$3.5m: How much this COSCO ship might be charged when calling at a US port

Energy News Beat

Public comments continue to fly into the US Trade Representative (USTR) ahead of Monday’s hearing into controversial plans to tax Chinese-built tonnage calling at US ports. 

In the more than 150 submissions sent in, a considerable number have hit out at the unfair, blanket nature of the penalties for container shipping in particular. 

The trade office has recommended potential fees of up to $1.5m per port call for Chinese-built vessels, $1m per port call for operators of Chinese-built ships, and mandatory US-flag shipping requirements.

Most operators in the world have in their fleet one or more ships of Chinese origin meaning that when calling at a US port, they would be subject to a port fee.

Captain Melwyn Noronha, the CEO of lobby group Shipping Australia, pointed out that the blanket charges will penalise smaller containerships far more, suggesting a per teu fee rather than the current plans for a charge per ship. 

A 15,000 teu ship calling the US might expect to pay $200 per teu under current plans proposed by the USTR, Noronha wrote in his submission, while a 1,000 teu vessel could be forced to fork out somewhere in the region of $3,000 per teu. 

“A higher penalty (i.e. a per ship penalty imposed on smaller ships) would likely have a detrimental effect on niche markets where the route and geographic scope does not allow shipping lines to consolidate freight movement across markets, unless the shipping companies would be able to significantly extend lead times,” Noronha argued, suggesting this could cut the flow of perishable goods because of those longer lead times.

“Ultimately, there would be barriers for entry for goods from various smaller export markets compared to goods from other larger markets, such as Asian markets,” Noronha maintained, in his proposal to change any penalty from per ship to per teu. 

In his submission, John McCown, a container shipping veteran who now runs New York-based Blue Alpha Capital, outlined what fees would be for a Chinese COSCO ship in a transpacific service. A weekly service from Asia to the west coast can be accomplished with five ships on a 35-day voyage turn. McCown’s example used 10,000 teu ships as COSCO has many ships in that size range and that is similar to the average ship size in the typical transpacific service. Such a service would typically call at three different west coast ports.

“The first prong of $1 million would clearly apply. With the majority of COSCO’s ships built in China, the second prong at the highest $1.5 million level would also generally apply. Similarly, with the large majority of COSCO’s order book with Chinese shipyards, the third prong would apply at the highest $1 million fee level,” McCown wrote. 

In total, that COSCO ship would be charged $3.5m per port call or $10.5m for each voyage involving three west coast ports. With ten 35-day voyages per year, that would translate into $105m in annual fees just for that one COSCO vessel. If that vessel were to operate at 100% utilisation inbound, generally not possible due to seasonality, it would move 100,000 teu which is the equivalent of $1,050 per teu. That is equivalent to $2,100 for the typical 40’ container moving in that lane. To put that fee into perspective, it is equal to 72% of the latest Drewry spot rate in the Shanghai to Los Angeles tradelane of $2,906 per feu. 

“Clearly that fee would make that COSCO ship non-competitive and trade involving such a ship would be constrained,” McCown wrote.

The fee situation involving ships of other carriers may not be diametrically different even if the circumstances are dissimilar, McCown warned. For instance, CMA CGM, which operates in the Ocean Alliance with COSCO, could be on the hook for fees of $2.75m per call and $8.25m per voyage in transpacific deployments that are most relevant to the US. 

The latest available data from the Bureau of Transportation Statistics shows that there are 39,296 port calls by containerships in the US each year. Based on the proposed actions, McCown’s analysis is that the average fee per call would be at least $1.5m. If the number of calls were to remain unchanged, that translates into $58.9bn in total fees per year related to containerships. 

Various other submissions made to the USTR have pointed out that the penalty fees in their current form would potentially cause lines to rationalise the quantity of calls to the detriment of the smaller ports, and similarly drive more ships to call in Canada and Mexico. 

“It is clear that when you look at the proposals as they are on the table right now, that that would cause massive extra costs for all shipping lines,” Hapag-Lloyd chief executive Rolf Habben Jansen told reporters at the German carrier’s annual results press conference yesterday.

There is also a chance that courts might try and bar the USTR and president Donald Trump from carrying out their plan to penalise Chinese-built tonnage. In 1998, the US Supreme Court ruled unanimously that a harbour maintenance fee was in fact a tax and not a user fee and that it was unconstitutional to apply it to exports. 

Splash will be reporting on the deliberations from the USTR hearing and the Trump administration’s response next week. 

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Baker Hughes nets pair of Petrobras deals

Energy News Beat

AmericasOffshore

Oilfield services giant Baker Hughes has signed a deal with Brazilian oil and gas major Petrobras to provide fully integrated completion systems as well as an agreement for a definitive solution for stress corrosion cracking due to CO2 in flexible pipe systems.

The multi-year contract award for completion systems follows an open tender and will involve the use of a range of technologies specifically tailored to meet the needs of Petrobras’ offshore developments. Delivery will begin in late 2025.

The intelligent completions technologies, combined with conventional upper and lower completions solutions, will provide remote operations capabilities and multizone control, limiting water and gas breakthroughs and reducing the risk of any costly interventions.

Through this agreement, Petrobras will utilise Baker Hughes’ new SureCONTROL Premium interval control valve which provides enhanced reliability in the high flow rates of Petrobras’ offshore fields.

Petrobras will deploy several additional Baker Hughes completions technologies, such as SureSENS QPT Elite downhole gauges and the B-Annulus monitoring system, SureTREAT chemical injection system, Sur-Set flow control system, Orbit Premium barrier valves, a gas lift system, REACH subsurface safety valves, DeepShield subsurface safety valves, Premier packers, screens, and gravel pack system.

Earlier this week, the two companies signed an agreement that encompasses development and testing including a purchase option of the resulting next-generation flexible pipes, which will have an extended service life of 30 years in high-CO2 environments.

The collaborative effort between Baker Hughes and Petrobras will be primarily executed at Baker Hughes’ Rio de Janeiro Energy Technology Innovation Center and nearby flexible pipe systems manufacturing plant.

Stress corrosion cracking due to CO2 was identified in 2016 and can affect flexible pipes in pre-salt fields which have high concentrations of naturally occurring CO2.

This issue is particularly acute in Brazil’s pre-salt fields, where Petrobras is reinjecting CO2 from their production operations into wells to reduce flaring and enhance oil recovery.

Operators in high-CO2 environments have relied on solutions that mitigate the impact of this issue while limiting the service life of risers and flowlines. Baker Hughes’ flexible pipe systems and advanced monitoring technologies have proven effective at minimizing this impact, and the company is a major supplier of flexible pipe systems to Petrobras.

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UK firm to oversee Petrojarl I FPSO transition to Amplus Energy

Energy News Beat

EuropeOffshore

Aberdeen-headquartered Amplus Energy has hired V.Ships Offshore to oversee the transition of the recently acquired Petrojarl I FPSO.

Altera Infrastructure sold the FPSO unit to Amplus last month. Described as the most deployed FPSO in history, the 1986-built vessel’s last charter was with Enauta at the Atlanta field in Brazil’s Santos Basin.

The 215-m-long unit was Altera’s very first FPSO and the industry’s first newbuild harsh environment FPSO. The Nippon Kokan-built unit has previously operated 11 offshore fields.

The acquisition of the FPSO, which has a production capacity of 30,000 bopd, marks Amplus’ entry into the FPSO acquisition market after years of focus on delivering field development solutions, offering vessel design and leasing options over direct ownership.

To ensure a safe and efficient transition into Amplus ownership, the company picked V. Group subsidiary V.Ships Offshore to attend to initial vessel management and crewing, shipyard work scope preparation and execution oversight as well as to provide support throughout the deployment and operational phases

“The overwhelming industry interest in our acquisition of Petrojarl I reaffirms the demand for cost-efficient, lower-production solutions in the market,” said Amplus managing director, Steve Gardyne. “We have strategic plans for further vessel ownership, with the aim of being the redeployment vessel contractor of choice.”

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Wisdom Marine returns to Japan for more handysize newbuilds

Energy News Beat

Taiwanese shipowner and operator Wisdom Marine is adding more Japanese handysize bulkers to its orderbook.

In a regulatory filing, the Taipei-based company said it would pay up to $70.75m for a pair of 39,000 dwt units to be built at Naikai Zosen.

The country’s largest dry bulk shipowner has a fleet of over 140 vessels with a series of handysize newbuilding projects lined up across Japanese yards such as Saiki Heavy Industries of the Onomichi Dockyard, Namura Shipbuilding and Imabari Shipbuilding.

Early last year, the company also booked a pair of kamsarmaxes at Tsuneishi Shipbuilding for delivery in 2026.

Delivery dates for the latest handi duo have yet to be divulged.

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Flags of questionable quality grow market share

Energy News Beat

Over 5,000 vessels  – equivalent to 14.5% of the global merchant fleet – operate under registries with less than 10% ratification of International Maritime Organization and the International Labour Organization conventions, increasing exposure to enforcement actions, according to new data from analytics firm Kpler.

“Flag risks are increasingly shaping maritime due diligence, impacting regulatory scrutiny, financial exposure, and operational integrity. The strategic use of high-risk flags in evasive practices, such as flag-hopping and shadow fleet operations, underscores the complexities of compliance in global shipping,” wrote Dimitris Ampatzidis, a risk and compliance analyst at Kpler, in a new report. 

Sanctioned vessel operations have doubled since early 2023, according to Kpler with more than 600 sanctioned vessels operating under high-risk flags.

The dark fleet cast its shadow over the International Chamber of Shipping’s (ICS) latest annual flag state performance table with four new countries – familiar homes to Russia’s fleet – added to the list.

Cambodia, Eswatini, Gabon and Guinea-Bissau were added to the survey, published last month, which charts the best and worst performing major flag states, while the British Virgin Islands, Costa Rica and Uruguay have been removed due to their relatively small fleet sizes.

“The new additions, Cambodia, Eswatini, Gabon and Guinea-Bissau are reportedly used by some shipping companies seeking to bypass US/EU/G7 sanctions, leading to concerns as to whether international maritime standards are being properly enforced on board ships flying the flags of these States,” the ICS stated in a release. 

Splash has reported repeatedly about the growth of shipping registers fuelled by the shadow fleet and Russia’s determination to keep exports flowing despite sanctions.

San Marino, Guyana, Sierra Leone, Comoro Islands, Guinea Bissau and most notably Guinea were the flag states that stood out for their extraordinary fleet growth in the data compiled in the late January issue of Clarksons Research’s World Fleet Monitor.

Wily, shady entrepreneurs are scanning world maps to seek ever more distant outposts to establish ship registers to help grease the flows of the dark fleet. France and The Netherlands have recently submitted a paper to the International Maritime Organization’s legal committee about the emergence of two new shipping flags with questionable credentials, one in the Caribbean and the other, a disputed, uninhabited volcanic island in the South Pacific. The submission hits out at what is described as the “fraudulent” registers of Sint Maarten and Matthew Island (pictured).

It’s not just flags in far off places that have seen business surge in line with the growth of the shadow fleet. Less established names in classification and insurance have emerged. For instance, 86% of the global merchant fleet is now insured with the 12 P&I clubs that form the International Group, down from 95% prior to Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine three years ago. Similarly the amount of tonnage classed by the established members of the International Association of Classification Societies (IACS) has dropped two percentage points over the past three years to 92%. 

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Investigators warn 68 American bridges are at risk from a Dali-style accident

Energy News Beat

AmericasPorts and Logistics

The one-year anniversary since 2024’s most high-profile ship accident is next week, and the fallout from the Dali containership’s destruction of a bridge in Baltimore continues to permeate throughout the US. 

In the early hours of March 26 last year, the Dali lost power after leaving the port of Baltimore and struck a pillar of the Francis Scott Key Bridge, causing it to collapse, killing six construction workers and leading to one of the biggest investigations ever carried out by the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB).

The NTSB said this week that 68 bridges across the US, including some of the country’s most famous ones such as the Golden Gate, should be assessed to see if they are at risk of collapse if hit by a ship. Transportation safety officials have urged the bridges’ owners to undertake immediate vulnerability assessments.

The Key Bridge, which at 2.6 km was Baltimore’s largest bridge, was almost 30 times greater than the risk threshold based on guidance established by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, or AASHTO, NTSB officials said. But the owner of the bridge never evaluated that risk.

“A risk level above the acceptable threshold doesn’t mean a collapse from a vessel collision is an absolute certainty,” said NTSB chair Jennifer Homendy. “What we are telling bridge owners is that they need to know the risk and determine what actions they need to take to ensure safety.”

The NTSB is also urging the Federal Highway Administration, the US Coast Guard and the US Army Corps of Engineers to establish a team to offer guidance and assistance to bridge owners on evaluating and reducing the risk of a collapse from a vessel collision. Other well known bridges cited by the NTSB include New York’s iconic Brooklyn Bridge. 

Legal cases surrounding the Dali accident are expected to run for many years costing hundreds of millions of dollars.

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Hacker group claims to have knocked out comms on 116 Iranian vessels

Energy News Beat

Lab Dookhtegan, a hacker group, has claimed this week it has disrupted the communication networks of 116 ships belonging to Iran’s top two shipping firms.

“In an unprecedented move, we successfully disrupted the communication network of two Iranian companies that, among various terrorist activities, are responsible for supplying munitions to Houthis,” the group wrote on Telegram.

The attack, which the group says was timed to coincide with US military operations against the Iran-backed Yemeni Houthis, severed the ships’ connections to each other, their ports, and external communication channels.

Fifty ships belonging to the National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC) and 66 ships belonging to the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL) were targeted.

Lab Dookhtegan said full restoration of the affected systems could take weeks.

The hackers said the attack was the “tip of the iceberg,” with further operations planned.

“Communication devices are the bottleneck of maritime vessels,” commented Cydome, a maritime security specialist analysing this week’s fleet-wide attacks on Iranian ships. “This makes the ship’s communication device a single point of failure, and if a malicious actor hacks the communication device (VSAT or other), it can take complete control over all communications of the vessel and even spread out to the IT and OT systems.”

Cydome said the fact that malware or malicious commands were delivered to 116 vessels simultaneously indicates a high degree of automation and coordination in the attack.

The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations centre reported many vessels experiencing GPS interference in the Strait of Hormuz last week, with disruptions lasting several hours, affecting navigation systems and requiring vessels to rely on backup methods.

Yesterday’s saw a fourth round of sanctions announced in Washington DC targeting Iranian oil sales since Donald Trump returned to power, ordering a campaign of maximum pressure on Iran. 

Iran exports are estimated to have declined to 1.35m barrels per day on average during January and February, as compared to their 2024 average of 1.70m barrels per day. There are increasing reports of volumes lifting from Iran but facing extended storage time in Southeast Asia as the pool of buyers and ships available has tightened.

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Chinese teapot refinery included in latest round of American sanctions targeting Iranian oil

Energy News Beat

The US Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has designated a so-called teapot oil refinery in Shasndong, China and its chief executive officer for purchasing and refining hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of Iranian crude oil, including from vessels linked to the Houthis, and the Iranian Ministry of Defense of Armed Forces Logistics (MODAFL).

“Teapot refinery purchases of Iranian oil provide the primary economic lifeline for the Iranian regime, the world’s leading state sponsor of terror,” said secretary of the treasury Scott Bessent. “The United States is committed to cutting off the revenue streams that enable Tehran’s continued financing of terrorism and development of its nuclear program.”

OFAC is additionally imposing sanctions on 19 entities and vessels responsible for shipping millions of barrels of Iranian oil, comprising part of Iran’s fleet of tankers supplying teapot refineries like Luqing Petrochemical. 

Yesterday’s action marks the fourth round of sanctions targeting Iranian oil sales since Donald Trump returned to power, ordering a campaign of maximum pressure on Iran. 

Iran exports are estimated to have declined to 1.35m barrels per day on average during January and February, as compared to their 2024 average of 1.70m barrels per day. There are increasing reports of volumes lifting from Iran but facing extended storage time in Southeast Asia as the pool of buyers and ships available has tightened.

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Risks may change but the dry bulk market is all about managing exposure

Energy News Beat

Shipping and trading firms need to think differently to achieve robust risk governance, writes Thomas Zaidman, managing director of Sagitta Marine.

The past decade has been a rollercoaster for commodity markets with extreme swings in freight rates to geopolitical shocks affecting supply global chains. Volatility is a fact of life in the shipping markets, in the tramp trades it creates risk and opportunity in almost equal measure. 

The key is the ability to take on the volatility that matches your risk appetite and to use the tools at your disposal to manage the exposure. 

It’s a process that cannot be managed on gut instinct alone, however much old hands might tell you this counts more than a properly implemented strategy.

At the end of last year, I wrote an article suggesting that we had only just begun to experience the waves of disruption that would inevitably arrive with the second Trump presidency, sanctions, tariffs and ongoing conflicts. 

The volatility that flows from geopolitical dislocation is unpredictable as it comes, whipsawing between opportunity and potential catastrophe. These aren’t market conditions for the faint of heart or the unprepared. 

As someone who’s spent years navigating the cycles of the dry bulk market, I’ve learned that companies who integrate risk governance into their strategy consistently outperform those that rely on ’market intuition’.

Lesson #1: The Best Time to Hedge Is Before You Need To

Many firms avoid hedging their market risk until volatility hits, then scramble to lock in rates at unfavourable levels.

In 2021, when freight rates surged to record highs, those who had structured time-charter hedges ahead of time avoided financial disaster.

From a governance point of view, corporate boards must mandate proactive hedging policies rather than leaving them to commercial teams’ discretion. This requires developing a quarterly risk scenario analysis to adjust exposure accordingly.

Lesson #2: Balance Sheet Strength Is The Best Risk Hedge

Companies that have over-leveraged themselves making speculative trades or through aggressive fleet expansion are the ones that suffer the most in downturns.

Liquidity buffers are a critical means of risk management — many firms don’t appreciate this until a crisis forces them into a fire sale of positions.

The fix for this problem is to set a minimum liquidity ratio policy to prevent overexposure to market conditions. This requires a stress-testing framework to model cash flow under worst-case scenarios.

Lesson #3: Geopolitical and Sanctions Risks Are No Longer Rare Events

As we have seen over the past five years, supply chains can be subject to disruption almost overnight. In 2024 and 2025 politics has taken centre stage, from the Russia-Ukraine war to the Red Sea crisis.

Today’s boards must treat sanctions risk and cargo security as core governance issues, not just compliance checkboxes.

To manage the process, companies need to appoint a dedicated geopolitical risk officer or advisory role at the board level. This needs to be supplemented with a real-time monitoring system for sanctions and regulatory changes.

Lesson #4: Not All Good Advice Has To Be New

Don’t forget though that it pays to recognise your strengths and accept your vulnerabilities as a company. 

At Sagitta, we hedge every ton of fuel we take. Our view is that while we know the freight market well, we don’t claim to have an edge in the oil market. For us, bunker price volatility is an exposure we manage systematically rather than speculate on.

Unlike some owners who avoid hedging because they believe they can time the market, we see it as a fundamental risk mitigation tool – just like a time charterer fixing forward cover for freight. Given the sharp swings in fuel prices over the years, not hedging is, in many ways, a directional bet on oil, and that’s not a risk we’re willing to take.

What happens next?

Knowing the answer to this question is what every shipowner asks themselves when they wake up in the morning. There is no one simple answer; it takes a co-ordinated approach and putting resources in place to understand, prepare for and manage risk. 

As to thriving in volatile markets, companies that treat risk governance as a strategic function, not an afterthought are the ones that will profit.

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Where Condos Already Came Unglued: 10 Big Cities with Price Drops from 10% to 22% from Peak

Energy News BeatPrice

Austin, Oakland, San Francisco, Detroit, New Orleans, Jacksonville, Denver, Portland, Seattle, Mesa. Tampa is almost there, as are other markets.

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET.

Here are 10 big cities where condo prices have dropped by 10% to 22% from their respective peaks. Most of those peaks were in mid-2022. They’re examples of home prices coming unglued in many markets, while they’re still rising in other markets. Every market dances to its own drummer, as we can see in the charts below.

The city of Austin leads the pack with condo prices down by 22% from the peak in July 2022, followed by Oakland, with a decline of 20% from the peak in May 2022.

Not on this list yet is Tampa, which is a top runner-up, lacking just one small additional month-to-month down-tick to get to -10%, which would then qualify it for this list.

We’re looking at seasonally adjusted three-month average prices of “mid-tier” condos. Limiting the choice to “mid-tier” minimizes the impact of shifts in the mix. The data are from the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), which is based on millions of data points in Zillow’s “Database of All Homes,” including from public records (tax data), MLS, brokerages, local Realtor Associations, real-estate agents, and households across the US. It includes pricing data for off-market deals and for-sale-by-owner deals.

If these charts look absurd, it’s because the housing market became absurd in the early 2000s, when the Fed kept interest rates too low for too long, creating the enormous Housing Bubble 1 that then turned into the enormous Housing Bust 1, which turned into the Financial Crisis, upon which the Fed used zero-interest-rate policy (ZIRP) and QE to restart this process all over again.

But nothing compared to what the Fed did during the pandemic, which led to below-3% mortgages further fueled by its trillions of dollars in QE and by the federal government’s trillions of dollars in annual deficit spending. And all this turned the housing market into an absurdity that is now coming unglued.

Austin, City, Condo Prices
From Jun 2022 peak MoM YoY Since 2000
-22% -0.6% -5.7% 122%

Oakland, City, Condo Home Prices
From May 2022 peak MoM YoY Since 2000
-20% -0.6% -6.7% 183%

San Francisco, City, Condo Prices
From May 2022 peak MoM YoY Since 2000
-14% 0.2% 0.1% 144%

Detroit, City, Condo Prices
From Sep 2021 peak MoM YoY Since 2000
-13% -0.4% -5.0% 270%

New Orleans, City, Condo Prices
From Jun 2022 peak MoM YoY Since 2000
-11% 0.1% -5.5% 102%

Jacksonville, FL, City, Condo Prices
From Nov 2022 peak MoM YoY Since 2000
-10% -0.6% -6.9% 176%

Denver, City, Condo Prices
From Jun 2022 peak MoM YoY Since 2000
-10.0% -0.4% -4.7% 152%

Portland, City, Condo Prices
From May 2022 peak MoM YoY Since 2000
-10% -0.3% -3.1% 118%

Seattle, City Condo Prices
From May 2022 peak MoM YoY Since 2000
-10% 0.0% -1.2% 148%

Mesa, City, Condo Prices
From July 2022 peak MoM YoY Since 2000
-10% -0.3% -3.5% 218%

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