Kashiwazaki-Kariwa, World’s Largest Nuclear Power Station Prepares for Restart

Energy News Beat

Tokyo Electric Power Holdings is accelerating preparations for the restart of the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa nuclear power station in Niigata Prefecture. In the face of escalating fuel costs, restarting nuclear power stations is deemed crucial to stabilizing performance and maintaining a stable power supply. This move holds significant importance for the country’s energy policy as it strives for a decarbonized society.

However, the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa power station, initially scheduled for operation in 2023, faces an uncertain path. That is due to a prohibition on operations resulting from counterterrorism deficiencies.

Responsible Counterterrorism Measures

​​”Good morning. I’m XXX.” After stating their name and displaying their ID card next to their face, employees seek approval from security personnel before proceeding to the biometric authentication gate.

Kashiwazaki-Kariwa boasts the world’s highest energy output. There are over 5,000 people working on a site equivalent to more than 90 Tokyo Domes. To deter potential terrorist threats, multiple checks are conducted during entry and exit.

Despite the time-consuming process, there is a growing acknowledgment onsite that proving one’s identity is a responsibility.

The No 6 and 7 reactors also passed the Nuclear Regulation Authority’s review for restarting. However, in 2021, a series of security flaws related to counterterrorism were discovered. They led to a de facto operating ban. Additional inspections are ongoing.

Hope and Preparations

The current situation leaves the power supply system for the Tokyo metropolitan area less than fully secure.

Driven by an increase in electricity rates, TEPCO anticipates a final shift to profitability this fiscal year 2023. However, that projection relied on the assumption of restarting the No 7 reactor in October. With rising costs in thermal power generation, failure to implement another rate hike could jeopardize the company and return it to a deficit.

TEPCO is prioritizing the human element in preparation for a restart. Its workforce with operational experience on No 6 and 7 reactors has been reduced by about half. The company is intensifying educational initiatives, including accident response training using simulators. It has also arranged visits to operational thermal power plants.

A guide shows off the operations floor of the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa Nuclear Power Station Unit 7. The reactor pressure vessel head can be seen in the center back. November 6 (© Sankei by Aya Yonezawa)

Communications within the facility are now more vibrant. Since August 2022, Managing Executive Officer Takeyuki Inagaki has consistently sent handwritten message cards expressing gratitude to workers actively involved in regional activities. The number of recipients has surpassed 3,000.

“I won’t mention a single word about the resumption of operations until I am convinced myself,” Mr Inagaki emphasizes. He is determined to persist in such initiatives until the actions and mindset at the site undergo a complete transformation.

A seafood market in Beijing struggles after China imposed an embargo on Japanese seafood products. (©Kyodo)

China’s Economic Coercion

​​On another front, TEPCO’s management faces a new challenge. China is strongly opposing the release of treated water from the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station.

This opposition has disrupted the market for many exported scallops and sea cucumbers. Therefore, it is expected that the amount of compensation to fishermen for reputational damage will be higher than expected.

Restarting a single nuclear reactor can contribute to an improvement of approximately ¥120 billion JPY (about $800 million USD) in the balance. That makes the resumption crucial for many reasons. One such reason is the essential need to cover the growing costs of reputational damages afflicting the fishing industry.

Source: Japan–forward-com.cdn.ampproject.org

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Europe’s Petrochemical Industry Is Heading for Death Row – And dragging their prosperity behind.

Energy News Beat

The last time European petrochemical plants processed so little of their favorite feedstock, Sweden’s ABBA was the most popular band on the continent, and the Fall of Saigon had marked the end of the Vietnam War. It was 1975, and the region was still licking its wounds after the first oil crisis. Nearly half a century later, the industry is dying.

It would be a mistake to interpret this as a triumph in the fight against plastics. Europe keeps consuming voracious amounts of foams, paints, resins and every other product petrochemical factories make. It’s just replacing indigenous production with imported stuff.

Source: IEA

Petrochemicals are intrinsically energy intensive. In Europe, natural gas is about five times more expensive than in the US. Right now, it’s cheaper to buy ethylene, a building block for plastics, in Texas, and ship it across the Atlantic for further processing in Europe than producing it at home. And that’s precisely what petrochemical companies tell me they’re doing. The net result is loss of economic activity in Europe, an erosion of the bloc’s trade balance in chemical products and, ultimately, the loss of jobs and energy security.

First, some context. On average, a European person consumes around 150 kilograms of plastic a year, more than twice the global average of 60 kilograms, according to the European Environment Agency. Plastics are everywhere – from food packaging to construction materials, from mobile phones to clothes.

Next, the data. The petrochemical industry runs largely on two feedstocks: natural gas and naphtha, with the latter being a byproduct of refining oil, similar in some ways to gasoline. According to the International Energy Agency, European naphtha consumption will drop this year to a 48-year low of 34.2 million metric tons. Usage is down 18.5% from pre-Covid-19 levels, and almost 40% below the all-time high set two decades ago.

With processing so low, the industry’s workhorses, called steam crackers, where the naphtha and the gas is transformed into chemical building blocks, are operating at uneconomical rates. Because of their enormous fixed costs, companies typically run their steam crackers as close to capacity as they can throughout the year. Anything below 90% is a source of concern; 85% is bad, and 80% is seen as catastrophic. In recent quarters, however, they have run at loss-making rates of between 65% and 75% of their capacity.

In private, industry executives say they can only lose money for so long — so closures look certain in 2024. Using a more diplomatic language, the IEA said last week that “it is increasingly difficult to see how the continent’s petrochemical industry can recover its previous strength.” I have spent the last few weeks talking to industry executives, and the answer they give is “it won’t — period.”

European companies are adapting accordingly. When BASF SE, the company synonymous with petrochemicals in Europe, met investors a couple of weeks ago, its executives wanted to talk about anything but their home base. Look at their slide presentation, and prominent is the construction of a new factory in Zhanjiang, China, with a $10 billion price tag. “Construction activities stepped up, with currently more than 15,000 construction workers on site every day,” the slides read.

Across European chemical companies, the proportion of spending in new projects into Asia has jumped by about 50% during the past decade and a half, according to estimates by Jefferies Financial Group Inc., an investment bank.

How does that translate to the economy? Before the pandemic, Europe’s chemical trade balance with the rest of the world was typically in the black to the tune of $40 billion. Last year, the surplus narrowed to just $2.5 billion. Although it’s likely to recover somewhat in 2023, the outlook for 2024 is somber.

If European policymakers are worried, they’re hiding it well. There’s no sign of alarm in Brussels, Berlin, Madrid or London. Perhaps one can glimpse some signs of concern in Paris, but that’s about it. Right now, many European nations are busy trying to bail out the offshore wind industry — but what about the petrochemical companies producing the resins and plastics used to manufacture the blades?

Europe has lost other industries to Asia. Steel, textiles and shipbuilding all moved east. This time, the competition isn’t just China, but also the US, thanks to abundant hydrocarbons there. Domestic production of hydrocarbons under President Joe Biden is booming.

Industrial and energy policies matter. If Europe wants to preserve some of its old industrial power, policymakers must publicly support the petrochemical industry – even if it’s unpopular with climate-conscious voters. The industry itself also has some soul searching to do. Consolidation is urgently needed. Right now, there are too many companies — and chief executive officers — per ton of plastic produced. Cost cutting should start at the top.

Source: Bloomberg: 

Javier Blas

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Congressional Efforts Grow To Deport Visa Holders Who Support Hamas

Energy News Beat

The US State Department confirmed this week that it has the authority to revoke the visas of foreign nationals who express support for Hamas while living in the US.

The announcement said it has “broad authority under the INA [Immigration and Nationality Act] to revoke visas” – contained in a letter issued to Sen. Marco Rubio, who is leading Congressional efforts to allow for the deportation of Hamas supporters.

The State Dept. said “We exercise the authority when there is information or evidence indicating a visa holder may be ineligible for a U.S. visa.”

Hamas became an officially designated foreign terrorist organization in 1997, and current US laws say that not only terrorists themselves but are those who have “persuaded others to endorse or support” a designated terror group are banned from US soil.

“Even after issuance of a visa, the Department of State works closely with the Department of Homeland Security and other partner agencies to ensure every visa applicant is continuously screened to ensure they remain eligible for travel to the United States,” the letter to Sen. Rubio explained.

Of course, the millions of illegal immigrants currently inside the country, with more pouring in by the day, would fall through the cracks in terms of any such screening.

The effort of Rubio and other GOP reps to place more scrutiny on any potential Hamas supporters comes amid the backdrop of large pro-Palestinian protests which have taken over many college campuses and some cities. Jewish groups have also claimed a rise in “antisemitic attacks” – and have cited that in some cases Leftist students have carried signs that express sympathies with Hamas.

Trump has lately expressed support for the move as well…

This has outraged Rubio and other Congressional leaders. He wrote to the Biden administration this week, “I urge you to immediately use existing law to eradicate this hate from our country.”

He added, “In addition, I will be introducing legislation to provide further tools to ensure supporters of Hamas, and other FTOs [foreign terrorist organization], do not benefit from our country’s generosity.”

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Work starts on new CMA CGM’s LNG-powered giant

Energy News Beat

China’s Hudong-Zhonghua has kicked off the construction of a new series of 23,000-teu LNG dual-fuel containerships for French shipping giant CMA CGM.

The shipbuilder held the steel cutting-ceremony on November 17 for the vessel with a working name H1904A on November 17.

Hudong-Zhonghua said this is the first of four 23,000-teu vessels CMA CGM ordered last year.

CMA CGM is expected to take delivery of these ships in 2025 and 2026.

The vessels will have a total length of 399 meters, a width of 61.3 meters, and a design draft of 14.5 meters.

Such as the previous vessels, these LNG-powered giants feature WinGD’s dual-fuel engines, as well as GTT’s 18,600-cbm fuel tank.

Hudong-Zhonghua and Jiangnan, both part of CSSC, previously delivered nine 23,000-teu LNG-powered vessels to CMA CGM.

In June 2021, CMA CGM welcomed the ninth and the last vessel in this series, Sorbonne, in its fleet.

Image: Hudong-Zhonghua

Hudong-Zhonghua said in separate statement that the 13,000-teu LNG-powered containership, CMA CGM Bahia, has completed its gas trials on November 17.

This is the first of six 13,000-teu LNG-powered containerships Hudong-Zhonghua is building for CMA CGM.

The Chinese shipbuilder launched this LNG-powered containership in May this year.

Hudong-Zhonghua and Jiangnan Shipyard are each building six LNG-powered ships for CMA CGM as part of a deal revealed in April 2021, but the six vessels at Jiangnan have a capacity of 15,000 units.

Moreover, the new LNG-powered vessels also feature GTT’s Mark III containment system and WinGD’s dual-fuel propulsion.

The vessel’s LNG tanks have a capacity of 14,000 cbm.

Hudong-Zhnoghua said that CMA CGM Bahia is equipped with the world’s first CMD-WinGD9X9DF-2.0 main engine.

Following delivery, it will be the largest dual-fuel containership operating on South American routes, it said.

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Gaz-System’s second Gdansk FSRU fails to secure sufficient capacity bookings

Energy News Beat

Poland’s Gaz-System said it had not received binding capacity orders at a “sufficient level” to proceed with the implementation of the second FSRU as part of the LNG import project in Gdansk Bay.

In July this year, Gaz-System launched a binding season for capacity bookings at the planned second FSRU with a capacity of 4.5 bcm in July this year.

Prior to that the firm completed a non-binding market test to asses the demand for additional regasification capacity and the interest in export of regasified LNG towards Slovakia, Lithuania, Denmark, Germany, as well as the Czech Republic and Ukraine.

Gaz-System said in a statement that the submission phase for long-term binding offers has ended on October 27.

The overall objective of the binding FSRU 2 open season procedure was to confirm the interest of market participants in increasing the regasification capacity of the FSRU terminal which would justify the implementation of the project.

However, the procedure “did not result in Gaz-System obtaining binding orders at a sufficient level to proceed with the implementation of the FSRU 2 project,” the firm said.

“Nevertheless, the interest in the regasification services declared by the participants imply that discussions may be continued in the future,” Gaz-System said.

The firm said the project will be the subject of further analysis.

In addition, the hydroengineering infrastructure that will be built as part of the FSRU 1 terminal project will also provide for the possibility of a second storage and regasification unit development if market demand for the FSRU 2 is confirmed in the future, Gaz-System said.

Currently, Gaz-System said it continues its efforts aimed at installing the first FSRU in the Gdansk area and designed to provide annual regasification capacity of up to 6.1 bcm.

Oslo-based BW LNG, a unit of Singapore’s BW, and Japan’s MOL have been shortlisted by Gaz-System to provide Poland’s first FSRU as part of the Gdansk LNG import project.

The provisions of the term sheet do not constitute binding obligations for the parties but set out the ‘roadmap’ for further negotiations of the charterparty and their essential content will be reflected in the final charter agreement, it said.

Gaz-System plans to conclude the deal with one of the two firms for a period of 15 years.

Poland’s Orlen has booked entire 6.1 bcm per year of regasification capacity at Gaz-System’s planned FSRU-based LNG import facility.

Orlen is already in charge for all of the supplies coming to Gaz System’s LNG import terminal in Swinoujscie, Poland’s first such facility, via PGNiG.

The firm completed in November last year its merger with Poland’s dominant gas firm, PGNiG.

Gaz-System plans to launch the FSRU-based project, backed by the EU, in early 2028.

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China’s LNG imports climb in October

Energy News Beat

China’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports rose in October compared to the same month last year, according to customs data.

Data from the General Administration of Customs shows that the country received about 5.17 million tonnes in October, a rise of 29.5 percent compared to the same month last year.

LNG imports in October dropped compared to 5.69 million tonnes in September. The country’s imports in September declined after rising for seven months in a row.

China imported 56.25 million tonnes of LNG during January-October, up by 11.5 percent compared to the same period last year, the data shows.

However, Chinese LNG imports fell last year due to due to very high spot LNG prices and Covid lockdowns, which affected economic activity.

LNG imports dropped compared to the January-October period in 2021 when China imported 64.50 million tonnes of LNG.

Including pipeline gas, China’s gas imports rose by 8.8 percent year-on-year to 96.50 million tonnes in January-October.

The country’s pipeline gas imports rose by 1.2 percent in October to 3.62 million tonnes, the data shows.

Japan was the world’s top liquefied natural gas importer in 2022, overtaking China, but both of the countries took fewer volumes when compared to the year before.

However, China has overtaken Japan this year.

Japan’s LNG imports rose by 6.4 percent year-on-year in October to about 5.41 million tonnes

During the January-October period, Japan imported some 54.3 million tonnes, down by about 1.9 million tonnes compared to China’s 56.2 million tonnes.

 

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All The Metals We Mined In One Visualization

Energy News Beat

In 2022, 2.8 billion tonnes of metals were mined throughout the world – while major industries that directly consume processed mineral materials contribute 14% of the US economy.

As Visual Capitalist‘s Bruno Venditti details below, here’s each metal’s contribution to the total:

More via Visual Capitalist:

Iron Ore Dominance

Iron ore dominates the metals mining landscape, comprising 93% of the total mined. In 2022, 2.6 billion tonnes of iron ore were mined, containing about 1.6 billion tonnes of iron.

ercentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Iron ores are found in various geologic environments, such as igneous, metamorphic, or sedimentary rocks, and can contain over 70% iron, with many falling in the 50-60% range.

Combined with other materials like coke and limestone, iron ore is primarily used in steel production. Today, almost all (98%) iron ore is dedicated to steelmaking.

The ore is typically mined in about 50 countries, but Australia, Brazil, China, and India are responsible for 75% of the production.

Because of its essential role in infrastructure development, iron ore is one of the most crucial materials underpinning urbanization and economic growth.

Industrial Metals

Industrial metals occupy the second position on our list, constituting 6.6% of all metals mined in 2022. These metals, including copper, aluminum, lead, and zinc, are employed in construction and industrial applications.

Aluminum constituted nearly 40% of industrial metal production in 2022. China was responsible for 56% of all aluminum produced.

In the second position is chromium, which plays a primary role in rendering stainless steel corrosion-resistant. South Africa led chromium production, accounting for 44% of the total mined last year.

Technology and Precious Metals

Despite representing less than 1% of all the metals mined, technology metals have been on the news over the last few years as countries and companies seek these materials to reduce carbon emissions and improve productivity.

They include lithium and cobalt, used in electric vehicles and battery storage, and rare earths, used in magnets, metal alloys, and electronics. Many of them are considered critical for countries’ security due to their role in clean energy technologies and dependency on other nations to supply domestic demand.

However, despite increasing interest in these metals, they are still behind precious metals such as gold and silver regarding market size.

The gold market, for example, reached $196 billion in 2022, compared to $10.6 billion of the rare earth market.

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Cheney, Kinzinger, And “Sham” J6 Committee Under Fire After Friday Footage Dump; GOP Senator Calls For Investigation

Energy News Beat

Ever since Friday’s release of more than 40,000 hours of Jan. 6 Capitol Police security video, dozens of clips debunking the Jan. 6 committee’s ‘violent insurrection’ narrative have been floating around X.

Mike Lee raises questions

In response to the exculpatory footage that the Jan. 6 committee never showed the American public, Senator Mike Lee (R-UT) has raised significant questions about the handling of security footage.

Lee’s statements directly challenge the integrity of the now-disbanded committee, particularly addressing the roles of its former Republican members, Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger. He also accuses the committee – particularly those two, of selectively sharing information.

After Cheney attempted to hit back with her ‘best hits’ Jan. 6 footage, Lee replied: “Liz, we’ve seen footage like that a million times. You made sure we saw that—and nothing else.”

Lee also called for an investigation into the committee itself, labeling it a “sham” and questioning the use of taxpayer dollars in its operations. He insinuates that crucial information about the committee’s work could have been “deliberately lost or destroyed,” casting doubts on the committee’s transparency and objectivity.

The argument continued throughout the day, with Lee linking to a NY Post article with the headline “FBI lost count of how many paid informants were at Capitol on Jan. 6, and later performed audit to figure out exact number.”

Kinzinger swings and misses all day

In response to the backlash, Kinzinger made a stupid joke comparing Jan. 6 protesters to US army helicopters providing fire for South Vietnamese ground troops attacking the Vietcong in 1965.

Twice.

He also retweeted about a dozen similarly stupid jokes (check out his timeline).

The House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack was disbanded in January 2023, after releasing its final report in December 2022. The committee, comprising seven Democrats and two Republicans, faced criticism for its composition and the perceived partisanship in its approach.

Kinzinger did not seek reelection, and Cheney lost her primary, marking a significant shift in the Republican landscape. The release of the security tapes by Johnson is seen as a step towards transparency, allowing the public to form their own opinions about the events of January 6, away from the committee’s narrative.

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Dutch Central Bank Admits It Has Prepared For A New Gold Standard

Energy News Beat

By Jan Nieuwenhuijs, of Gainesville Coins

In a recent interview the Dutch central bank (DNB) shares it has equalized its gold reserves, relative to GDP, to other countries in the eurozone and outside of Europe. This has been a political decision. If there is a financial crisis the gold price will skyrocket, and official gold reserves can be used to underpin a new gold standard, according to DNB. These statements confirm what I have been writing for the past years about central banks having prepared for a new international gold standard.

Wouldn’t a central bank that has one primary objective—maintaining price stability—serve its mandate best by communicating the currency it issues can be relied upon in all circumstances? By saying gold will be the safe haven of choice during a financial collapse, DNB confesses its own currency (the euro) does not weather all storms. Indirectly, DNB encourages people to own gold to be protected from financial shocks, making the transition towards a gold based monetary system more likely.

How to Prepare for a Gold Standard

In my latest article on this subject—“Europe Has Been Preparing a Global Gold Standard Since the 1970s. Part 2”—I have demonstrated that central banks of medium and large economies in the eurozone have balanced their official gold reserves, proportionally to GDP, to prepare for a gold standard (/gold price targeting system). My analysis was pieced together by scarce quotes from central banks and data of European gold and foreign exchange holdings. My conclusion was that several medium-size economies in Europe (the Netherlands, Belgium, Austria, and Portugal) sold large amounts of gold from the early 1990s to 2008 to come on par with France, Germany, and Italy. I wrote:

Seemingly there are guidelines in the eurozone for national central banks to hold an appropriate amount of gold relative to GDP.

In another article, I revealed that in the early 1990s the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) was buying the gold DNB was selling. By selling gold Europe was allowing developing countries to buy gold and come on par with the West. China too has expressed its desire to bring its gold holdings more in line with the size of its economy, just like the Europeans, and thus to international averages. From Dutch newspaper NRC Handelsblad in 1993:

China announced that it is working to build up its [gold] reserves in order to bring it more in line with the size of Chinese GDP.

The above, and DNB’s most recent confirmation of leveling reserves, implies there are international agreements on the distribution of gold holdings.

Evenly spread gold reserves internationally are a prerequisite for a smooth transition to a gold standard. If some countries own too much and others too little, as was the case in the 1970s, a newly implemented gold standard would prove to be deflationary because the ones with too little gold would have to buy in, pushing up the real price of gold. As long as official gold reserves are evenly spread the nominal gold price can be increased to what is suited for all countries, before introducing a new system.

Another sign of Europe having prepared for a new gold arrangement are the repatriations by several countries. In the eurozone Germany, the Netherlands, France, and Austria repatriated (and redistributed) bullion for security reasons, while keeping a substantial share of their assets in liquid markets such as London. Additionally, Germany, France, and Sweden, that we know of, have upgraded gold bars that didn’t adhere to current wholesale industry standards so now all their metal can be traded instantly.

Last but not least, European central banks’ communication about gold has become unequivocally clear and candid. Stating “gold is the bedrock of stability for the international monetary system” (Germany), “gold is an excellent hedge against adversity” (Italy), “gold is … considered to be the ultimate store of value” (France), and gold “may play a stabilising role … in times of structural changes in the international financial system or deep geopolitical crises” (Hungary). Remarkable statements from entities tasked with guaranteeing financial stability.

Dutch Central Bank Comes Clean on Gold Strategy

When I asked European central banks about a legal requirement to equalize their gold reserves, two of them replied there is no such obligation. Which is strange given the obvious aligning of reserves over the past decades, illustrated in the charts below, and the new comments by DNB.

 

DNB provides an explanation in the aforementioned interview by revealing that their gold policy is set in consultation with its shareholder, the Ministry of Finance of the Netherlands. The idea of balancing gold reserves was first conceived in the 1970s and then executed from the early 1990s until 2008. With no legal requirements for European central banks to balance reserves, the seeds of their actions could be found at their respective governments.

My Freedom of Information (FOI) requests about this subject submitted at DNB have never yielded results because DNB is exempt from such inquiries. This week I have sent FOIs to the Dutch Ministry of Finance to find out what gold policy agreements governments have made internationally. To be continued.

Interview Transcript

The interview with Aerdt Houben, Director of Financial Markets for DNB, was conducted by Anna Dijkman from Het Financieele Dagblad. The following is a translation of the most important part of the conversation (in the first segment we hear Dijkman make a few comments for the listener in between Houben’s talk):

HOUBEN: 612 tonnes of gold. That’s our total holdings. It’s worth about €35 billion euros at the moment and we have diversified it around the world, as a good investor should. We’ve spread it over four locations, with about 30% in the Netherlands, just over 30% in New York at the Federal Reserve, over 20% in Canada and 18% in London.

The gold really goes way back. At the end of the nineteenth century DNB started accumulating gold, which was important to establish confidence in our currency.

DIJKMAN (narrator): The Netherlands was on the gold standard at that time. That means money was backed by gold at the central bank. People could always exchange their banknotes for gold. That lasted until 1936. After World War II, another monetary system based on gold was introduced: Bretton Woods. More than 40 countries agreed with each other that their currencies had a fixed exchange rate against the dollar. The dollar, in turn, could be exchanged for gold at a fixed price.

HOUBEN: The Dutch guilder was actually stable to gold via the dollar. We received dollars when we had surpluses and we lost dollars when we had deficits. And the dollars were redeemable in gold.

DIJKMAN (narrator): Those surpluses and deficits Houben talks about have to do with international trade. The Netherlands, as well as other countries, exported more than it imported and therefore we had a surplus.

HOUBEN: As a result of the surplus our gold reserves increased, or we got more dollars that we converted into gold. We kept asking the Americans, can you convert our dollars into gold? We became owners of gold that was at the Federal Reserve in New York, and it’s still there.

The Americans made losses from their trade relationships. Eventually it was unsustainable for them to lose more and more gold reserves. In 1971, President Nixon announced America’s departure from Bretton Woods. But by then we had over 1,700 tonnes of gold. Yes, we did very well then.

DIJKMAN (narrator): Since the 1970s, gold had no role in the monetary system. But we and other countries had substantial reserves.

HOUBEN: The beauty of gold is that it’s stable in value, it retains its value. That’s one of the reasons why central banks hold gold. Gold has intrinsic value unlike a dollar or any other currency, let alone Bitcoin. Gold has value on its own. It’s a fungible product. It’s a liquid product, you can buy and sell it almost anywhere in the world. So, it’s really an outstanding commodity to base an exchange rate system [gold standard] on.

DIJKMAN: Yet we sold quite a bit of our gold starting in the 1990s. Why?

HOUBEN: Well, I think once you let go of tying your exchange rate to gold, then one of the main reasons for holding that gold is gone. Then you might ask, why are we still holding that gold? Why gold and not a portfolio of stocks or bonds or something else? There are a number of things that make gold very attractive to central banks. Gold is like solidified confidence for the central bank. It’s something that has historically fulfilled that role. If we ever unexpectedly have to create a new currency or a systemic risk arises, the public can have confidence in DNB because whatever money we issue, we can back it with the same value in gold [gold standard].

In the 1970s, and we did that exercise again in the 1980s and 1990s, we looked at how much gold we have and whether that was still in proportion. It’s a kind of an insurance against systemic risk, and the question was to what extent should we continue to insure against this kind of systemic risk? And then we looked at what globally, what other major central banks were doing. We concluded that we owned too much gold. Our stock of gold was then reduced to about the average of the larger gold holding countries in Europe.

DIJKMAN: We do still rank in the top ten, I think globally.

HOUBEN: We are number seven. Yes, in terms of our GDP. Yes, that’s a fine position.

DIJKMAN: So how do you determine what is an appropriate amount then? Because that €35 billion, that doesn’t quite relate to our GDP, does it?

HOUBEN: We have about 4% of our GDP in our gold reserves. And that’s comparable to France, Germany, and Italy.

DIJKMAN: Is that the rule of thumb roughly?

HOUBEN: I think to be very honest there is no optimum, so you can’t determine objectively what is the optimal level of gold reserves. Just like with insurance, because you don’t know when and to what extent a fire is going to occur, and so on. Of course, it also has to do with the shocks of the future, with all kinds of uncertain factors. I think it’s just that we as Dutch people want to be a little bit careful. We think it’s good to have a certain basis of solvency at the central bank invested in gold.

DIJKMAN: Because you could also say if it’s a kind of insurance, for example if the financial system collapses or whatever, shouldn’t you have a lot more?

HOUBEN: You could think that. I think it’s more than enough, because if everything collapses, then the value of those gold reserves shoots up, it skyrockets. Secondly, you don’t have to fully cover it. That’s what experience shows, full coverage is only necessary in a country where there are no other mechanisms to support confidence in the central bank.

DIJKMAN: For example, a country like Canada. I think it has sold all gold. Why did they make that choice?

HOUBEN: Why did Norway put all their oil and gas revenue into a fund and not run it into the government’s budget like the Netherlands did? Those are choices that were made politically. I do think that is an important point to make here. This is not a choice that DNB makes alone. This is in consultation with our shareholder. And that is of course the Ministry of Finance, with whom we are in close consultation about our balance sheet and the risks we bear. And also the gold reserves, which are part of that.

Read more about the international gold market from the author:

Estimated World Official Gold Holdings Reach Record HighHow Central Banks Can Use Gold Revaluation Accounts in Times of Financial StressZoltan Pozsar, the Four Prices of Money, and the Coming Gold Bull MarketPBoC in a Hurry to Buy Gold: Covertly Bought 593t of Gold YTDEstimated Chinese Official Gold Reserves Cross 5,000 TonnesThe Shanghai International Gold Exchange and Its Role in De-Dollarization

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Pakistan launches tender for one spot LNG cargo

Energy News Beat

State-owned Pakistan LNG has released a tender inviting firms to submit bids for one spot LNG shipment for delivery in January.

Pakistan LNG is seeking one 140,000 cbm cargo on a delivered ex-ship (DES) basis and the delivery window is January 8-9, 2024, according to a document released on November 20.

Also, the potential tender winner will deliver the cargo to the FSRU BW Integrity serving Pakistan GasPort’s terminal in Port Qasim, Karachi, or the Energo Elengy facility.

The tender closes on November 24.

Prior to this tender, Pakistan LNG received offers from traders Trafigura and Vitol for two spot cargoes with deliveries on December 7-8 and December 13-14.

Trafigura was the only firm to submit an offer for the delivery on December 13-14 and it offered a price of $19.3900/MMBtu.

Vitol offered the lowest price of 15.9700/MMBtu for the December 7-8 delivery.

Media reports suggested that Pakistan LNG decided only to accept the offer from Vitol for the December 7-8 delivery.

Pakistan gets most of its supplies under long-term contracts from Qatar and on the spot market, however, last year prices surged and Europe took most of the available spot supplies.

In July this year, Pakistan also signed a one-year deal to buy one LNG cargo per month from Azerbaijan’s Socar.

GIIGNL data shows that Pakistan’s LNG imports dropped by 16 percent to 6.91 million tons last year due to high prices.

The country imported almost all of these volumes under long-term contracts from Qatar, or some 6.10 million tons, the data shows.

Spot prices dropped considerably this year, prompting Pakistan and other Asian countries such as Bangladesh to return to buying spot LNG.

JKM for January is currently below $17/MMBtu.

 

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