then I take it from the French.

David Blackmon [00:41:59] Yes.

Tammy Nemeth [00:41:59] Well, sure. Cool.

David Blackmon [00:42:00] Okay, dad. Joe. Sorry.

Tammy Nemeth [00:42:02] Space-x uses methane. All right. Yeah.

David Blackmon [00:42:08] But the other one, the one run by the Amazon guy uses hydrogen.

Tammy Nemeth [00:42:14] Bezos. Okay.

David Blackmon [00:42:15] Bezos. Yeah

Irina Slav [00:42:15] The Amazon.

Tammy Nemeth [00:42:17] Origin.

Armando Cavanha [00:42:18] Amazon guy.

Stuart Turley [00:42:18]  Armando you keep try? Yeah. You keep trying to bring this headline up. Oil firms forced to consider full climate effects of new drilling, following landmark Norwegian court ruling. Holy smokes, Batman. And when we sit back and take a look. Norway is I believe it’s the most used person per capita, of EVs because of their, great hydrogen that they I mean, the, hydro power they sell, they’re blessed with a lot of resources for low cost. And it makes sense in that kind of environment.

David Blackmon [00:42:59] I mean, population.

Irina Slav [00:43:01] Yeah. Tiny population.

Tammy Nemeth [00:43:03] Yeah, yeah.

Stuart Turley [00:43:04] Yeah. And and so, but here’s the it’s the first order, second order and third order magnitude of the, which I think that there is a failure in the, the energy transition, which is not necessarily a transition. And so as the Greens are losing power, you’re going to see more dramatic legal system problems that they’re going to put in it more and more regulatory issues. The legal system has been taken over by the left through the left’s academia world in getting that done. This is a whole systemic thing showing up. How can an oil company be responsible for scope three emissions, as this is leading to, when you’re drilling for oil and natural gas, but you’re going to have to get charged for the scope three emissions that you have no control over because, Britney Spears and the Swifties are flying around on hydrogen that’s made from natural gas is a green. Holy smokes. Thank you.

Irina Slav [00:44:17] What does what does full climate effects mean? Full part, It confuses me.

David Blackmon [00:44:25] It means whatever the spirit is physically.

Tammy Nemeth [00:44:29] Yeah.

Irina Slav [00:44:29] Exactly. How how how could you know what the full climate effects are? They have to be a convenient consultancy to tell you exactly what these. Yes.

Stuart Turley [00:44:39] Exactly.

Tammy Nemeth [00:44:39] Using, using, a forward looking scenario analysis to determine what your full climate effects are. Yeah.

Irina Slav [00:44:46] And it’s in the models.

Tammy Nemeth [00:44:48] Right. And it models and it’s in alignment with the EU. New EU frag rules that come in that are in effect this this year.

Stuart Turley [00:44:58]  I think.

Tammy Nemeth [00:44:59] It’s companies would have to fill this out. Anyway.

Stuart Turley [00:45:02] I think it’s the wealth transfer that they realize the wind farms are failing. The EVs are failing and forgive me from and David’s over there going looking at Stu’s, talking to the WEF they’re calling right now. Schwab is calling me, saying, hey, dude. So, you know, it’s a wealth transfer in the carbon tax, and this is a way to, again, the only way they’re going to keep power is the wealth transfer. Is that a fair statement? Guys are my smoking crack.

Tammy Nemeth [00:45:34] It also puts private companies out of business. So then the only ones left are the state oil firms in developing nations or the Middle East. So

Stuart Turley [00:45:45] What she said.

Armando Cavanha [00:45:45] What what what, Stuart there. Second.

Stuart Turley [00:45:50] Okay, everybody, we were all sitting here talking about second order effects on EVs. And I kind of lost it. On whether David and I were going to go test the EVs, hitting guardrails on that story. But in order to increase, coal fired capacity by 2024 is the in the most in the last years. Tammy is you and I had talked about with a global energy monitoring thing. There are currently 6500, coal fired units. And when we look at under construction, there are 404 coal fired plants. There’s actually more than that. And I think you’re right. I’ve been checking their numbers. And you look at the, the, map on this and it’s, two in, in South Africa, five in South Africa. And then the rest of it is in India, Indonesia, Vietnam and China, Kazakhstan, Romania and Turkey are where the rest of the coal, all those 402 are coming in. It looks like me when I was a teenager with the red dots all over it where they were. You know, my acne was bad. And this looks like acne in this part of the world is just going nuts.

Irina Slav [00:47:14] Yeah, they need cheap energy. That’s the way to get it.

Tammy Nemeth [00:47:18] And their citizens want it and need it, right? Like it’s an election year. So the Modi government is like, well, people want reliable, affordable energy. The best way to do it is coal. Let’s build more coal. And what I find interesting is that I think it was last spring, India came out and said they were going to have a moratorium on new coal permissions. And then in the fall they said, well, I think we need to reconsider that. And then now we have this where they’re going to be approving more six times more than they have in the in the past. How many years? So where are the activists celebrating?

Irina Slav [00:47:57] Yeah. And they’re cutting state support for the transition of state oil. Oil firms too. Yeah. So apparently it can be done. You can. We consider you can change your mind. Look at India.

Tammy Nemeth [00:48:11] That’s right. The people want affordable energy.

Irina Slav [00:48:14] Exactly. And.

Stuart Turley [00:48:16] And food.

David Blackmon [00:48:18] And new.

Armando Cavanha [00:48:22] Let me share with you. oh. Almost 8% of sales in the US of cars. Yeah. In 2023. Our EVs, it’s not a big number. In my opinion, David, you know, in my opinion, work would be much higher this number, but, small.

David Blackmon [00:48:42] Yes, but bigger numbers are just around the corner.

Armando Cavanha [00:48:47] Yeah. You’re right, you’re right.

Tammy Nemeth [00:48:51] What does that include? Does that include the EV sales for for, rental car companies?

Armando Cavanha [00:48:57] Oh, probably. Yes. Yes.

Irina Slav [00:48:59] Oh, it definitely includes, the Chevy Bolt, which was discontinued late in the year.

David Blackmon [00:49:05] Sure.

Tammy Nemeth [00:49:06] Right.

Armando Cavanha [00:49:06] Yeah. So it’s not a big enough, but see, the the opposite vision, from, Mark Mills.

Irina Slav [00:49:13] That’s a very, very good story. I read this earlier.

Armando Cavanha [00:49:16] Yeah, that the brakes.

David Blackmon [00:49:17] Are.

Irina Slav [00:49:18] Very still pretty.

Armando Cavanha [00:49:19] Well, so still dead on arrival. Oh, my God. It’s a very strong statement, though.

Stuart Turley [00:49:26] Yes and

David Blackmon [00:49:27] Correct. And Mark has done a ton of work documenting that, by the way. Yes. You want a real source on the limitations of electric vehicles. Just take a look at what Mark Mills writes about.

Armando Cavanha [00:49:39] Whatever his focus on mining and, very, very important thoughts. Really

Irina Slav [00:49:43] Its great story, very informative.

Stuart Turley [00:49:46] Mark Mills is a cool cat. I’ve been interviewing him twice. And, he is he is a beyond rock star. I believe he’s at the Manhattan Institute. And.

Armando Cavanha [00:49:59] We invite him to come to our podcast.

Stuart Turley [00:50:02] Oh, I.

David Blackmon [00:50:03] Sure, probably do it. Yeah.

Stuart Turley [00:50:05] Absolutely. He is a phenomenal, phenomenal man.

Tammy Nemeth [00:50:09] His knowledge on the whole minerals aspect of the transition is amazing. Really amazing.

Irina Slav [00:50:16] You should have him on the podcast.

Armando Cavanha [00:50:17] So going to the conclusions of people, batteries swapping is taking off in China and probably very soon in the US. I’m not sure they are talking seriously because. You need to go to the gym and to eat spinach to to replace 800kg, battery each day. I cannot understand this guy.

David Blackmon [00:50:47] Yeah, I. Don’t get that at all.

Stuart Turley [00:50:48]  I’m here to pump you up.

Tammy Nemeth [00:50:52] So the idea that you could just swap out your battery so you don’t have to worry about charging seems like a good idea on the surface. But let’s say you’ve bought your car and it’s new, and you go into a place and someone whose car is five years old has swapped out their battery. Now you have that old battery in your new car. I mean, how does that work? Right? But these you go into a slot where it’s only new batteries versus these ones are one year old, two year old, three year old. How does that work? Precisely?

Stuart Turley [00:51:25] I never thought I’d have to practice safe EV. Kind of like college dating. Holy smokes. Sorry.

David Blackmon [00:51:36] China and France have easy graveyards because no one knows for sure. Yeah, and then we’ve got EV graveyards in America, too. They’re just not quite the scale yet. Yet that they are in China. But they will be because because of this exact problem, no one, no one wants to buy the used ones. And no one knows how to safely dispose mainly of the batteries. The rest of the cars, you know, just metal.

Irina Slav [00:52:01] Metals

David Blackmon [00:52:01] Much.

Armando Cavanha [00:52:02] yeah. Another Comment. Oh. Sorry.

Tammy Nemeth [00:52:06] No. Go ahead. I think it was Joanna’s.

Stuart Turley [00:52:10] Joanna.

Armando Cavanha [00:52:11] John.

David Blackmon [00:52:12] Mark is at  TPPF. Yeah. TPPF Texas Public Policy Foundation is a great foundation. Really good think tank based in Austin. Really smart people there. Yeah, I know some of them. And they’re they’re really terrific.

Armando Cavanha [00:52:26] Thank you. Joana. Well, thank you so much for this nice conversation this Monday.

Irina Slav [00:52:33] Thanks. Always a pleasure.

David Blackmon [00:52:34] Thank you. Always fun. I can’t wait to rewatch this. I’m going to laugh for now.

Tammy Nemeth [00:52:41] Thanks To all the questions. That was awesome. Thank you.

David Blackmon [00:52:43]  Yes. Thanks, everyone.

Armando Cavanha [00:52:44] Thank you, thank you.

Irina Slav [00:52:46] Have a great day.

David Blackmon [00:52:47] All right. Have a great week.

Irina Slav [00:52:48] Bye bye.

Armando Cavanha [00:52:49] Bye bye.

Tammy Nemeth [00:52:50] Bye

 

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Smack Dab In The Middle – Williams Acquires Gas Storage Near The Heart Of LNG Export Demand

Energy News Beat

Natural gas storage — especially well-sited storage with lightning-fast deliverability rates — is taking on a new significance (and value) as LNG export facilities and power generators seek to manage their often-volatile gas demand. But developing new gas storage capacity is costly and, with only a few exceptions, it’s hard to make an economic case for greenfield projects. That reality has spurred a lot of interest among midstream companies in acquiring existing storage assets and, where feasible, expanding that storage. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss one of the biggest storage-acquisition deals to date: Williams Companies’ recent purchase of six facilities with a combined working gas capacity of 115 Bcf in Louisiana and Mississippi. (It’s not all that Williams has been up to on the gas-storage front.)

As we said in our Squeeze Box series last year, storage has long been a critically important balancing mechanism in the Lower 48 natural gas market. In the Pre-Shale Era and the early days of the Shale Revolution, the storage market was driven primarily by the intrinsic value of capacity — i.e., the need to sock away gas in the lower-demand summer months for use in the peak winter months. More recently, the value of storage is being driven almost exclusively by extrinsic economics — i.e., how flexible and responsive capacity allows market participants to manage supply and demand during short-term market swings. This flexibility and responsiveness have become more important criteria for ensuring reliability as LNG export terminals and an increasingly renewables-heavy power sector navigate frequent gas-demand fluctuations day to day — or even intraday — as well as high-stakes, extreme weather events like 2021’s Winter Storm Uri and the cold snap that gripped Texas in mid-January.

Take LNG export facilities. A number of factors can cause frequent and often-sizable swings in LNG feedgas deliveries: things like planned and unplanned pipeline or liquefaction-plant maintenance, intraday temperature fluctuations that can affect facility operations — even foggy weather that slows or stops marine traffic. As a result, operators often need to be able to call on incremental gas or inject volumes on short notice. Gas suppliers and pipelines can help manage the ups and downs, but they can’t always accommodate big swings in volumes equivalent to a large-scale liquefaction train. That’s where storage comes in.

In a similar vein, the increasing amount of variable-output renewable generating capacity that helps power the electric grid keeps the operators of gas-fired power plants on the edge of their seats — their facilities always need to be at the ready to either ramp up or ramp down their electric output to compensate for the ever-changing (and often unpredictable) output of wind farms and solar facilities. That means that generators often need reliable access to significant volumes of gas on very short notice. Again, nearby gas storage can provide a much-needed, much-welcomed assist.

With the heightened demand for flexible, responsive gas storage top of mind, Williams earlier this month closed on the $1.95 billion acquisition of a portfolio of six underground gas storage assets in Louisiana and Mississippi from an affiliate of Hartree Partners LP. The half-dozen storage facilities (green stars in Figure 1 below) have a total capacity of 115 Bcf and — just as important, and maybe more so — a combined injection rate of 5 Bcf/d and a combined withdrawal rate of 7.9 Bcf/d. Those “deliverability” numbers are extraordinarily high and therefore are of particular value to storage customers like LNG facilities and gas-fired power plants that need to either receive or send into storage large volumes of gas at the drop of a hat.

Figure 1. Gas Storage Assets Williams Just Acquired From Hartree (and Other Williams Assets).

Source: RBN

Of the six storage facilities, four are underground salt domes (combined working gas capacity of 92 Bcf) and two are depleted natural gas reservoirs (combined working gas capacity of 23 Bcf). They include:

The 48-Bcf Pine Prairie salt dome storage facility in Evangeline Parish, LA, which has connections to Williams’s Transco Pipeline (orange line in Figure 1) as well as ANR Pipeline, Columbia Gulf Transmission (CGT), Florida Gas Transmission (FGT), Kinder Morgan Louisiana Pipeline (KMLA), Tennessee Gas Pipeline (TGP), Texas Gas Transmission (TGT), Texas Eastern Transmission (TETCO), and three natural gas power plants.
The 18-Bcf Southern Pines salt dome storage facility in Greene County, MS, which has connections to Transco (and, through it, Williams’s Gulfstream Pipeline to Florida; purple line), Florida Gas Transmission (FGT), Gulf South Pipeline and the Southeast Supply Header System.
The 17-Bcf Cadeville depleted field storage facility in Ouachita Parish, LA.
The 14-Bcf Arcadia salt dome storage facility in Bienville Parish, LA.
The 12-Bcf Perryville salt dome storage facility in Franklin Parish, LA.
The 6-Bcf Monroe depleted field storage facility in Monroe County, MS.

Williams noted that the Pine Prairie and Southern Pine salt dome facilities “are both well-positioned for expansions.” (See our greatest-hits blog, Smoky and the Salt Caverns, for more on how salt cavern storage space is created.) Hartree had acquired the Arcadia, Cadeville, Monroe and Perryville storage facilities from Martin Midstream Partners’ Cardinal Gas Storage subsidiary in 2019 for $212 million. Two years later, Hartree bought the Pine Prairie and Southern Pines facilities from Plains All American for $850 million.

The Williams/Hartree deal, which closed January 3, also included about 230 miles of related gas pipeline as well as 30 pipeline interconnections, a few of which we mentioned earlier. Note in Figure 1 above that in addition to the six gas storage facilities that Williams just purchased from Hartree, the company owns the 75-Bcf working gas Washington depleted field facility in south-central Louisiana and the 9-Bcf Eminence salt dome facility in south-central Mississippi (blue dots), both of which are located along Transco’s main line.

The storage facilities in Williams’s newly expanded portfolio of storage assets in Louisiana and Mississippi are either directly or indirectly linked to virtually all of the pipelines that feed the three LNG export facilities that have come online along the Louisiana coast in recent years — Sabine Pass LNG, Cameron LNG, and Calcasieu Pass LNG — as well as to the pipelines being developed to feed the new LNG export facilities now under development (see Gotta Get Over). To give a sense of the magnitude of these LNG facilities, the feedgas demand of Sabine Pass, Cameron and Calcasieu Pass averaged nearly 9 Bcf/d in December, according to RBN’s weekly LNG Voyager report.

In addition to providing support for LNG export facilities, Williams’s gas storage assets are likely to help supply the fluctuating gas needs of electric utilities in Louisiana and Mississippi, both of which depend heavily on gas-fired generating capacity and are in the midst of developing large amounts of solar capacity, which is fundamentally intermittent. According to the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA), about 3,000 MW of utility-scale solar capacity is expected to come online in Louisiana over the next five years and another 2,300 MW in Mississippi. A number of Louisiana utilities also rely on significant volumes of wind power, mostly from Oklahoma.

Figure 2. Selected Williams Natural Gas Storage and Pipeline Assets. Source: RBN

As shown in Figure 2 above, Williams’ gas storage assets in Louisiana and Mississippi (black box and Figure 1) are only part of a larger set of storage assets, most of which are tied to the company’s Transco, MountainWest Pipeline and Northwest Pipeline systems (orange, dark-red and pink lines in Figure 2, respectively). Along Transco, these include Williams’s 15-Bcf working gas portion of the Leidy-Tamarack and 12-Bcf working gas portion of Wharton storage facilities in north-central Pennsylvania (blue dots in that state) and two LNG peaking plants (Pine Needle and Station 240; yellow diamonds along Transco) that produce LNG that is later regasified to help meet peak-period demand for gas.

Williams has additional gas storage assets out in the Rockies and the Pacific Northwest. About a year ago, in February 2023, Williams acquired MountainWest Pipelines Holding Co. from Southwest Gas Holdings in a deal valued at $1.5 billion. In addition to the MountainWest Pipeline system — about 2,000 miles of interstate gas pipelines in Utah, Wyoming and Colorado — the MountainWest deal included 56 Bcf of gas storage. The standout among the intermountain storage assets is the 54-Bcf working gas Clay Basin depleted field gas storage facility in the northeastern corner of Utah, close to the state’s border with Wyoming and Colorado. Clay Basin, created from a depleted dry gas reservoir, is the largest gas storage facility in the Rockies. It has the capacity to inject a total of up to 350 MMcf/d from the MountainWest and Northwest pipelines and withdraw just over 700 MMcf/d around full inventory. (For context, see Blank Space on how storage ratchets work.)

In Lewis County, WA, Williams co-owns the 25-Bcf Jackson Prairie gas storage facility — the largest in the Pacific Northwest — with Puget Sound Energy and Avista Utilities; Williams’s portion of working gas is 8 Bcf. Jackson Prairie, where gas is stored in an aquifer contained by a sandstone formation, is used primarily to help the region meet its wintertime gas needs, but also to support gas-fired power plants when renewable generation ratchets up or down. The adjoining Northwest Pipeline is a 3,900-mile system that runs from the San Juan Basin in northwestern New Mexico to the Canadian border near Sumas, WA.

In addition to acquiring the Clay Basin gas storage facility as part of the MountainWest deal, Williams in August 2022 closed on the $423 million acquisition of NorTex Midstream, which owned 36 Bcf of working gas storage capacity in the Dallas-Fort Worth area — the 26-Bcf Worsham-Steed and 10-Bcf Hill Lake facilities — as well as about 80 miles of related gas pipelines. The storage facilities, which have a combined injection rate of 800 MMcf/d and a combined withdrawal rate of 850 MMcf/d, provide support to about 4,000 MW of gas-fired generation capacity in the area, as well as storage services for Permian gas directed toward Gulf Coast LNG demand. (A greenfield gas storage project planned by Trinity Gas Storage, the subject of our recent For the First Time in Forever blog, is located in the same general area.)

Williams may be among the most aggressive acquirers of gas storage in North America, but it’s not alone. For example, in two deals that closed in the spring of 2023, Enbridge purchased 77 Bcf of gas storage capacity in British Columbia — at the Aitken Creek facility near the Montney Shale — and the 35-Bcf Tres Palacios facility in Matagorda County, TX. Both storage facilities are expected to play key roles in supporting LNG export terminals in their areas. The Williams and Enbridge deals provide clear signals that interest in flexible, responsive gas storage capacity is on the rise. Expect to see more storage-related M&A in the months ahead.

“Smack Dab in the Middle” was written by Jesse Stone and appears as the first song on side one of Ry Cooder’s fifth studio album, Chicken Skin Music. The song is a jump blues tune celebrating being smack dab in the middle of the good life and partying down accordingly. It was originally recorded by its writer Jesse Stone and put out under his alias, Charlie Calhoun, in April 1955. It has also been covered by Ray Charles and The Mills Brothers. Stone’s best-known number is “Shake, Rattle and Roll,” which was a big hit for Big Joe Turner in April 1954. Stone was inducted into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame in 2010. “Jesse Stone did more to develop the basic rock and roll sound than anybody else,” Atlantic Records President Ahmet Ertegun said. Cooder’s inclusion of the song on Chicken Skin Music is a reflection of his good taste in recording an array of often overlooked or forgotten songs that were crucial in the development of popular American music. Personnel on the record were: Ry Cooder (lead vocals, electric, slide guitars), Chris Ethridge (bass), Jim Keltner (drums), and Jimmy Adams, Terry Evans, Cliff Givens, Laurence Fishburne (backing vocals).

Chicken Skin Music was recorded during the summer of 1976 at Warner Bros. Recording Studios in North Hollywood and produced by Ry Cooder. In addition to Cooder’s unique tone and sound on stringed instruments, the album featured a mixed cast of super-talented musicians, including Milt Holland, Jim Keltner, Flaco Jimenez, Gabby Pahinui, and Pat Rizzo. Released in October 1976, the album went to #177 on the Billboard 200 Albums chart, Two singles were released from the LP.

Ry Cooder is an American musician, songwriter, film score composer, record producer, and author. He is known for his slide guitar work and collaborations with musicians from many different countries. Cooder started his professional career in 1965 when he was 17 as guitarist in the L.A. blues-rock band Rising Sons, which also included Taj Mahal. He has released 17 studio albums, four compilation albums, and 10 singles. He was the producer on the award-winning Buena Vista Social Club album, featuring traditional Cuban musicians, and recorded at Havana’s EGREM studios in 1996. The album sold over 8 million records worldwide and has been certified Platinum by the Recording Industry Association of America. He has done collaborative albums with a wide range of musicians throughout his career. Cooder continues to record and tour.

Source: Rbnenergy.com

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Steinberg Embraces Nuclear Energy, Supports Third Nuclear Reactor at Millstone

Energy News Beat

Once a skeptic of nuclear energy, Energy and Technology Co-Chair State Rep. Jonathan Steinberg, D-Westport, is now one of its staunchest supporters.

Steinberg told CT Examiner this week that, like many of his contemporaries, he questioned the benefits of using nuclear energy. But those concerns have been alleviated through research, talking to field experts and visiting nuclear facilities throughout the country. Steinberg visited a power plant in South Carolina in November while attending the National Council of State Legislators’ quarterly meeting.

“When I first came to the legislature, I didn’t know about energy. Like anyone else, I flipped the switch and the lights came on,” he said. “Then, we were a little skeptical of nuclear. We thought it was yesterday’s kind of energy. But as soon as I started doing my homework I discovered that nuclear was a viable option — it’s carbon free, and if you do a really good job managing the environmental and safety concerns, it really should be considered in the mix.”

Steinberg noted that nuclear power can “also reduce the risks of blackouts and brownouts.”

He also said he favors and would advocate for a third reactor at the Millstone Nuclear Power Station in Waterford, the state’s only such facility.

The 2,073-megawatt Millstone site, owned by Dominion Energy, covers about 500 acres. According to the company, the plant produces enough electricity to power 2 million homes with low-cost and carbon-free electricity that helps the state fulfill its carbon-reduction goals.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, nuclear power provided 37 percent of in-state generation in Connecticut in 2022. Connecticut ranks among the 10 states with the highest share of electricity generated from nuclear power, according to the EIA.

Steinberg understands the timetable of having a third reactor — which could translate into powering even more homes — is up in the air. At best guess, he said, the process of placing a third reactor at the facility could take years, maybe more than a decade. However, Steinberg said, it’s something worth pursuing and investigating now.

“I know there are a bunch of obstacles related to nuclear, not just the environmental and safety ones, but the economic ones too,” the lawmaker said. “If you look at what has happened in Georgia and North Carolina, they’ve had huge overruns in traditional nuclear reactors, and they’ve abandoned the concept. We have not built a new nuclear reactor in the United States for a long time. There are genuine hurdles there. I am hopeful for small modular reactors [or SMR’s] which would use less concrete, which is one of the big expenses.”

Steinberg said he favors having an SMR at Millstone, but supports having a traditional reactor as well.

Currently, only Russia and China have SMRs in their plants, but the U.S. Department of Energy has said it wants to deploy SMRs at home by the end of this decade or by early 2030.

According to the Department of Energy, advanced SMRs offer numerous advantages over traditional reactors, including offering a relatively small physical footprint, reduced capital investment and the ability to be placed in locations not possible for larger nuclear plants. SMRs, the agency said, also offer distinct safeguards, security and nonproliferation advantages.

The practicality of having an SMR at Millstone in the short-term, Steinberg said, is wishful thinking.

“I would say, realistically, it might be 2040,” he said. “Maybe we could cut a few years off; that would mean some basic coalescence of the industry, which a lot of people are betting on. A lot of people want to see this happen.”

The state Department of Energy and Environmental Protection would have to approve any plans to have another reactor at Millstone.

In a statement, DEEP spokesperson Will Healey said, “The decision to possibly pursue adding an additional reactor to the Millstone facility is up to the site owner, Dominion. In our deregulated market, these kinds of decisions are market decisions to be made by the market participants, if they deemed it made business sense to do so. DEEP continues to explore opportunities and policy options to incent any low carbon sources of energy.”

Dominion, in a statement to CT Examiner this week, said it anticipates SMRs will be the wave of the future and is on board with such technology.

“As for nuclear technologies, Dominion Energy is exploring SMRs as an option in the next decade and beyond. This technology is still being developed and new advanced nuclear designs may be ready for large-scale deployment by the early 2030s,” the statement read. “SMRs provide the potential to expand capacity at existing nuclear sites. … Dominion Energy has a great history of providing carbon free energy to the state of Connecticut and we look forward to the opportunity to work with the Energy & Technology Committee and policymakers on constructive solutions to continue to operate the current units and to discuss the policy environment that would be necessary to take full advantage of the potential for nuclear power in meeting increased energy demand as well as the state’s decarbonization goals.”

Steinberg said there are many unknowns when it comes to the cost of reactors and, potentially, SMRs, but that It’s something to keep an eye on.

“The project overruns and the projects that have been tried in the United States in recent years are a cause for alarm,” he said. “They’ve gotten to the point where they can’t complete the project at a reasonable cost and they wouldn’t be able to recover. That is one of the reasons why some are not overly excited about jumping into the new nuclear facility [concept]. So, we need to get to a point where the economic formula for building a new plant makes sense so that it can attract investors.”

Source: Ctexaminer.com

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Supply and Demand Shocks Still Rocking Energy Markets

Energy News Beat

A year and a half after a renowned Harvard professor described the pandemic of 2020 as “the mother of all shocks” to energy markets, oil and gas prices are still being rocked by supply and demand shocks, with economic growth trends and geopolitical tensions offsetting or exacerbating them.

“One reason why oil and gas prices are so volatile is that short-term demand for energy responds much faster to changes in growth than to price changes. So, when there is an energy shock, it can take a huge price change to clear the market,” Kenneth Rogoff, a Professor of Economics at Harvard University and former Chief Economist and Director of Research at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), wrote in an opinion piece in Project Syndicate in July of 2022.

The big shock to energy markets that year was the impact of the Russian war in Ukraine on global oil and gas supply and prices.

Yet, the pandemic of 2020 was “the mother of all shocks, bringing about the biggest sustained shift in demand since World War II,” Rogoff said.

According to the economist, in the longer term, “Giant waves of supply and demand shocks will likely continue to roil energy markets and the global economy.”

Shocks are always lurking around the corner in the energy markets. After the big Russian export destination shift, the geopolitical event of 2023 that disrupted flows again was the Hamas-Israel war, which started in the last quarter of the year.

The market had just adjusted to Russia’s crude and oil products going to Asia, Africa, and South America instead of to Europe. Now, it’s grappling with trade route changes as tankers carrying oil and LNG have started to avoid the Suez Canal and the Houthi missile attacks in the Red Sea and are opting for two-week-longer routes via the Cape of Good Hope in Africa.

These new shocks to global oil and gas markets have been largely offset by constant concerns about the state of the global economy and fears that recession hasn’t been avoided yet.

According to Rogoff’s forecast, carried in Project Syndicate last month, 2024 could be a “rocky year for everyone.”

The economist believes that the chances of a recession in the U.S. are still “probably around 30%, compared to 15% in normal years.”

China still faces “several daunting challenges” to have its economy recover to 5% annual growth, while other emerging markets could be most at risk to withstand a crisis if the global economy falls short of expectations, Rogoff says.

In oil markets, on the supply side, OPEC+ continues to cut production and exports in 2024, while non-OPEC+ producers have surprised to the upside with supply growth, offsetting some of the cartel’s cuts.

The shock on the natural gas markets from 2022 and early 2023 after the Russian invasion of Ukraine was mitigated by a warmer 2022/2023 winter and industrial slowdown in Europe, as well as high LNG imports and a rush to replenish stockpiles, which were full to the brim ahead of this winter.

After the pandemic, economic and geopolitical factors continued to surprise energy markets, leading to high volatility. Crude oil prices, which had tanked in the spring of 2020, surged to above $130 in the wake of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Natural gas prices hit records in August 2022 when Russia cut off most pipeline gas supply to Europe.

Still, shocks such as the Hamas-Israel war that would have pushed prices higher have been offset by continued concerns about the global economy.

Demand has been resilient over the past year, but concerns about economies are keeping a lid on oil price spikes from the rising tensions in the Middle East, the world’s most important oil-exporting and oil trade route region.

Weak economic data and the ongoing property crisis in China, plus a U.S. economy not out of the woods yet, have also contributed to a muted market reaction to OPEC’s cuts to supply.

Following a short-lived spike in oil prices after the Hamas-Israel conflict began in early October, futures have traded in a narrow $75-$80 a barrel range, suggesting that economic and demand reduction shocks could outweigh in the near term supply shocks, unless a wider conflict in the Middle East cuts actual supply to the market.

Source: Oilprice.com

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Houthis threaten to cut intercontinental internet cables running along Red Sea bottoms

Energy News Beat

Yemen’s AnsarAlla threatens to cut fibre optic cable in the Red Sea and the region, Azernews reports, citing foreign media.

This will happen if the US and UK strike Yemen’s airports again.

Internet cables serve as communication channels between Europe, Africa, and the Middle East. Taking them out of service would disrupt international lines of communication and hit global financial markets.

On December 24th, 2023, a Telegram channel linked to the Houthis published a map showing the networks of submarine communications cables in the Mediterranean Sea, the Red Sea, the Arabian Sea, and the Persian Gulf. The image was accompanied by an ominous message: “There are maps of international cables connecting all regions of the world through the sea. It seems that Yemen is in a strategic location, as internet lines that connect entire continents — not only countries—pass near it.”

While the statement did not specify a target, the threat coincides with perhaps the Houthis most aggressive military campaign against ships in the Red Sea. Since mid-October 2023, the group has launched more than 100 drones and missiles at ships passing through the Bab el-Mandeb, which connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. The attacks so disrupted ship operations that at least one major shipping company, Maersk, announced it was suspending shipping through the Red Sea and Suez Canal “until further notice.”

Instead, the diverted ships are forced to sail around Africa, significantly increasing transit time and shipping costs; these costs will almost certainly be passed on to consumers, driving up the prices of various goods around the world. While senior U.S. officials have emphasised that they have not yet noticed any price increases due to the blockade, the crisis eventually prompted the U.S. to create a new international maritime task force aimed at stopping the group’s attacks.

Technical information about a cable that AnsarAlla terrorists are threatening to blow up.

It is about the Asia Africa Europe-1 (AAE-1) system. It runs from Hong Kong to Marseille. Its total length is 25 thousand kilometres. The total capacity of AAE-1 is 40 terabits per second.

At the same time, AAE-1 is only one of 16 submarine cables running close to the Yemeni coast. The total capacity of all these cables is 180 terabits per second. These 16 cables carry 17 per cent of the world’s traffic.

AAE-1 is owned by a consortium of 17 telecom operators, each of which controls and is responsible for a different section of the route. The regional route in the Red Sea is assigned to Egyptian operator Telecom Egypt (EGX:ETEL) With China Unicom (SEHK:762) playing the coordinating role in the consortium

In 2022, the terrestrial section in Egypt had an accident, causing traffic to collapse by more than 90 per cent in Ethiopia, for example.

The problem with the Yemeni section is the shallow depth and the high concentration of submarine cables in one place. In fact, the threat of the Houthis is very real – they are capable of damaging most of all the cables in transit with a few explosions at shallow depths.

Repairing a blown up section looks problematic due to the fact that any repair expedition could be attacked by terrorists at any time. In addition, this does not preclude a second detonation at the same location or any other. In the case of a combined detonation, preliminary estimates suggest that repairs could take several months to several years.

Source: Azernews.az

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Gasum to build new Swedish bio-LNG plant

Energy News Beat

Finnish state-owned energy firm and LNG supplier, Gasum, has decided to build a new liquefied biogas (bio-LNG) plant in Borlange, Sweden.

Gasum said the the investment decision is the next step in its plan to build five large-scale biogas plants in Sweden.

In February last year, Gasum started building the first bio-LNG plant in Gotene, and expects production to start at his facility at the end of 2024.

The remaining three plants will be located in Kalmar, Sjobo, and Horby, while Gasum is also planning a biogas plant near Trondheim in Norway.

According to Gasum, it will invest over 62 million euros ($67 million) in the construction of the plant in Borlänge, Sweden.

Also, the project has been granted a subsidy of 15 million euros ($62 million) from the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency’s Klimatklivet investment program.

Gasum plans to start buidling the new plant during spring 2024.

The Borlange plant will be using a total of 270,000 tons of feedstock per year.

Household waste will be collected and processed by Gasum’s local partner Borlange Energi, and manure will be sourced from farmers in the Borlange area, Gasum said.

By using a feedstock mixture of regionally sourced organic household waste and manure the plant will produce 133 gigawatt hours (GWh) worth of liquefied biogas per year from 2026 onwards, it said.

Liquefied biogas, or bio-LNG, can be used in shipping, road transport, including heavy-duty vehicles, and in industrial use.

Gasum has a large network of LNG/bio-LNG fueling stations for trucks in the Nordics but it also delivers bio-LNG to its maritime customers.

The company’s goal is to bring seven terawatt hours (TWh) of renewable gas yearly to the market by 2027.

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Shell CEO: LNG Canada to start commissioning later this year

Energy News Beat

Shell’s LNG Canada terminal is more than 90 percent complete and the project is preparing to launch commissioning activities later this year, according to Shell’s CEO, Wael Sawan.

This is the first large LNG export terminal in Canada. Contractor JGC Fluor is constructing the first phase of the giant LNG Canada project that includes two liquefaction trains with a capacity of 14 mtpa in Kitimat, British Columbia.

Last year, TC Energy’s Coastal GasLink pipeline, which will supply natural gas to the LNG Canada terminal, was mechanically completed.

Besides operator Shell, other partners in the project include Malaysia’s Petronas, PetroChina, Japan’s Mitsubishi Corporation, and South Korea’s Kogas.

LNG Canada said in the December update that the project was more than 85 percent complete and that it expects to begin start-up activities, which will last more than a year, in 2024.

The JV confirmed in the update that it expects to ship first cargoes “by the middle of this decade”.

Shell’s CEO Sawan told analysts during Shell’s fourth quarter earnings call on Thursday that the Coastal GasLink pipeline is “ready and available to ramp up through the course of 2024.”

He said that the facility itself at Kitimat is now just over 90 percent complete as per the report from the joint venture.

“So, they’re making good progress. And we would expect that later this year, they would start up the commissioning of the plant,” Sawan said.

“That, of course, takes several months, well into 2025. But it’s comforting to see the progress that is being made. And of course, once we start producing those commissioning cargoes will be made available from day one to our foundational customers as you would expect,” he said.

The CEO did not say whether LNG Canada is expected to produce its first cargo in 2025 or sooner.

“This is a very, very complex facility that’s going to be ramped up. And therefore, we are going to watch it and to support the team as they do that through the course of the coming 12 months to 18 months,” Sawan said.

 

Speaking of commissioning cargoes, Sawan also discussed the ongoing dispute Shell has with US LNG exporter Venture Global LNG over the launch of commercial operations at the latter’s Calcasieu Pass plant in Louisiana.

Calcasieu Pass produced its first LNG on January 19, 2022, moving from FID to LNG production in 29 months, and the first commissioning cargo left the facility on March 1.

However, the US firm has not yet declared commercial operations at the facility.

The plant has a capacity to produce 10 mtpa of LNG or 1.3 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d).

Long-term customers of the facility include Shell, BP, Edison, Repsol, Galp, and PGNiG.

Shell previously launched arbitration proceedings against Venture Global.

Sawan told analysts that Venture Global has sold around 250 commissioning cargoes up to date.

“And what we see is that the plant is at or near capacity and has been consistently. So, we’re very much focused on continuing to enforce our legal rights and protect the sanctity of contracts that are there. I won’t get into the details of the legal proceedings,” he said.

“Suffice it to say that we have pulled on the lever of arbitration that exists for us and continue to have the required discussions to be able to fundamentally point out that this is not just an issue between two counterparts. Actually, it’s many counterparts, all of whom are not receiving the offtake commitments that Venture Global had committed to,” he said.

“But also, it starts to undermine the confidence in US LNG for the longer term, something which, of course, with the recent announcement of the pause by the US administration, just continue all to erode that confidence in the longer-term potential of US LNG, which is a real shame, I think, given the potential it has,” he said.

The Biden administration recently said it would “temporary pause” pending decisions for LNG export terminals.

The US will pause pending decisions on exports of LNG to non-FTA countries until the Department of Energy can update the underlying analyses for authorizations, it said.

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ExxonMobil says Golden Pass plant on track to deliver first LNG in H1 2025

Energy News Beat

Energy giants QatarEnergy and ExxonMobil are still expecting to start LNG production at their Golden Pass LNG export terminal on the US Gulf Coast near Sabine Pass, Texas, in the first half of 2025.

State-owned QatarEnergy owns a 70 percent stake in the Golden Pass project with a capacity of more than 18 mtpa and will offtake 70 percent of the capacity, while US energy firm ExxonMobil has a 30 percent share.

A joint venture of Chiyoda, McDermott, and Zachry is building the tree Golden Pass trains worth about $10 billion next to the existing LNG import terminal.

“Train 1 mechanical completion is expected at the end of 2024 with first LNG in the first half of 2025,” Darren Woods, chairman and CEO of ExxonMobil, said during the fourth-quarter earnings call on February 2.

Woods did not provide further information.

He confirmed an announcement in December by ExxonMobil’s senior VP and CFO, Kathryn Mikellss, during the company’s corporate plan that first LNG is expected in first half of 2025.

The partners previously expected to complete the first Golden Pass train in the first quarter of 2024.

The US FERC said in an inspection report in January this year that the anticipated in-service timing for the first Golden Pass train is the second half of 2024,with train 2 and 3 following after.

According to the report, the anticipated in-service timing for the pipeline expansion project is expected “sometime prior to the second half of 2024”.

Golden Pass LNG Terminal and Golden Pass Pipeline also recently filed the latest construction report with the FERC.

The report said that Golden Pass and its contractors progressed installation of piping and steel in process and utilities areas and flare wall modifications, continued piping and vessels insulation activities, while concrete foundation pours continued in Train 2 and Train 3.

In addition, Golden Pass progressed setting various vessels on respective foundations and progressed brownfield tie-ins in Trains 2 and 3, and progressed brownfield tie-ins and LNG tank tops modifications scope.

Golden Pass also progressed cable tray installations and cable pulling activities and continued pipe pneumatic / hydrostatic testing program.

As per the pipeline expansion project, Golden Pass continued civil activities and concrete foundation pours at milepost MP33 and MP69 compressor stations and also continued pipe fabrication and installation at these stations.

It also continued construction activities of the Sabine Spur, Natural Gas Pipeline (NGPL)Interconnect improvements, and associated facilities.

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Vintage VLCC prices edge down

Energy News Beat

Tankers

Even though more than 10 rusty ladies have been reported sold this year, prices are finally coming down for vintage VLCCs.

Broking sources report that a raft of ships have been circulated, but buyers are reluctant to bid despite healthy earnings.

The latest reported sale in the sector is the 16-year-old Tohshi, a 300,500 dwt vessel built by Ishikawajima Harima Heavy Industries(IHI). It is noted to have been sold to China for a new low. The old tanker would most likely have fetched $10m more if sold a year ago when prices peaked after climbing for more than a year.

Comparable sales from the beginning of the year include a ship by Angelicoussis Group who sold a 306,000 dwt, Daewoo-built VLCC that hit the water in 2004. The price tag attached to the deal was just under $34m. A few weeks later, Fractal Shipping was noted selling a same-aged IHI-built ship, the 300,500 dwt Nereides, for $29m.

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LNG carrier deliveries this year to smash previous record by close to 50%

Energy News Beat

GasShipyards

The pace of LNG newbuild deliveries will smash records this year, beating the previous annual gas ship delivery peak of 2021 by 48%.

Data from Clarksons Research shows 89 LNG ships – with a combined 14.9 cu m capacity – are due to deliver this year, more than double the 10-year average, representing a 48% increase on the current record of 10.1m cu m delivered three years ago.

Another year of very firm deliveries is expected in 2025, with 14.5m cu m initially projected to hit the water, while 131 vessels of 22.9m cu m are already on order for 2026-2027 delivery.

“With c.90% of vessels on order already committed to projects, although project slippage is always a risk, expectations remain for record start -ups and rapid trade growth across 2025-27 to absorb strong deliveries as the sector enters a major phase of expansion,” Clarksons noted in its most recent weekly report.

LNG carriers delivering every four days this year is only trumped by one other sector.

In 2024, 478 containerships with a capacity of 3.1m teu are scheduled for delivery, according to data from BIMCO. Extrapolating the BIMCO data shows 1.31 boxship newbuilds are delivering each day, every day this year.

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