Adnoc plans to boost Das Island LNG capacity by 0.9 mtpa

Energy News Beat

Adnoc Gas, the gas and LNG unit of UAE’s energy giant Adnoc, plans to add about 0.9 mtpa of production capacity at its Das Island liquefaction plant by debottlenecking the terminal’s three liquefaction trains.

The liquefaction and export terminal on Das Island in the Persian Gulf currently has a capacity of 6 million tons per annum (mtpa).

Adnoc owns a 70 percent stake in the operator of the facility, Adnoc LNG, while Mitsui holds 15 percent, BP owns 10 percent, and TotalEnergies holds 5 percent.

The facility started exporting LNG back in 1977.

State-owned Adnoc launched Adnoc Gas on January 1 as it looks to further expand its international presence.

Adnoc Gas recently signed a deal to supply LNG to Jera Global Markets, a joint venture between majority shareholderJera and EDF, and it  also signed a deal with a unit of state-owned PetroChina.

The total value of LNG supply agreements signed by Adnoc Gas since its listing in March this year is between $9.4 billion and $12 billion, the firm previously said.

Adnoc Gas revealed in its third-quarter report that it plans to boost production capacity at the Das Island plant by 0.9 mtpa.

The firm slightly increased the planned capacity boost as it said in the first-quarter report that it expects to add 0.8 mtpa of capacity.

According to Adnoc Gas, the “LNG 2.0” project includes electrification of LNG trains to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, debottlenecking LNG trains, and ethane extraction and export.

Besides 0.9 mtpa of LNG, it will add 1.2 mtpa of ethane and 1.1 mtpa of C3+, it said.

Adnoc Gas expects to complete the project in 2028.

This is the case with its second LNG terminal in Al Ruwais as well.

Adnoc recently said it is “advancing towards” a final investment decision to build the LNG terminal.

Earlier this year, Adnoc announced it will build its second LNG terminal in Al Ruwais. The firm previously planned to construct the facility in Fujairah.

Adnoc Gas recently also awarded US energy services firm Baker Hughes a contract for the planned LNG export terminal.

Located in Al Ruwais Industrial City, the project features two 4.8 mtpa LNG trains operating on renewable and nuclear energy, which will make it the MENA region’s first LNG project to be powered by “clean energy”, according to Adnoc.

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Commission welcomes deal on first-ever EU law to curb methane emissions in the EU and globally

Energy News Beat

The Commission welcomes the provisional agreement reached today between the European Parliament and Council on a new EU Regulation to reduce energy sector methane emissions in Europe and in our global supply chains. Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas – the second biggest contributor to climate change after carbon dioxide (CO2) – and is also a potent air pollutant. Today’s agreement is therefore crucial to delivering the European Green Deal and reducing our net greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55% by 2030. It will oblige the fossil gas, oil and coal industry to properly measure, monitor, report and verify their methane emissions according to the highest monitoring standards, and take action to reduce them. Today’s agreement comes just a few weeks ahead of COP28, where the EU will continue its engagement with international partners on reducing methane emissions.

Reducing methane emissions in the EU

The Regulation agreed today aims to stop the avoidable release of methane into the atmosphere and to minimise leaks of methane by fossil energy companies operating in the EU.

It requires operators to report regularly to the competent authorities about quantification and measurements of methane emissions at source level, including for non-operated assets;
It obliges oil and gas companies to carry out regular surveys of their equipment to detect and repair methane leaks on the EU territory within specific deadlines;
It bans routine venting and flaring by the oil and gas sectors and restricts non-routine venting and flaring to unavoidable circumstances, for example for safety reasons or in case of equipment malfunction;
It limits venting from thermal coal mines from 2027, with stricter conditions kicking in after 2031;
It requires companies in the oil, gas and coal sectors to carry out an inventory of closed, inactive, plugged and abandoned assets, such as wells and mines, to monitor their emissions and to adopt a plan to mitigate these emissions as soon as possible. 

Boosting transparency and action on emissions from imported oil, gas and coal

The EU imports a large share of the oil, gas and coal it consumes. This Regulation will also tackle the methane emissions related to these imports.

It establishes a methane transparency database where data on methane emissions reported by importers and EU operators will be made available to the public;
It requires the Commission to establish methane performance profiles of countries and companies to allow importers to make informed choices on their energy imports;
The Commission will also put in place a global methane emitters monitoring tool and a rapid alert mechanism for super-emitting events, with information on the magnitude, recurrence and location of high methane-emitting sources both within and outside the EU. As part of this tool, the Commission will be able to request prompt information on action to address these leaks by the countries concerned;
As of January 2027, the Regulation requires that new import contracts for oil, gas and coal can be only concluded if the same monitoring, reporting and verification obligations are applied by exporters as for EU producers. The Regulation will set out a methane intensity methodology and maximum levels to be met for new contracts for oil, gas and coal.

These new transparency obligations on international partners will inform the EU’s bilateral and multilateral dialogues with global energy partners. Over 150 countries have committed to reduce their methane emissions by signing up to the Global Methane Pledge with the aim of reducing methane emissions by 30% by 2030, and this tool will help us to work with partners to achieve these important goals.

Next steps

Today’s provisional agreement now requires formal adoption by both the European Parliament and the Council. Once this process is completed, the new legislation will be published in the Official Journal of the Union and enter into force.

Background

The EU Methane Regulation for the energy sector was proposed in December 2021 as part of the proposals to deliver the European Green Deal. This is the EU’s first-ever legislation to curb harmful methane emissions in the energy sector. The legislative proposal followed the EU Methane Strategy adopted in 2020.

Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas, second only to carbon dioxide in its overall contribution to climate change and responsible for about a third of current climate warming. The most recent IPCC report outlines that methane levels are at an all-time high and well above the emission levels compatible with limiting warming to the 1.5°C goal in the Paris Agreement. Reducing methane emissions is one of the fastest, most effective ways to slow down global warming. However, accurate, source-level, methane emissions data is needed from countries and industry across the globe to make meaningful progress.

The EU is leading international action to tackle methane emissions. Together with the US, the EU launched the Global Methane Pledge at the COP26 UN Climate Conference in Glasgow in 2021. At COP27 last year, the EU, together with the United States, Japan, Canada, Norway, Singapore and the United Kingdom adopted a Joint Declaration from Energy Importers and Exporters on Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Fossil Fuels, committing to take rapid action in reducing methane emissions.

Source: Ec.europa.eu

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GasLog inks $2.8 billion financing deal, secures new charter contracts

Energy News Beat

Greek LNG shipping firm GasLog has signed a new five-year sustainability-linked credit facility in the amount of $2.8 billion. The firm also secured new charter deals for its LNG carriers.

The Peter Livanos-led company, which earlier this year completed its merger with GasLog Partners, revealed these deals in its third-quarter report issued on Thursday.

According to GasLog, the senior secured reducing revolving credit facility includes decarbonization and social key performance targets as a component of the facility pricing.

This financing involves 14 international banks.

The facility refinances all outstanding debt of $2.1 billion secured by 23 LNG carriers across both GasLog and GasLog Partners, it said.

Moreover, the 23 LNG carriers (12 GasLog vessels and 11 GasLog Partners vessels) included in the facility are comprised of ten dual-fuel two-stroke engine propulsion (X-DF) LNG carriers, ten TFDE LNG carriers, and three steam LNG carriers.

The facility has a five-year tenor, includes two one-year extension options and simplifies GasLog’s debt structure, providing incremental available liquidity to the company while reducing interest cost and debt service requirements, the firm said.

GasLog said the transaction was completed on November 13, with the company drawing down an amount of $2.1 billion and $672 million remaining available for general corporate purposes.

Beside this financing deal, GasLog secured new charter deals for its LNG carriers.

Post-quarter end, GasLog extended by five years the time charter agreement of the TFDE LNG carrier GasLog Singapore, with New Fortress Energy Transport Partners, with the contract now due to expire in 2030.

Earlier this year GasLog and NFE extended the charter deal for the 2010-built 155,000-cbm, GasLog Singapore, for about two years.

This charter now will last until June 2030, according to GasLog.

In addition to this LNG carrier, GasLog Partners signed a multi-year time charter agreement for the TFDE LNG carrier GasLog Santiago, with a “major energy exploration company”, it said.

The 2013-built 155,000-cbm vessel is now chartered to Trafigura Maritime Logistic and the charter expires in December this year.

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China brands Biden ‘irresponsible’

Energy News Beat

The US president said he stood by his description of Xi Jinping as a “dictator,” hours after meeting him in San Francisco

The Chinese Foreign Ministry has described as erroneous and irresponsible Joe Biden’s characterization of Xi Jinping as a “dictator.”

The US president doubled down on the description, however, hours after meeting his Chinese counterpart in San Francisco on Wednesday.

Biden was asked during a solo press conference following the talks whether he would still use the term “dictator” to describe Xi, as he did in June.

“Look, he is. He’s a dictator in the sense that he’s a guy who runs a country that is a communist country that’s based on a form of government totally different than ours,” he responded.

When asked about Biden’s comments during a press briefing on Thursday, Mao Ning, a spokeswoman for the Chinese Foreign Ministry, said the statement was “absolutely wrong” and that Beijing objected to this “irresponsible political manipulation.” She condemned attempts to “sow discord between the two nations.”

Ahead of the summit, the US president reportedly criticized Xi’s leadership during a fundraiser. Biden claimed that, with Xi at the helm, China had “real problems” and said it was “another example of how reestablishing American leadership in the world is taking hold,” according to media reports.

Mao reacted to the remark on Wednesday, stressing that mutual respect was “fundamental” for building bilateral relations. She said all nations have some problems, and expressed hope that the US could solve its own and improve the lives of its people.

The Biden administration has built its foreign policy around a notion of a global confrontation between “democracies” and “autocracies,” with the latter category including nations opposing Washington’s influence, including China and Russia.

In March, Biden hosted a so-called “Summit of Democracy,” the second event of its kind. The self-administered Chinese island of Taiwan was on the guest list in what was perceived as a snub to Beijing.

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Less than one-third of U.S. commercial buildings were all-electric in 2018

Energy News Beat

November 16, 2023

Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS)
Note: All-electric includes buildings that consumed only electricity for all end uses except electricity generation.

Fewer than one-third of U.S. commercial buildings were all-electric in 2018, and all-electric commercial buildings were most prevalent in the South, according to data from our Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS). As of 2018, 31%, or 1.8 million commercial buildings, were all-electric nationwide.

Nearly half of all-electric U.S. buildings were concentrated in a single census region, the South. The South had more commercial buildings than any other region, and those buildings were less likely than those in other regions to use natural gas for space heating. Almost one-quarter of commercial buildings in the Northeast used fuel oil for space heating, which is rare in other regions. Only 8% of U.S. all-electric buildings, 138,000, were in the Northeast.

Buildings can be classified as all-electric in different ways. All-electric buildings are defined here as buildings that consumed only electricity for end uses that electricity can perform, such as space heating, cooling, water heating, and cooking. Other energy sources such as solar, natural gas, and fuel oil may have been consumed for on-site electricity generation.

Despite all-electric buildings accounting for 31% of the commercial U.S. building stock, all-electric buildings totaled only 18% of total U.S. commercial floorspace in 2018. On average, all-electric buildings were 9,700 square feet, or 40% smaller than the average U.S. commercial building.

Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS)

Space heating, cooling, water heating, and cooking are major end uses in commercial buildings that can be all-electric or use other sources. Most commercial buildings had space heating (83%), but less than one-third of buildings used only electricity for space heating. In contrast, 78% of commercial buildings had space cooling and 99% of those buildings used only electricity for cooling. Other cooling energy sources included district chilled water and natural gas.

The energy source used for space heating affects the type of heating equipment used. In 2018, packaged heating units and furnaces were the most common type of heating equipment in commercial buildings. However, heat pumps were the second-most common equipment type when only electricity was used for space heating. Nearly one-quarter of U.S. commercial buildings heated only by electricity used a heat pump in 2018.

CBECS is the only nationally representative survey that collects information about U.S. building characteristics and energy use in commercial buildings. The CBECS process spans more than four years, from developing the sample frame and survey questionnaire to releasing data to the public. We released our final 2018 CBECS data in December 2022. You can learn more about buildings that use only electricity for select end uses by reviewing our new tables.

Principal contributors: Stacy Angel, Joelle Michaels

Fewer than one-third of U.S. commercial buildings were all-electric in 2018, and all-electric commercial buildings were most prevalent in the South, according to data from our Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS). As of 2018, 31%, or 1.8 million commercial buildings, were all-electric nationwide.

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India beat New Zealand by 70 runs to reach ICC Cricket World Cup final

Energy News Beat

Inspired by Virat Kohli and Mohammed Shami, India has overcome a valiant New Zealand fightback to enter the ICC Cricket World Cup 2023 final on home soil.

India beat New Zealand by 70 runs on Wednesday in Mumbai after setting a target of 398 in the tournament’s first semifinal.

The result seemed a formality when India, backed by a partisan home crowd at the Wankhede Stadium, pegged back New Zealand’s stiff chase by dismissing both their openers for 39 runs in the eighth over.

However, Daryl Mitchell struck a hard-fought blistering century to lead New Zealand’s fightback along with his captain, Kane Williamson, who scored 69 runs in a 181-run partnership.

But India, banking on the cushion of a huge total, opened the gates of the New Zealand batting with the wicket of Glenn Phillips and all but sealed the win with Mitchell’s dismissal in the 46th over.

Pace bowler Shami took seven wickets to make up for dropping Williamson’s catch earlier on.

Shami said his team were determined not to let the chance of winning a home World Cup slip out of their hands.

“We have come very close in the past, but this one chance we were not going to let go. Who knows when the next chance might come,” he said after winning the player of the match award.

Kohli keeps calm to break idol’s record

If the night belonged to Shami, the day belonged to Kohli, who assumed his place at the top of one-day international (ODI) greats with his 50th century in the format. The milestone took him past Sachin Tendulkar’s record of 49 ODI hundreds.

Having won the toss, India started brightly, led by captain Rohit Sharma.

The right-handed batter was the first to fall in the ninth over when he offered a chance to his opposite number, Williamson, off the bowling of Tim Southee for 47.

Fellow opener Shubman Gill appeared to be on his way to three figures until he was forced to limp off due to cramps. He would later return with the fall of Suryakumar Yadav to finish unbeaten on 80.

The innings, the match and quite possibly this World Cup may yet be all about Kohli, who remained calm and measured in his innings from the beginning.

He brought up his half-century in 59 balls. There was no rush to the century and a chance to stand alone in the history books.

When he finally brought it up in 106 balls, the fan favourite leaped up in joy before falling to the ground in joy and disbelief.

There was another centurion, Shreyas Iyer, who destroyed Kiwi dreams with eight sixes in a 70-ball innings.

Southee, who eventually snared Kohli for 117 as the big shots soared, registered a century of his own. His 10 overs claimed three wickets but went for an even 100.

‘No score is enough at Wankhede’

New Zealand’s reply, much like Devon Conway’s World Cup, struggled.

The opener fell to Shami for 13, and two overs later, Rachin Ravindra fell on the same score to the same bowler.

Shami’s emergence in replacing the injured, and crucial, Hardik Pandya in this Indian side has perhaps encapsulated best the hosts’ dominance and superiority as the rightly chosen favourites.

Williamson and Mitchell pushed the scoring in the first powerplay, which New Zealand could ill afford to lose as they looked to stabilise the chase.

India’s victorious captain, who was playing on his home ground, said “no score is enough” at the Wankhede.

“You cannot relax. You have got to get the job done as quickly as possible and stay at it.”

He touched on the tension in the air in Mumbai as New Zealand threatened to cause a huge upset.

“Mitchell and Williamson batted brilliantly, and for us, it was important to stay calm. At one point, the crowd went absolutely silent, but that is the nature of the game. We knew we had to pull something out.”

It was admirable in the face of a billion baying fans and 11 players determined to have their own date with destiny on Sunday at Ahmedabad.

India ‘too strong’

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi congratulated the team on reaching their fourth final.

“Fantastic batting and good bowling sealed the match for our team,” Modi wrote in a post on X.

Meanwhile, Tendulkar hailed Shami for his seven-wicket spell, posting: “What a Shami-final!!!!!! Well done India for a superb batting display and a spectacular bowling performance to get into the final.”

Former England captain said the current Indian side is “too strong” and hailed Rohit for his captaincy.

Shami took seven wickets after Kohli and Iyer scored contrasting centuries as India entered a home World Cup final.

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Gaza telecom companies warn of coming blackout

Energy News Beat

The two main telecommunications companies in Gaza have warned of a “complete telecom blackout in the coming hours” due to a lack of fuel amid an Israeli siege on the Palestinian territory.

“Main data centers and switches in the Gaza Strip are gradually shutting down due to fuel depletion,” Paltel and Jawwal said in a joint statement on Wednesday.

The companies said “all generators” operating network elements in Gaza have ground to a halt, and that basic network elements were now relying on batteries.

“The countdown has begun for the halt of all communications and internet services in the Gaza Strip,” Laith Daraghmeh, CEO of the Palestinian telecommunication regulatory authority, said in a statement cited by the Turkish state news agency Anadolu.

He said talks were under way with international institutions “to ensure the entry of quantities of fuel necessary for the operation of the communications service”.

On Sunday, Palestinian Communications Minister Yitzhak Sidr warned that all communications and internet services would stop in the Gaza Strip by Thursday due to depleting fuel.

Israel cut off fuel shipments into the Gaza Strip as part of a “complete siege” on the territory after Hamas fighters from Gaza launched an attack on southern Israel on October 7, killing around 1,200 people, according to Israeli authorities.

Since the attack, Israel has bombarded the Palestinian territory, launched a ground offensive and severely restricted supplies of water, food and electricity. More than 11,300 people have been killed in the Israeli assault, according to Palestinian authorities, including more than 4,600 children.

The first fuel truck to enter Gaza since Israel imposed the siege arrived in the besieged territory on Wednesday.

The UN agency for Palestine refugees said it received 23,000 litres of fuel, which Israel said could be used to transport aid coming in via Egypt. UNRWA chief Philippe Lazzarini said that 160,000 litres a day are needed just to run basic humanitarian operations.

“It is appalling that fuel continues to be used as a weapon of war,” Lazzarini said. “This seriously paralyses our work and the delivery of assistance to the Palestinian communities in Gaza.”

Since Israel launched a ground invasion in late October, Gaza has experienced two blackouts previously, after Israel cut communications and internet services.

Humanitarian agencies and first responders have warned that blackouts severely disrupt their work and put lives at risk.

“People will be deprived of access to lifesaving information, such as finding areas of safety or contacting emergency services,” said Rasha Abdul-Rahim, director of Amnesty Tech.

“The critical work of humanitarian agencies will also be severely disrupted, as workers lose contact with each other,” she added.

“Telecom blackouts enable Israel to cover up the mass atrocities being committed against the Palestinian people in Gaza and to maintain its chronic impunity,” said Al Mezan, a Gaza-based human rights group, in a statement.

Communications networks in Gaza have been unreliable since the war began due to lack of electricity and damage to infrastructure.

The Palestinian Ministry of Communications has previously appealed to neighbouring Egypt to operate communication stations near the Gaza border and activate roaming service on Egyptian networks.

The warning comes after the Israeli military entered Gaza’s largest medical complex, al-Shifa, in what they called a “targeted operation” to search for Hamas weapons and infrastructure. Several people have been detained during the raid at the hospital.

The raid comes after Israeli forces besieged the hospital for several days amid growing alarm over the deteriorating conditions in the facility, where the UN says thousands of people have sought shelter from the war. Hundreds of patients remain at the hospital, which ceased to function at the weekend due to a lack of fuel.

Ahmed Mokhallalati, a surgeon at the hospital, told Al Jazeera that Israeli forces moved tanks inside the hospital grounds after “continuous, aggressive gunshots, bombardments and attacks since yesterday evening”.

“Imagine being in a hospital where the water is not there, the basic hygiene of the people going to the toilet is a challenge. Food and drinking water haven’t come to the hospital for the sixth day now, with no way of getting anything in the hospital,” Mokhallalati said.

The World Health Organization (WHO) said in a statement it was “urgently exploring the possibility for evacuating patients and medical staff” in al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza in discussions with Palestinian Health Minister Mai al-Kaila and the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC).

Paltel and Jawwal say data centres and switches in besieged Gaza gradually shutting down amid fuel shortages.

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Daily Energy Standup Episode #253 – Navigating EV Charging Woes and Goldman Sachs’ Commodity Confidence

Energy News Beat

Daily Standup Top Stories

I Visited Over 120 EV Chargers: Three Reasons Why So Many Were Broken

Los Angeles County has more public electric-vehicle fast chargers than any other in the country. WSJ’s Joanna Stern hit up 30 charging locations in a Rivian R1T and ran into problems at 40% of them. […]

Goldman Sachs forecasts higher returns on commodities

Reuters Goldman Sachs expects increased returns on commodities over the next 12 months, buoyed by higher spot prices amid easing monetary policy and recession fears while the asset class also strengthens on hedging against geopolitical […]

Highlights of the Podcast

00:00 – Intro
01:53 – I Visited Over 120 EV Chargers: Three Reasons Why So Many Were Broken
05:19 – Goldman Sachs forecasts higher returns on commodities
07:37 – Markets Update
08:42 – Oil prices dive on big US crude stock build, record output
10:07 – Outro

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– Get in Contact With The Show –

Video Transcription edited for grammar. We disavow any errors unless they make us look better or smarter.

Michael Tanner: [00:00:15] What is going on, everybody? Welcome to another edition of the Daily Energy News Beat Stand up here on this gorgeous Thursday, November 16th, 2023. As always, I’m your humble correspondent, Michael Tanner, coming to you from an undisclosed location here in Dallas, Texas, rocking a solo show today. Stu is out on assignment, so I am filling in for him, but we still have a excellent podcast lined up for you. As always, Energy news beat is rocking with all of your stories. I’ve got to before we jump into finance. The first one is I visited over 120 EV chargers. Three reasons why so many were broken. This is a Wall Street Journal piece in which they went and visited a bunch of different EV chargers and really broke down the issues surrounding it. Really great piece. We’ll cover it quickly. And then Goldman Sachs, they increased their forecast for higher returns on commodities. Kind of interesting. We’ll dive into what they’re saying the future of the commodity business might look like in the 12 month horizon. So very fascinating. We love a good bullish Goldman Sachs. Then we’ll kick over. I quickly cover what happened in finance today, guys. We’ve got markets up reacting to a lot of different stuff. Our oil prices take a little bit of a dive off some EIA news and then we’ll quickly let you guys get out of here and start your day. But before we do that guys as always check us out online world’s greatest website www.energynewsbeat.com the team do a great job curating that website Make sure it is up to speed with everything you need to be at the tip of the spear when it comes to the energy business. Apple Podcasts. Spotify. YouTube at Energy News Beat Dashboard.EnergyNewsBeat.com Data News Combo Property Email the show question and an energynewsbeat.com. [00:01:52][96.9]

Michael Tanner: [00:01:53] But let’s go ahead and dive into it. I visited over 120 EV chargers. Three reasons why so many were broken. This is again from the Wall Street Journal. I want to try to find the author here. It was a lady. She wrote it on here either way. Oh, Joanna Stern. Okay. So she went ahead in Los Angeles and hit up 30 fast charging locations or public electric vehicle, fast charging locations in Los Angeles County. She did that in a rivian r1t and found that 40% of them had problems. So this is in public EV chargers clearly not working out. You know, she says it’s a Ford Mustang mach-e driver. I’m no stranger to these frustrations. Many of you shared your charging horror stories and me since I began my EV adventure. I said, Let’s go ahead and dive into this. They visited 30 EV charging stations. 13 of them had issues. Here was the first problem. Some of them were just flat out of order. So of the 126 stalls that she inspected, 27 of them were out of order. They either had a sign, a dead screen ordered air, a reading, a test charger unavailable. A producer can can fly that in there. Is this charger unavailable out of service? Caution. Sorry. Out of service. Not good. All of these companies told me that they have network operators currently monitoring them. 24 seven and when problems pop up, they deploy technicians to assess if the issues or what was wrong with these particular machines could be one of many things. The key is it takes a while to get that turned around. Solution. I love how they always try to put this Lunar New Year needed obviously better gear that works. This is my favorite problem to have it rejected. You get it all worked out, but you can’t swipe your credit card. Technology has been around for decades. We can’t figure out how to get it on EVs. It’s just hilarious. Okay, what’s the solution? Upgrade the apps. Genius. Genius. Finally, the third one, this is interesting and I think is is one of the reasons why scaling EVs from a regulatory standpoint might be necessary is the handshake failure, which is basically the connection to you and your EV to the fast charging doesn’t quite work for whatever reason. It could be a software issue, it could be a timeout, it could be a bunch of your things to The point is you can get it connected. You pull up, it takes your car, but boom, it’s not transferring. And I mentioned this may be where in order to push some of this stuff forward, there needs to be a little bit of I don’t want to say government regulation, but in agreement among makers, can we create a single plug and play charger? I know that they’re working on it, but some people have different combinations. There’s the combined charging system that’s integrated into most non-tech. The problem is Tesla’s different, but most of non Tesla EVs, including the Rivian, require a quick shake. It basically it’s this new combines them so they’re working on it all comes back to the point we are really far away from EV rollouts and people want to go quickly and phase out gas vehicles when 14 I promise you 14% of gas stations are not offline. I just promise you that. So this is again, people talk about EVs don’t work. Well, the problem is that there’s a lot of downstream issues when it comes to EVs. Obviously, we’ve covered extensively the grid, but really this EV charges players 120 EV chargers, 40% of them out of work. Great work. Got to love it happened. Let’s go to Goldman Sachs here. Title this article Goldman Sachs forecasts higher returns on commodities colored me shocked Goldman Sachs thinks. Commodities are going to have high returns. The Jeff Currie Law is strong, my friend. [00:05:19][205.5]

Michael Tanner: [00:05:19] Let’s let’s see what it says here. Goldman Sachs expects increased returns of commodities over the next 12 months, buoyed by higher spot prices and easing monetary policy and recession fears, while asset class also strains on hedging against geopolitical suppliers. Man That was written by somebody who just knew a lot of that’s what we call Fed speak right there. Good for you guys. Here’s their actual numbers. You the bank’s going to go and forecast to 21% return on the overall commodity sector over a 12 month horizon on their oil heavy S&P, GSI commodity index, that’s led by 31%, specifically from energy and about 17.8% from the other industrial metals. I love this little random comment they throw in the article here as I’m looking at it. Well, the index has fallen 0.8% so far this whole year on rising oil prices. Got to love it, folks. It’s absolutely insane. So Goldman Sachs, here’s their quote in the in just a note. They’re not dealing with Jeff Kerrigan. No one’s really putting their name on this stuff now we recommend going long combines. Got to love it though. If you’re going to go low you might I feel bad not wanting to go long commodities because I love it 129 oil I am all for I’d love to see it If you’re Goldman Sachs, they recommend going quote long commodities in 2024 as we expect someone to higher spot commodity prices from an improving cyclical backdrop, significant carry returns from structural taro see hedging value against negative supply shocks. Again, that’s just a bunch of godly goober, but I think they’re on to something in terms of if inflation does start to cool. We’ve seen what we’re talk about some of the new numbers that have just dropped that are sort of leading to an ease and a boom in the stock market. And I wouldn’t say boom, but we’ve seen the last two days of increases so far considering that we will also now see OPEC led cuts specifically by Saudi Arabia over the next year. As they’ve come out and said in the last few days, they’re not wrong to say commodities are probably going to increase if we do eyes, do we see a ton? Do I see a 21% return, specifically 31% from energy? Absolutely not. But there’s there probably about halfway there you could probably see somewhere. And we get we don’t give investment someone doing that 10 to 15%, in my opinion, sounds exactly what it should be. So you know that 17.8 from industrial metals, you know be remiss to say they forecast tightening in copper and aluminum stocks for the next decade, driving up prices in the second half of 2024. So, you know, go ahead and get on that aluminum trend. Got to love it. [00:07:37][137.8]

Michael Tanner: [00:07:37] Let’s quickly get to some finance stuff, guys. S&P 500 up about 6/10 of a percentage point. NASDAQ up about 3/10 of a percentage point, really after some some early morning strong news, mainly followed by two days of great data. We did see the producer price index drop this morning, which is really that gauge of wholesale prices dropped about half a percentage point, our biggest monthly decline since April 2020, which is again, COVID. This again comes a day after the consumer Price Index remained flat, which is two signs that the at least the market is taking, that the Fed may be done raising rates or may begin to even drop rates slightly. I don’t see that necessarily happening these Tuesday session gains and Wednesday’s session gains are really the biggest since April this year. So absolutely good. We’re up more than 7% for the month. A lot of interesting stuff. Cisco Systems saw about 11% drop. But again, looking at kind of that macro macro finance piece, what that does for oil is, is again, as the dollar as the dollar strengthens, we’re going to see prices slightly fall. Now, prices today were down a little bit. [00:08:42][64.5]

Michael Tanner: [00:08:42] Crude oil, WTI currently trading 7654 as we record this here at about 545 on the US, up 15 and I talked to a 1.5% drop with eight with a slightly bigger than expected build in crude oil supply. Remember last week the IEA did not come out because of data systems upgrade and did not decide to release a number. Conveniently, the API said there was an 11.9 million barrel build in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve this week. API yesterday drops a 1.3 million barrel build estimate. IEA in their first week back drops to 3.6 million barrel build. So that delta of about two between the API and the EIA numbers from Tuesday to Wednesday really driving that price down even though we are reacting specifically, even though there is a little bit of a reaction specifically to some of that positive economic news. But I think there’s a lot of mixed signals with oil prices. Again, I go back to Goldman Sachs. I think in the long term they’re right. But I think in the short term there and again, they’re talking about a 12 month forecast. So I think we leave that off revising in the short term. There’s a lot more volatility and I think a lot more a lot more things that we could see happen to drive prices down where in that long run, you’re probably still good to to continue to dump on Goldman Sachs. But hey, I beat up Goldman Sachs enough, so I’d be remiss if I didn’t go ahead and hop on the bullish train. My after hearing this podcast, I’ll probably call me for an intro because they can’t hire enough, enough bull analysts over there. So I will. [00:10:07][84.2]

Michael Tanner: [00:10:07] I’ve got folks, appreciate, you guys checking us out here. World’s greatest podcast energy news beat for Stuart Turley, who’s out? Michael Tanner, guys. We will see you tomorrow. Actually, no, we won’t. This is our last show of the week. You’ll get our weekly recap on or you get a new podcast on Friday from Stu. A couple of things coming out. And then Saturday you hear our weekly recaps. So again, we appreciate everybody checking that out. And we’ll be back in your ears Monday morning. So have a great time, guys. Enjoy this podcast with you on Friday, Enjoy the week recap on Saturday and we will see you folks on Monday for Stuart Turley and Michael Tanner. Folks. [00:10:07][0.0][589.0]

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DAVID BLACKMON: What Does China Know That The Biden Admin Doesn’t?

Energy News Beat

China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) recently announced a new program in which the Xi Jinping government will subsidize the building of new coal-fired electricity generation plants. Part of an effort to ensure power grid reliability and stability into the future, NDRC’s notice says the program will commence January 1, 2024.

The program will enable new coal-fired power plants to recover about 30% of their capital costs in just the first two years of operation. The government subsidies will be funded from tariffs directed to operators of coal-fired plants by the country’s various electricity grids, using monies collected from commercial and industrial users.

The new program is just another proof point that China is continuing to increase the pace of expansion of its coal-fired power sector as time goes on. Indeed, a report released earlier this year by Global Energy Monitor and the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) showed China permitted more coal-fired power plants in 2022 than it had since 2015, and has six times more coal-fired power plants under construction currently than the rest of the world combined. (RELATED: DAVID BLACKMON: The FTC Should Ignore Chuck Schumer’s Embarrassing Attack On ‘Big Oil’)

Meanwhile, as the Xi government continues its massive expansion of coal-fired electricity to ensure grid reliability, the Biden government in the U.S. remains intent on destroying its own coal sector. The Institute for Energy Research (IER) notes that this effort is being underwritten by liberal billionaire philanthropists like former Democrat presidential candidate and New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who has now pledged $1 billion from his personal fortune to, as he put it, “finish the job on coal.”

In September,  Bloomberg Philanthropies stated, “With 372 of 530 coal plants announced to retire or closed to date—more than 70 percent of the country’s coal fleet—this next phase will shut down every last U.S. coal plant.” The effort also targets cutting natural gas-fired generation capacity by half, and would block any new plants from being built in the future. Noting that coal and natural gas power plants account for 98% of U.S. plant closures during 2023, IER points to the fact that the federal government’s forcing of those closures is now negatively impacting reserve margins on the nation’s power grids.

Until the recent hyper focus on cutting atmospheric carbon dioxide, it was customary for grid managers to work to maintain a reserve of up to 20% of total dispatchable generating capacity to be available to come online during severe weather conditions and other instances during which demand threatens to overwhelm supply. Grid managers are finding it increasingly difficult to avoid blackout conditions as grids become increasingly overwhelmed by intermittent, unpredictable wind and solar capacity at the expense of reliable dispatchable baseload.

The problem of lack of dispatchable reserves was highlighted in a deadly way in Texas during February 2021’s Winter Storm Uri, a series of three severe cold fronts that froze most of the state for almost a week, leading to blackouts in which an estimated 300 Texans died. In the storm’s wake, the legislature and regulators identified a series of issues on the grid and at grid manager ERCOT that needed correcting, many of which were dealt with in that year’s legislative session.

But the grid’s shortage of dispatchable thermal capacity – a long-known issue – was left unresolved that year. The 2023 legislature enacted a ballot proposal (Proposition 7) creating a fund to subsidize the rapid building of up to 10 GW of new natural gas generation capacity in the coming years. It is exactly the opposite approach being pushed by the Biden government and its political funders in the climate alarmist community, like Bloomberg.

Texas voters overwhelmingly approved Proposition 7 in the November 7 election. In doing so, Texans rejected the notion that their state, which produces more natural gas than all but two other countries, should ever be subjected to an unreliable, unstable power grid that causes hundreds of deaths during weather emergencies.

Sadly, Americans living in other parts of the country will remain saddled with the destructive Biden approach, with little hope for anything improving until at least 2025.

David Blackmon is an energy writer and consultant based in Texas. He spent 40 years in the oil and gas business, where he specialized in public policy and communications.

The views and opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and do not reflect the official position of the Daily Caller News Foundation.

Source: Dailycaller.com

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Northeast U.S. carbon dioxide emissions prices return to last year’s highs

Energy News Beat

 November 15, 2023

Data source: Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative

The most recent auction of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions allowances in the major U.S. northeast regional trading hub reached near record-high prices, as the number of allowances available was reduced. The latest Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) quarterly auction, held September 6, 2023, resulted in a clearing price of $13.85 per ton for CO2 emissions allowances, surpassing the previous quarter’s clearing price by 9% and nearing the record price, $13.90 per ton, set in March 2022. Allowance prices have been increasing since RGGI’s March 2023 auction as fewer allowances have been made available over time.

Launched in 2009, RGGI is a cooperative effort among 12 eastern states to reduce CO2 emissions from power plants. States involved in RGGI include Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Virginia, though Pennsylvania’s RGGI regulation is under a court injunction, so the state will not release any allowances until further notice.

Participating states establish a regional cap on CO2 emissions from regulated power plants. The states require that power plants purchase one CO2 allowance for each short ton of carbon they emit. RGGI offers new carbon allowances through quarterly regional CO2 allowance auctions, where a set number of allowances are sold. These auctions are sealed-bid, uniform price auctions open to all qualified participants that result in a single quarterly clearing price. RGGI reduces the number of allowances available in auctions over time in order to reduce regional emissions and adjusts the total to take into account unused allowances from earlier auctions. These changes to the cap on the number of allowances have been put upward pressure on allowance prices.

For 2023, RGGI’s adjusted regional cap on emissions to be sold in four auctions for the 12 member states totals allowances for 168.9 million short tons of CO2. After removing Pennsylvania, the adjusted cap for the remaining 11 participating states totals allowances for 93.4 million short tons of CO2.

The RGGI states decided to adjust the cap for unused allowances starting in 2012 after experiencing successive years of large surpluses, due to the assumptions at the program’s outset that natural gas prices would remain high and growth in electricity demand would continue.

In the September 2023 auction, RGGI sold allowances for 21.9 million short tons of CO2 emissions. RGGI states invest most of the auction proceeds in consumer benefit programs to improve energy efficiency, accelerate the deployment of renewable energy technologies, and support consumer electricity assistance programs. Auction proceeds totaled $303.9 million in the September auction and have totaled $6.7 billion since inception of the auctions in 2009.

In addition to purchasing allowances at auction, entities can also trade allowances on secondary markets, either directly via over-the-counter trades with third parties or through futures contracts traded on exchanges. Secondary markets give firms the ability to obtain CO2 allowances at any time during the three months between the RGGI auctions, allowing firms to protect themselves against the potential volatility of future auction clearing prices, and provide a basis to make investment decisions in markets affected by the cost of RGGI compliance.

Principal contributor: O. Nilay Manzagol

 

The most recent auction of carbon dioxide CO2 emissions allowances in the major U.S. northeast regional trading hub reached near record-high prices, as the number of allowances available was reduced. The latest Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) quarterly auction, held September 6, 2023, resulted in a clearing price of $13.85 per ton for CO2 emissions allowances, surpassing the previous quarter’s clearing price by 9% and nearing the record price, $13.90 per ton, set in March 2022. Allowance prices have been increasing since RGGI’s March 2023 auction as fewer allowances have been made available over time. 

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