Berkshire Cash Pile Hits All-Time High $157 Billion, As Buffett Sells A Record $38BN In Stock In Past Year

Energy News Beat

Over the years, Warren Buffett has been opportunistic and “fluid” with his ideals and political opinions – he describes himself as a “democrat” yet without batting an eyelid will demand government bailouts for his portfolio of companies –  but he has been steadfast about one thing: he refuses to spend money on stock purchases or corporate acquisitions unless there is significant value to be exploited. In which case, one can probably conclude that the market is still woefully overvalued because earlier today Buffett’s conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway reported solid Q3 earnings but more importantly, revealed a cash pile that had grown by $10 billion in the third quarter to a record $157.2 billion (consisting of $30.8 billion in cash and $126.4 billion in investments in T-Bills, up from $93 billion at the end of last year), and set to overtake Apple’s own cash hoard (which as we noted earlier this week has been declining) of $162 billion as soon as this quarter.

“Cash deployment is definitely slowing,” said Jim Shanahan, an analyst with Edward Jones. “Ultimately Berkshire’s going to start feeling some pressure to put cash to work.”

Perhaps… but not yet; in fact in the third quarter, Berkshire was a net seller of stock for the fourth quarter, liquidating another $5.3 billion in shares and bringing the total sales over the past 12 months to a record $38.3 billion.

Despite ramping up Berkshire’s acquisition machine in recent years, the company has still struggled to find many of the big-ticket deals that galvanized Buffett’s renown, leaving him with more cash than he and his investing deputies could quickly deploy. After hanging back during the pandemic, he’s since snapped up shares in Occidental Petroleum (despite owning 26% of the company, Buffett has said he has no plans to acquire the company outright) and struck a $11.6 billion deal to buy Alleghany. Buffett has also leaned heavily on share repurchases amid the dearth of appealing alternatives, saying the measures benefit shareholders.

Separately, the conglomerate also reported operating earnings of $10.76 billion, a jump on the prior year, as it benefited from the impact of elevated interest rates on the cash pile and gains at its insurance businesses. However, including investment and derivatives losses, Berkshire posted a loss for the quarter of almost $12.8 billion, well above last year’s $2.8 billion loss, which largely came from a decline in its big Apple stake. Shares of the iPhone maker fell 11.7% during the quarter but have rebounded over 3% since.

Strength in Berkshire’s insurance unit, plus the inclusion of Pilot Flying J earnings which Berkshire did not include in results last year, helped drive profitability. Berkshire said its insurance businesses posted a profit of $2.42 billion versus a loss in the prior-year period, when the insurance industry was being pummeled by catastrophes.

Geico, the crown jewel of Berkshire’s insurance empire and Buffett’s “favorite child,” reported another profitable quarter as it curtailed advertising expenses by 54% year-to-date; total underwriting earnings at the unit were $1.1 billion. The auto insurer is in the middle of a turnaround after losing market share to competitor Progressive. The improvement follows efforts by the division to overhaul underwriting after struggling with higher costs for replacing or repairing damaged vehicles. The effort cost it market share — raising the question if it will seek to reclaim that ground.

Berkshire’s railroad, BNSF, however, saw a 15% decline in earnings as the railroad division grappled with lower volumes and higher costs.

Berkshire posted stronger operating earnings despite Buffett cautioning at its annual meeting in Omaha in May that earnings at the majority of its operating units could fall this year as an “incredible period” for the US economy draws to the end. Still, the Fed’s rapid rate hikes helped the firm reap huge returns on the cash it stockpiles mostly in short-dated US Treasuries.

That said, those higher rates also created headaches for some of Berkshire’s industrial businesses: the conglomerate’s building products businesses saw revenue slip 11% due to the run-up in mortgage rates.

“The effects of significant increases in home mortgage interest rates in the US over the past year has slowed demand for our home building businesses and our other building products businesses,” Berkshire said in a report detailing results. “We continue to anticipate certain of our businesses will experience weakening demand and declines in revenues and earnings into 2024.”

The jump in profits has been rewarded by the market, which pushed Berkshire’s Class B shares to a record high in September as investors sought out its diversified range of businesses as a hedge against deteriorating economic conditions. And while the shares pared some of those gains, the stock is still up almost 14% for the full year, in line with the S&P500.

A part of that boost to BRK’s stock came from the company itself: the firm spent $1.1 billion on buybacks in Q3, bringing the total for the first nine months of the year to about $7 billion. The conglomerate trimmed its overall equities portfolio in the quarter, making almost $15.7 billion on sales net of purchases.

As usual, Berkshire Hathaway asked investors to look past the quarterly fluctuations in Berkshire’s equity portfolio.

“The amount of investment gains/losses in any given quarter is usually meaningless and delivers figures for net earnings (losses) per share that can be extremely misleading to investors who have little or no knowledge of accounting rules,” the company said in a statement.

Berkshire also acknowledged the negative economic impact from the pandemic, as well as geopolitical risks and inflation pressures.

“To varying degrees, our operating businesses have been impacted by government and private sector actions to mitigate the adverse economic effects of the COVID-19 virus and its variants as well as by the development of geopolitical conflicts, supply chain disruptions and government actions to slow inflation,” Berkshire said. “The economic effects from these events over longer terms cannot be reasonably estimated at this time.”

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Energy giants’ LNG trading results reveal diverging regional bets

Energy News Beat

Nasdaq

LONDON – Energy giants offered a rare glimpse into their liquefied natural gas (LNG) trading strategies in recent days, with Shell’s and TotalEnergies’ bets on rising Asian demand paying off while BP’s bet on a European deficit turned sour.

Source: Reuters

The contrasting outcomes highlight the risky nature of trading divisions, at times notching up spectacular profits as traders quickly exploit price swings and supply and demand disruptions around the world to make money, but at other times losses have been just as spectacular.

Companies rarely reveal details on their trading activities beyond general commentary on their performance, but executives this week shed some light on their performance in the third quarter.

ShellSHEL.L and TotalEnergiesTTEF.PA successfully bet on rising Asian demand for LNG ahead of winter, resulting in strong earnings from trading. BP’sBP.L focus on Atlantic basin markets, where demand was muted due to full inventories, led to a sharp drop in trading profits.

BP’s third quarter profits of $3.3 billion missed analysts’ forecasts by around 20%, partly accounted for by poor LNG trading results.

“Gas trading was exceptional in the first quarter, exceptional in the second quarter and had a weak quarter in the third quarter. That’s just from a lack of structure inside the markets,” BP interim CEO Murray Auchincloss told Reuters.

“Trading organizations make money on volatility. And there was just no volatility,” Auchincloss said.

The lack of volatility stemmed from high inventory levels in the U.S. and European markets as European buyers stocked up to avoid a repeat of record gas prices last winter after Russia cut off major gas supplies into Europe.

Oswald Clint, analyst at Bernstein, said that “BP is more active in LNG trading in the U.S and Europe.”

On the other hand, “Shell and TotalEnergies are more exposed to the LNG arbitrage (differences in prices) between the East and West and this was open in the third quarter,” he added.

“Asian buyers are back in the LNG business,” TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne told analysts last week. “Today, most of the cargoes are going to Asia because the spot market is in favor of Asia.”

A Shell spokesperson said the strong earnings from LNG trading benefited from “arbitrage opportunities due to seasonal weather effects” including heatwaves in Europe and Asia, as well as uncertainty over LNG production in Australia due to threatened industrial action.

The trading results helped Shell weather a drop in LNG production due to maintenance at several key plants, including its 3.6 mtpa Prelude floating LNG production facility off the coast of Australia.

Shell is the world’s top LNG trader, shipping around 66 million metric tons in 2022, 16.5% of the global LNG market of 400 million tons per year (mtpa).

TotalEnergies, the second largest, shipped 48 million tonnes last year. BP traded around 25 million tonnes last year, according to analysts and traders.

 

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Chevron to promote Venezuelan oil chief to run Latin American operations following sanctions relief

Energy News Beat

World Oil

(Bloomberg) – Chevron Corp. will promote Javier La Rosa to run its operations in Latin America as it builds its presence in the region. La Rosa, who joined the oil giant in 2000, will be based in Buenos Aires and replace Eric Dunning, who is set to retire after a 40-plus year career at the company, Chevron said.

Source: Reuters

The change takes effect in April. Mariano Vela will succeed La Rosa as country manager for Venezuela.

The move comes as Chevron charts a path for a bigger role in Latin America with its proposed $53 billion acquisition of Hess Corp. The deal includes Hess’s 30% stake in an Exxon Mobil Corp.-led oil project in Guyana, the world’s largest discovery in the past decade.

In Venezuela, the company will expand works, including new drilling, after the Biden administration temporarily lifted a four-year ban on the country’s oil industry. Chevron expects production in the country to increase 15% by the end of the year, Chief Financial Officer Pierre Breber said in an interview last month.

The San Ramon, California-based company is the only U.S. oil major left in Venezuela since the late Hugo Chavez seized the assets of competitors Exxon and ConocoPhillips in the 2000s. During La Rosa’s tenure, Chevron obtained a license from the U.S. Treasury that allowed it to continue limited works in the country. It also conducted negotiations with the Nicolas Maduro regime to rewrite the terms of its oil contracts with Petroleos de Venezuela SA, secured control of its oil operations and restarted crude exports to the U.S.

La Rosa previously served as president of Chevron’s Brazil and Colombia operations, and has worked for the company in Europe, Asia and Africa.

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Oil heads for weekly loss as geopolitical risk premium wanes

Energy News Beat

CNBC

Oil rose on Friday, as the U.S. jobs market slowed more than expected last month, bolstering expectations of a pause in interest rate hikes in the world’s biggest consumer, but they remained on track for a weekly loss as supply concerns driven by Middle East tensions eased.

Source: CNBC

Brent crude futures were up 81 cents, or 0.9%, to $87.66 a barrel at 1243 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained $1.01, or 1.2%, to $83.47 a barrel.

Both benchmarks gained more than $2 a barrel on Thursday, but were on track to lose up to 3% on the week.

U.S. job growth slowed more than expected in October, official data showed on Friday, while wage inflation cooled, pointing to an easing in labour market conditions.

The data could bolster the view that the U.S. Federal Reserve need not raise interest rates further.

The Fed held interest rates steady on Wednesday, while the Bank of England held rates at a 15-year peak. The stable policies kept oil prices supported as some risk appetite returned to markets.

Meanwhile, China’s manufacturing activity unexpectedly contracted in October. The official purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 49.5 in October from 50.2, dipping back below the 50-point level demarcating contraction from expansion, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed on Wednesday.

On Friday, a private sector survey showed China’s services activity expanded at a slightly faster pace in October, but sales grew at the softest rate in 10 months and employment stagnated as business confidence waned.

On the supply side, Saudi Arabia is expected to reconfirm an extension of its voluntary oil output cut of 1 million barrels per day through December, based on analyst expectations.

Geopolitical concerns also remained in focus.

“The oil market will be watching for an escalation of tensions, particularly on the Lebanese border, as Hezbollah attacks increase,” City Index Fiona Cincotta said.

Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah on Friday is expected to make his first public comments since Hamas and Israel went to war, a speech that will be scrutinised for clues on how the group’s role in the conflict might evolve.

 

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Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks

Energy News Beat

Time to act, carefully as the market rally revs up. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire reported strong earnings and a record cash pile. Nvidia leads stocks near buy points.
The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Investor’s Business Daily. 

The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Energy News Beat.

 

Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks

Energy News Beat

Time to act, carefully as the market rally revs up. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire reported strong earnings and a record cash pile. Nvidia leads stocks near buy points.
The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Investor’s Business Daily. 

The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Energy News Beat.

 

Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks

Energy News Beat

Time to act, carefully as the market rally revs up. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire reported strong earnings and a record cash pile. Nvidia leads stocks near buy points.
The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Investor’s Business Daily. 

The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Energy News Beat.

 

Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks

Energy News Beat

Time to act, carefully as the market rally revs up. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire reported strong earnings and a record cash pile. Nvidia leads stocks near buy points.
The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Investor’s Business Daily. 

The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Energy News Beat.

 

Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks

Energy News Beat

Time to act, carefully as the market rally revs up. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire reported strong earnings and a record cash pile. Nvidia leads stocks near buy points.
The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Investor’s Business Daily. 

The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Energy News Beat.

 

Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks

Energy News Beat

Time to act, carefully as the market rally revs up. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire reported strong earnings and a record cash pile. Nvidia leads stocks near buy points.
The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Investor’s Business Daily. 

The post Dow Jones Futures: After Big Market Rally, What To Do; Warren Buffett Still Selling Stocks appeared first on Energy News Beat.