Biden puts himself before LNG-related economic and national security needs

Energy News Beat

Delaying export permits for liquefied natural gas , or LNG, from already constructed and permitted LNG facilities on the U.S. Gulf Coast, President Joe Biden is demonstrating that he is more interested in appeasing environmental zealots than he is in the national security and the economic well-being of the country.

Basic economic theory says that free trade will increase economic growth and prosperity for individual countries and for the world population. Free trade maximizes national and international wealth.

BIDEN STEERS CLEAR OF VIRGINIA BEFORE BELLWETHER ELECTION

That bears note because the U.S. is a low-cost producer of natural gas. It is a low-cost exporter of LNG. Because of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, our European allies are eliminating their purchases of Russian natural gas. Europe wants to replace Russian gas with U.S. LNG. But under the Biden administration, the approvals of final export licenses have been seriously delayed. The administration has increased the time it takes to approve an export license for LNG from seven weeks, the average during President Donald Trump’s administration, to 11 months and longer.

The delay in final export approval means Europe could freeze in future winters. European industry could grind to a halt. That would have serious consequences for global trade and growth. The domestic LNG industry plans to expand export capacity by 50% from current levels. The U.S. domestic LNG industry is already a major employer and exporter. The U.S. is the global leader in LNG exports. The biggest European buyers of U.S. LNG are the Netherlands and the United Kingdom. Germany is also an important customer.

All three countries are critical allies in relation to Russia. Moreover, the Netherlands is an important ally in denying China access to cutting-edge semiconductor technology. The Netherlands has agreed to limit exports to China of ASML’s most sophisticated semiconductor lithography technology. ASML is headquartered in the Netherlands. ASML has a global 100% monopoly position in 3 nm semiconductor lithography technology.

By delaying export licenses for LNG, the Biden administration risks unraveling its strategy to deny China access to the world’s most advanced semiconductor technology. The Netherlands could say, “No LNG, no cooperation on lithography technology.” Commonwealth LNG is ready to ship LNG to Europe tomorrow. But it can’t ship without a final export license. It has been waiting for almost 365 days.

Environmental zealots oppose granting Commonwealth LNG an export license. Biden’s liberal base is quite happy to destroy the LNG industry in the Gulf Coast. The Biden administration is a victim of regulatory capture. U.S. industries that consume natural gas oppose more exports of LNG. Denying export licenses keeps domestic natural gas prices low. But export controls reduce new production and ultimately lead to higher energy prices for both industry and households.

Biden’s LNG export policies are another example of his duplicitous incompetence. He does not truly support Ukraine, the Western alliance on denying China advanced semiconductor technology, and free market capitalism. Biden is about Biden, not the nation.

James Rogan is a former U.S. foreign service officer who later worked in finance and law for 30 years. He writes  a daily note  on finance and the economy, politics, sociology, and criminal justice.

Source: Washingtonexaminer.com

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Texas voters approve $10B energy fund, with most going to build gas-fired power plants

Energy News Beat
By about a two-thirds margin, voters in the Lone Star State on Tuesday approved a constitutional amendment authorizing a new $10 billion Texas Energy Fund to provide low-interest loans to build gas-fired power plants, develop microgrids and modernize portions of the state’s electric grid.
Supporters of the fund say new power generation is needed to maintain electric reliability and support the state’s expanding economy. There are about 1,000 people a day moving into the state and “growing infrastructure is essential,” the Texas Oil & Gas Association, or TXOGA, said in a statement following the vote.
Opponents of Proposition 7 say it amounts to a giveaway to fossil fuel power plant developers at a time when Texas should be investing more in energy efficiency. There are also concerns the measure leaves the Public Utility Commission of Texas to make difficult judgments about the viability of loans.

Dive Insight:

The Texas Senate in April approved a $10 billion “energy insurance program” that aimed to improve grid reliability through development of 10,000 MW of new gas-fired generation. That measure did not find support in the House, however, leading to the proposal voters approved yesterday.

The Texas Energy Fund will be administered by the PUCT, with a total pot of $7.2 billion available to support any new construction or upgrade that results in at least 100 MW of dispatchable generation coming online and interconnecting to the Electric Reliability Council of Texas grid before June 1, 2029.

Another $1.8 billion will support the development of microgrids and backup power for critical facilities across the state, and $1 billion will go to grid modernization, weatherization and other efforts in the non-ERCOT portions of Texas.

Texans approved 13 of 14 constitutional amendments on Tuesday, including billions in funding for broadband and water infrastructure. The Texas Energy Fund will “strengthen the reliability of our electric grid by ensuring it performs no matter the weather as well as increase the supply of electricity by encouraging additional generation,” TXOGA said.

Texas Sen. Charles Schwertner, R, who proposed the constitutional amendment, said the fund “will strengthen electric generation facilities by modernizing and enhancing their resilience to continue operations, even in the face of extreme weather conditions.”

PUCT staff has been working since the summer to prepare for implementation of the energy fund, according to commission Executive Director Thomas Gleeson.

“With voter approval of the fund, we will push forward developing the program and design transparent processes to ensure the administration of the [Texas Energy Fund] is timely, fiscally responsible, and effective,” he said. The fund “is another vital tool to ensure the reliability and resiliency of the Texas electric grid.”

Texas has been working to bolster its electric grid since Winter Storm Uri in 2021 resulted in widespread blackouts and led to the death of almost 250 people in the state. Regulators spent much of 2022 considering market enhancements and incentives for power generation facilities.

The Texas Energy Fund is a “very significant step” in developing new power plants, according to Vinson & Elkins counsel Winston Skinner.

The PUCT “will have significant discretion in prioritizing projects and setting performance standards developers must meet to receive money for these new facilities,” Skinner said.

But not everyone has confidence in the state’s regulators to oversee the fund.

Stoic Energy President Doug Lewin, who writes the closely-watched “Texas Energy and Power Newsletter,” said he had planned on voting against creation of the energy fund “mostly because I don’t think the Public Utility Commission of Texas can become a bank the way Prop. 7 envisions. The PUC has no expertise gauging default risk.”

Source: Utilitydive.com

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What green energy transition? Half of mining still exploring for gold

Energy News Beat

New study shows a $1.1 billion drop in gold exploration budgets this year as juniors struggle to raise capital, but the precious metal still accounts for 46% of the total. 

According to a new study by S&P Global Market Intelligence, overall mining exploration budgets fell this year for the first time since 2020, dropping 3% to $12.8 billion at the 2,235 companies that allocated funds to find or expand deposits.

Gold budgets, which historically have been driven more by the junior mining sector than any other metal or mineral, dropped by 16% or $1.1 billion year-on-year to just under $6 billion, representing 46% of the global total.

That’s down from 54% in 2022 amid higher spending on lithium, nickel and other battery metals, a surge in spending on uranium and rare earths and an uptick for copper.

But the dominant role gold plays in exploration – and therefore the industry’s future remains clear from the fact that the combined money flowing into green energy transition metals (or future facing commodities as some majors like to label them) was not enough to offset the decline in gold.

Gold exploration budgets, like most mined commodities, peaked in 2012 when the precious metal accounted for nearly half the more than $20 billion spent.

Gold juniors represent 38% of the allocation to exploration this year and reduced spending by the sector was responsible for the bulk of the overall reduction in budgets.

It also follows the years-long trend in the gold sector identified by S&P Global where exploration has shifted to minesites and away from grassroots exploration.

The top region for gold exploration thanks in no small part to its vibrant junior sector, Canada, saw a roughly $400 million drop in budgets. Only in Asia Pacific did allocated resources increase compared to 2022 although not by much and from a low base.

Junior jaundice

The pullback among gold explorers represents a significant drop compared to last year when the sector spent more than the majors searching for the precious metal.

It is an indication of the difficulty junior exploration companies have had over the last year or so of tapping markets for new funding.

On a quarterly basis, gold financing for junior and mid-size mining companies was the lowest in Q3 since the September quarter of 2018.

Overall financing, excluding majors at $8 billion year-to-date was the lowest since 2019 and less than half raised over the same period last year.

Like with exploration budgets, the overall decline in financings came despite mining companies involved in specialty commodities managing to raise 46% more in the year to end-September than the same period last year.

Overall the 41,086 holes drilled around the world from January to mid-Oct 2023 in search of non-ferrous metals and minerals represent a 23% decline compared to last year.

Gold drilling is down by 36% over the same period. With the gold price back in touch with $2,000 an on geopolitical safe have demand and the weakness across base and battery metals, it’s not inconceivable that gold’s share of exploration budgets top 50% again soon.

Basic base metals

Base metal budgets increased to 33% of the total, led by a $327 million increase in spending on copper, the metal at the centre of the energy transition, and a significant $117 million jump in outlays to find or expand nickel deposits.

The bulk of nickel exploration funds are directed at Canada where budgets for the stainless steel alloy and battery metal are now approaching $300 million.

“You’d have to go back to 2006/2007 to find a year in which the collective base metals attracted more money for exploration than gold,” says Kevin Murphy, research director metals and mining S&P Global Commodity Insights.

Copper in 2023 represents less than a quarter of mining exploration spending despite a double digit gain from 2022 to $3.12 billion, mostly by major miners and not juniors.

Murphy says copper exploration lagged behind other metals when it came to the shift of exploration to minesites, but this year despite growing budgets overall grassroots exploration for copper declined compared to 2022.

Nickel exploration budgets are also being spent on minesites with more than half of the $732 million budgeted this year aimed at replenishing reserves and extending mine lives. Majors carry out 54% of global nickel exploration, a rising share.

Lithium is the new old gold

Lithium exploration budgets almost doubled this year after doing the same in 2022. In total $830 million was allocated to finding and expanding lithium resources in 2023, the third most explored non-ferrous commodity.

“Lithium is a young commodity for both exploration and development and it reflects this in a lot of different ways,” says Murphy.

The sector is entirely dominated by juniors at the moment with 82% of the exploration work carried out by smaller companies. “Whenever there’s a lot of interest in a commodity, the juniors tend to follow suit.”

The undeveloped nature of the lithium mining industry also shows up in the stages of development with grassroots, late stage exploration and feasibility making up the vast majority of field work being carried out.

A not insignificant portion of exploration for lithium is being carried out by governments which at 4% works out to more than $30 million from public coffers.

Large budget increases were seen all over the world led by Latin America and specifically  Argentina, which hosts the largest undeveloped resources of the battery metal.

Australia produces half the world’s lithium currently and it’s the second most funded region for exploration followed by Canada, where budgets have doubled year on year to in excess of $160 million.

Exploration in the US also jumped substantially – the country is home to the second largest undeveloped resource of lithium globally.

Murphy expects lithium budgets to grow “although it’s tough to say just how much, simply because a lot of this is going towards late stage and feasibility work”:

“And of course, once a feasibility study gets completed, that’s a very large expenditure that falls away. There is the potential that we could see a small dip in lithium in the coming years.”

Also impacting future funding of lithium exploration is a precipitous and unrelenting slide in prices for the metal, now around $20,000 a tonne, from a peak north of $80,000 in November last year.

Uranium upsurge, REE ramp up

S&P Global now tracks 121 active projects grouped under what it calls specialty commodities and includes lithium, cobalt, graphite, rare earth, uranium and others, a near six-fold increase from two years ago.

Platinum group metals and diamond exploration has been on a downtrend for about two decades, according to the research company and until recently that was also true for uranium.

However a rebound in spot prices for the nuclear fuel – now trading at its highest in more than a decade after scaling $70 a pound last month – saw a more than $35 million bump in exploration budgets in 2023.

There’s growing realisation, even among environmental groups, that the move away from fossil fuels is too heavy a lift for unreliable wind and solar energy alone.

Rare earths, also expected to play an important part in the green energy transition due to extensive use in electric motors and wind turbines, received a massive bump in funding for exploration in 2023 given the industry’s overall size – just shy of $50 million more than last year.

Source: Mining.com

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Exclusive: Rep. Josh Brecheen Proposes to Scrap John Kerry’s Climate Job

Energy News Beat

Rep. Josh Brecheen (R-OK) proposed a bill that would eliminate John Kerry’s position as the U.S. Special Presidential Envoy for Climate, Breitbart News has learned exclusively.Brecheen unveiled the Stop Climate Hysteria in Diplomacy Act, a bill aimed at combatting climate hysteria within the State Department.

“President Biden has used the excuse that climate change is an existential threat to create additional bureaucracy inside the State Department. The Climate Change Support Office is nothing more than a pet project for John Kerry to integrate climate change into all aspects of American foreign policy decisions,” Brecheen told Breitbart News in a written statement.

“With this bill, Congress can eliminate a useless office and prevent the United States from prioritizing radical climate policy over our national security.”

Biden signed Executive Order 14027, which created the Climate Change Support Office at the State Department, which supports the Presidential Envoy for Climate, Kerry.

The climate envoy backs diplomatic engagements on climate change and works to integrate Biden’s anti-climate change to all parts of Biden’s foreign policy.

The bill would nullify the Biden executive order, simply stating in the text, “Executive Order 14027 (86 Fed. Reg. 25947; relat- ing to establishment of the climate change support office) shall have no force or effect.”

Reps. Glenn Grothman (R-WI) and Eric Burlison (R-MO) cosponsored the bill.

Kerry in early October congratulated Pope Francis for a new letter on the alleged climate crisis in which the pope called out America for its high per capita carbon emissions.

In September, Kerry claimed that climate activist “militancy” will grow if America does not act.

In mid-July, Kerry concluded his three-day trip to China, which resulted in no agreement with China, the world’s largest producer of greenhouse gases, was a failure.

Chinese leader Xi Jinping humiliated Kerry by holding a two-day climate conference without inviting the American climate envoy.

Source: Breitbart-com.cdn.ampproject.org

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The Latest Reports Suggest That Secret Talks Are Taking Place Between The US & Russia

Energy News Beat

It’s premature to speculate about the details of their discussions, but the news items shared in this analysis indicate that they could concern the resumption of peace talks and possible pathways for getting there, including those that go around Zelensky or even get rid of him if he remains an obstacle.

Russian-US relations reached their lowest point since the Cuban Missile Crisis as a result of NATO’s proxy war on Russia through Ukraine, but the latest reports suggest that secret talks are taking place between them. NBC reported on 4 November that the West was pressuring Ukraine to recommence peace talks with Russia, which came almost exactly four months after they reported on 6 July that “Former U.S. officials have held secret Ukraine talks with prominent Russians”.

That last-mentioned news item from earlier in the summer followed President Putin’s three appearances the month prior in mid-June wherein he strongly suggested that a political solution to this conflict was still possible, the details of which were documented and analyzed here at the time. Between then and NBC’s latest report, Zelensky gave an interview to The Economist where he was overly defensive. It was analyzed here, with the takeaway being that this was due to the West likely talking more with Russia.

On the same day as their report was published, the New York Times drew attention to the growing Zelensky-Zaluzhny rivalry, the details of which were analyzed here alongside associated news reports. This is relevant to the argument being made about the existence of secret US-Russian talks since they could serve to freeze the conflict in the best-case scenario before the worst-case one of a Prigozhin-like mutiny unfolds. The subsequent reports that’ll now be touched upon add further credence to this case.

Zelensky admitted in an interview with NBC that his Western patrons are probably talking to Russia, during which time he also said that now isn’t the time for elections and then begged the US for a loan that he promised to repay after the conflict ends. On the same day that his interview aired, the Washington Post published a piece about how “Ukraine’s supporters need to rethink their theory of victory” that included the following advice:

“Ukraine’s counteroffensive was supposed to sustain political support for Kyiv by proving that it could reconquer lost territory. Now, supporters of Ukraine might need to make the inverse argument: Ukraine is not reconquering substantial territory, and aid is needed indefinitely to forestall a devastating defeat.”

This is a far cry from the claims of supposedly imminent victory over Russia that used to cover that newspapers pages, thus showing how dramatically the official narrative about this conflict has shifted since the failure of Kiev’s over-hyped and ultra-expensive counteroffensive. The next day, the Ukrainian Foreign Minister warned that his country can no longer solely rely on the US, likely in response to Zelensky’s interview and particularly his admission therein that the US is probably talking to Russia.

A spree of statements from Russian officials then followed between Sunday and Tuesday. Kremlin spokesman Peskov, Foreign Minister Lavrov, and Russian Ambassador to America Antonov all said that dialogue with the US is possible under certain conditions, namely that it respects Russia’s interests. The US then confirmed that it invited Russia to participate in this month’s APEC Summit in San Francisco, which surprised many who thought it would snub that fellow member for obvious political reasons.

The reader should also be aware of what President Putin said last week during his meeting with members of the Civic Chamber where he revealed that “[Americans] are now planning a change of elites – both economic and political one.” He also noted that the West has changed its tune about defeating Russia on the battlefield but advised that “This does not mean that we should behave aggressively”, implying that he still strongly believes that the present conflict can be resolved through political means.

The growing Zelensky-Zaluzhny rivalry and the former’s refusal to hold elections extends credence to the Russian leader’s assessment that the US is preparing a change of Ukraine’s political elites after becoming tired of Zelensky, who’s recklessly risking a Prigozhin-like mutiny and refuses to countenance peace talks. Russian National Security Council chief Patrushev then hinted shortly after on the same day as Zelensky’s NBC interview that “rational actors” are waiting to take power in Kiev once the opportunity arises.

It’s unknown whether he was referring to Zaluzhny, Zelensky’s former senior advisor Arestovich who savagely criticized his erstwhile boss for the damning details revealed about him in Time Magazine’s recent cover story prior to announcing his own presidential bid, and/or someone else. Nevertheless, the point is that Patrushev felt comfortable enough due to the aforementioned context to publicly speak about regime change in Ukraine, which came amidst credible reports of secret US-Russian talks.

It’s premature to speculate about the details of their discussions, but the news items shared in this analysis indicate that they could concern the resumption of peace talks and possible pathways for getting there, including those that go around Zelensky or even get rid of him if he remains an obstacle. To be clear, no prediction is being put forth about his political future or the timeline for recommencing Russian-Ukrainian peace talks, but he’d do well to watch his back if he refuses to do his patrons’ bidding.

Source: Korybko.substack.com

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Germany to Force Landowners to Accept New Renewables Infrastructure

Energy News Beat

(Bloomberg) — German landowners will no longer be able to refuse access if grid operators need to connect renewable infrastructure on their property.

The measure — which has sparked criticism from farmers — is part of a series of new regulations agreed on by federal and state leaders on Tuesday. The aim is to speed up the expansion and connection of clean energy, which has stalled because of lengthy approval periods and local opposition.

Currently, grid operators often have to go to court to get access to properties if they want to plan, let alone build a power or district heating connection line, according to the government document accompanying the new regulations. The German Farmers Association has warned that forcing landowners to tolerate installations would be “constitutionally questionable.”

Europe’s largest economy is trying to wean itself off fossil fuels after it already phased out nuclear power earlier this year, and requires a massive build out of its grid to get solar and wind energy to the regions that need it. By 2030, the government wants 80% of German electricity to be from renewable sources, up from 48% last year.

While property owners affected by the new rules — which still have to be written into law — should get compensation, “it must be ensured that projects are not delayed by lengthy negotiations on the amount,” the document said.

“The aim is to clear the bureaucratic jungle in Germany,” Economy Minister Robert Habeck said. He also promised to reduce other planning and legal obligations which particularly burden small and medium enterprises.

The agreement foresees the option of higher tolerance levels for noise and smells around industry sites and power plants near new residential areas. It also pledges speedier environmental impact assessments, shortcuts for court proceedings, and easier approvals for heavy-load transports.

The German Renewable Energy Federation welcomed the agreement as an “important signal for the industry” and urged a speedy implementation.

Source: Financialpost.com

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Bill Gates-Backed Metals Company Considering “Investing” In Mining In Congo

Energy News Beat

Mr. Saving-Humanity-Singlehandedly-Myself Bill Gates is reportedly backing a mining startup that is getting close to “investing” in the Democratic Republic of Congo – which is, of course, a nice way to say, likely mining there.

The company, KoBold Metals, already is developing a copper project in Zambia, Bloomberg reported this week. Chief executive officer Kurt House said the company had already bid for one asset but didn’t close a deal.

He told Bloomberg: “We think it is probably the best place in the world for the types of materials we’re looking for.”

KoBold is actively scouting international sites for fresh reserves of critical metals vital for the green-energy shift, the report says. The Congo, a leading cobalt supplier and major copper source, is poised for a surge in demand for these elements, essential for clean-energy systems and battery technology.

The company, headquartered in the San Francisco Bay Area, seeks Congo operations in line with President Biden’s administration’s focus on enhancing American stakes in the electric-vehicle value chain. With financial support from entities like Gates’s Breakthrough Energy Ventures and market leader BHP Ltd., the firm also boasts investment from Michael Bloomberg.

But recall we have written in the past about the horrors of mining that takes place in the Congo.

Siddharth Kara, who is a Harvard visiting professor and also the author of “Cobalt Red: How The Blood of The Congo Powers Our Lives” took to the Joe Rogan podcast late last year with comments about cobalt mining that have garnered millions of listens.

He told Rogan that there’s no such thing as “clean cobalt” and that the term was “all marketing,” according to a wrap up of the podcast by the NY Post. He noted that the level of suffering of Congolese people working in cobalt mines was “astounding”, the report says.

“I’ve never seen [a cobalt mine that did not rely on child labor or slavery] and I’ve been to almost all the major industrial cobalt mines,” he told Rogan.

Your move, Mr. Gates.

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OPEC+ remains positive on global oil demand before evaluating production cuts

Energy News Beat

World Oil

(Bloomberg) – OPEC+ still has a positive outlook for growth in oil demand, despite the headwinds faced by the global economy, as it prepares for its next ministerial meeting. “The economy, despite the challenges, is still doing quite well,” OPEC Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais said at the Argus European Crude Conference in London on Tuesday. “We are positive on demand, we’re still quite robust on demand.”

Source: Reuters

The top official at OPEC+ said he couldn’t preempt the outcome of the group’s next ministerial meeting in the final weekend of November.

“All I can say for now is we continue to monitor supply and demand fundamentals on a daily basis,” Al-Ghais said. “When the ministers meeting in Vienna at the end of this month they will review all of this and take appropriate measures.”

The next OPEC+ meeting could see Russia and Saudi Arabia decide whether to continue their extra voluntary production curbs into 2024. On Sunday, Riyadh and Moscow announced that they will both stick with production reductions totaling roughly 1.3 MMbpd in December, rubber-stamping a plan outlined a couple of months ago. Those curbs are in addition to cuts agreed by the rest of the group, which last until the end of next year.

“I think the U.S. economy is doing very well. Europe may be struggling a bit,” Al-Ghais said. “We’re still talking about the Chinese economy growing by over 4.5% to 5%” and overall global oil demand continues to rise significantly, he said.

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Maine eyes time-of-use rates to encourage cheaper home electrification

Energy News Beat

Maine is considering new kinds of electric rates to encourage more widespread home adoption of electric vehicle chargers and heat pumps while easing the strain these technologies add to the power grid.

Central Maine Power, the larger of the state’s two investor-owned utilities, is working with regulators and advocacy groups on designs for time-of-use rates, which charge customers more for electricity use at times of day when demand on the grid is at its peak.

But these rates are only one piece of the puzzle, stakeholders say. They anticipate more planning work to come on complementary technologies that will make it easier for customers to change their energy use.

Time-of-use and related tools to limit and shift electricity demand are currently most common among larger commercial and industrial customers, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. But as home electrification accelerates, some utilities have begun trying out similar programs for residential ratepayers.

Central Maine Power is currently piloting seasonal heating and electrification-focused rates, and the smaller Maine utility, Versant Power, has its own time-of-use programs for heat pumps and electric vehicle charging already in place.

The Maine Public Utilities Commission is working to expand time-of-use rates on multiple fronts, including in one proceeding that was required as part of the June settlement in Central Maine Power’s latest rate case. The utility, which is owned by Connecticut-based Avangrid, is due to file a proposal on the issue Dec. 1.

“I personally believe that there’s a great opportunity here for all of our policy goals to be advanced,” said deputy Maine public advocate Drew Landry, whose office acts as an ombudsperson for residential utility customers. “But if we do it wrong, there’s a chance that we could undermine all of them.”

Transportation and buildings are Maine’s top sources of planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions. This underlies the state climate plan’s ambitious goals for expanding the use of electric vehicles and heat pumps, which use electricity for high-efficiency water and space heating as well as air conditioning.

Maine relies more than any other state on home heating oil but has made strong progress on switching to heat pumps, already meeting its initial target of installing 100,000 new units by 2025. The large, rural state is also hoping to accelerate its so-far slow progress on electric vehicle adoption.

The utilities commission’s goals for its ongoing time-of-use work with Central Maine Power and other stakeholders are to “incentivize customers to shift usage away from the summer peak,” encourage wintertime use of heat pumps and other efficient systems, and complement state rebate and discount programs for this kind of technology.

In its upcoming proposal, the utility must consider at least four alternative rate designs specific to electric vehicles and heat pumps and consider a rebate program for customers who successfully reduce their electricity usage at peak times. The utility is also asked to propose a “customer education and communication plan” on these initiatives, and will have to draft data-gathering plans to aid in future, similar rate design processes.

Rates in this particular proceeding would fit under the distribution charge on customers’ bills. A separate ongoing docket looks at tying similar rates to the supply charge, which is a larger part of ratepayers’ costs.

Landry, the deputy public advocate, said more use of heat pumps and electric vehicles is sure to drive up New England’s peak demand, which typically falls between 5 and 9 p.m. in summer and, increasingly, winter.

Absent large-scale energy storage, Landry said, this increased demand could exceed available renewable power supplies, potentially adding to emissions. New England’s grid remains largely reliant on natural gas and, in recent years’ cold snaps, has tended to burn oil and coal as its backup fuels.

Widespread electrification will require significant and costly investment in transmission and distribution infrastructure, stakeholders say, no matter how rates are designed.

But they see time-of-use as a way to moderate that impact. These rates, Landry said, send a price signal that encourages electricity use at “off-peak” times when it will be easier and cheaper on the grid — nudging people, for example, to wait to charge their cars until near bedtime as opposed to right after work.

The solution is less straightforward for heat pumps, but Landry said pre-heating with a smart thermostat or using an electric thermal storage system could help limit the need for intensive heating during peak hours.

Landry and others agreed that helping customers access technology to manage their electricity use — and making it extremely simple to navigate related rate changes — will be vital to success.

“There needs to be careful consideration and effective implementation of consumer protections to make sure that it doesn’t create financial hardships for customers who are either low-income and/or have high energy burdens, in this time of high electricity prices,” said Phelps Turner, a senior attorney with the Conservation Law Foundation, which is an intervenor in the distribution-focused utilities commission proceeding.

Landry said he feels customers need “an action they can take in response to the price signal.” Otherwise, the rates “may simply penalize customers for using electricity when they have limited options,” he said, or “may be perceived as being burdensome,” creating a potential backlash.

Efficiency Maine, the quasi-governmental agency that runs energy rebate programs for the state, already offers a “load management” incentive of $50 upfront plus $50 a year for electric vehicle drivers who give the agency permission and electronic access to set their cars to charge automatically overnight by default.

“Study after study shows that the cost of our transition, very broadly — like the amount of generation, transmission, distribution that we need to fully electrify our economy — is dramatically lower the more load control you have associated with it,” said Ian Burnes, the agency’s director of strategic initiatives. He referenced a recently published draft study from ISO-New England, the regional grid manager, showing that transmission costs to accommodate increased load rise sharply with higher peak demand.

This means programs like Maine’s existing electric vehicle incentive will be important pairings to any future time-of-use rates, he said. “What we’re trying to build off of is to have devices that can respond to prices,” he said, “so the customer just has to say, ‘I’m just going to set this up once,’ and then the device does the work for them.”

With Central Maine Power’s initial time-of-use plans still in progress, there are open questions remaining around whether participation should be “opt-in,” and whether and how these rates might apply only to people who use relevant technologies or to all ratepayers.

Either way, customer education will be key, said the Conservation Law Foundation’s Turner — either ensuring that ratepayers understand the benefits of signing up if the rates are voluntary, or offering easy steps they can take to avoid penalties and achieve cost savings if the rates are automatically applied.

Burnes said he also hopes that more data-gathering by the utilities and agencies like his will help assess the “fairness” of current and future electrification-focused rates.

Smart meters will be one tool to achieve this, he said, with a goal of determining whether new rates only make power cheaper for some more than for others, or whether they create savings across the system.

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New Fortress Energy, Pemex scrap Mexican deepwater gas project

Energy News Beat

Reuters

New Fortress Energy (NASDAQ:NFE) and state energy company Pemex have terminated a deal to develop what could have been Mexico’s first deepwater natural gas project, Reuters reported Tuesday.

Source: Reuters

Pemex wants to continue with the development of the Lakach gas field in the Gulf of Mexico and is in talks with other companies, according to the report, which did not name the companies.

The Lakach field holds ~900B cf of natural gas, but rising costs and disagreements over how to develop it have hurt the venture, which already has cost more than $1B.

Last week, New Fortress (NFE) reportedly told the U.S. Department of Energy it had begun evaluating a fresh LNG onshore project in the Gulf state of Tamaulipas, and will soon begin operating a floating LNG export terminal off the Tamaulipas port of Altamira.

 

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