Dow Jones Giant Home Depot Earnings, Same-Store Sales Fall Again, But Stock Rises

Energy News Beat

Home Depot earnings and revenue fell less than expected in Q3, but same-store sales sank for a fourth straight quarter. The Dow Jones stock rose.
The post Dow Jones Giant Home Depot Earnings, Same-Store Sales Fall Again, But Stock Rises appeared first on Investor’s Business Daily. 

The post Dow Jones Giant Home Depot Earnings, Same-Store Sales Fall Again, But Stock Rises appeared first on Energy News Beat.

 

Dow Jones Giant Home Depot Earnings, Same-Store Sales Fall Again, But Stock Rises

Energy News Beat

Home Depot earnings and revenue fell less than expected in Q3, but same-store sales sank for a fourth straight quarter. The Dow Jones stock rose.
The post Dow Jones Giant Home Depot Earnings, Same-Store Sales Fall Again, But Stock Rises appeared first on Investor’s Business Daily. 

The post Dow Jones Giant Home Depot Earnings, Same-Store Sales Fall Again, But Stock Rises appeared first on Energy News Beat.

 

Dow Jones Giant Home Depot Earnings, Same-Store Sales Fall Again, But Stock Rises

Energy News Beat

Home Depot earnings and revenue fell less than expected in Q3, but same-store sales sank for a fourth straight quarter. The Dow Jones stock rose.
The post Dow Jones Giant Home Depot Earnings, Same-Store Sales Fall Again, But Stock Rises appeared first on Investor’s Business Daily. 

The post Dow Jones Giant Home Depot Earnings, Same-Store Sales Fall Again, But Stock Rises appeared first on Energy News Beat.

 

Daily Energy Standup Episode #251 – China’s LNG Surge, US Sanctions Probe, and Anadarko Acquisition Unveiled

Energy News Beat

Daily Standup Top Stories

China LNG deals come at an environmental cost

China’s LNG deal-making has been gaining momentum, even amid international calls to pull back on gas development due to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and methane leakage problems. Chinese gas importers have increased long-term LNG contracts with both Qatar and […]

Top LNG importer China re-selling more cargoes, eyes trading gains

China, the world’s top importer of liquefied natural gas (LNG), is increasingly re-selling some of the super-chilled fuel to other Asian buyers as it looks to profit from price swings. Armed with a growing portfolio […]

Exclusive: US probes 30 ship managers for suspected Russia oil sanctions violations

WASHINGTON, Nov 13 (Reuters) – The U.S. Treasury Department has sent notices to ship management companies requesting information about 100 vessels it suspects of violating Western sanctions on Russian oil, according to a source who has […]

PG&E files extension to keep Diablo Canyon operational

Pacific Gas & Electric has officially filed its relicensing application with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to extend operation at the Diablo Canyon power plant for another 20 years. The multi-year process will not hinder the […]

Oil forecasters predict Saudi Arabia, Russia to extend 1 MMbpd production cut into 2024

(Bloomberg) – As oil prices languish near a three-month low, forecasters are already predicting that Saudi Arabia won’t sit idle. The OPEC+ leader is likely to extend its 1 MMbpd production cut — introduced over […]

 

Highlights of the Podcast

00:00 – Intro
02:46 – China LNG deals come at an environmental cost
05:08 – Top LNG importer China re-selling more cargoes, eyes trading gains
07:23 – Exclusive: US probes 30 ship managers for suspected Russia oil sanctions violations
09:27 – PG&E files extension to keep Diablo Canyon operational
12:59 – Markets Update
14:09 – Oil forecasters predict Saudi Arabia, Russia to extend 1 MMbpd production cut into 2024
18:56 – Outro

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Video Transcription edited for grammar. We disavow any errors unless they make us look better or smarter.

Michael Tanner: [00:00:14] What is going on? Everybody. Welcome to another edition of the Daily Energy News Beat Stand up here on this gorgeous Tuesday, November 14th, 2023. As always, I’m your humble correspondent, Michael Tanner, coming to you from an undisclosed location here in Dallas, Texas, joined by the executive producer of the show, the purveyor of the show and the director, publisher of the world’s greatest website, Energy News Beat Stuart Turley, my man. How are we doing today? [00:00:36][21.5]

Stuart Turley: [00:00:37] It’s a beautiful day in the neighborhood, just having a barrel of fun. [00:00:39][2.1]

Michael Tanner: [00:00:40] Absolutely. We have incredible show for you guys lined up, so we’ll waste no time and dive right in Our headlines for today. China LNG deal comes at an environmental cost. Well, as I would say, we’ll do so. We’ll see what is going on with these LNG deals in China. Of course, there’s going to be an environmental cost. The question is what will it be? And and all of that. Next up, top LNG importer China re selling more cargoes in ISE trading gains. So nice little to Chinese stories up there for us exclusive. Next up there’s an exclusive. According to Reuters, U.S. probes 30 ship managers for suspected Russian oil sanctions violation. Oh, this is a little spicy specifically considering this is going on in the U.S. those dual cover, everything that’s going on with those Russian sanctions. Next up, PG and E files extension to keep Diablo Canyon operational there in our favorite state of California. We’ve got a few California stuff coming up here considering we’re to be talking about China. But they look to keep Diablo Canyon operational. So Stu will cover what that looks like. He’ll then toss it over to me. I’ll quickly cover what happened in the overall markets today. Oil up a little bit, mainly off the back of a new forecast that came out of some big banks. So I’ll cover that. We do have a small little M&A deal. Macquarie sources who actually recently IPO’d about four weeks ago, is actually now picking up Paloma Partners, some Anadarko Basin and stuff, really targeting the Oswego formation. So we’ll do a quick overview of the prospectus and what that deal looks like and what to expect from Mark, and then we’ll let you guys get on out of here, get back to work and start your Tuesday. Appreciate everybody who’s checking us out. And before we dive into the show, as always, guys, stories and analysis you’re about to ears brought to you by world’s greatest website, EnergyNewsBeat.com. Check us out again. That’s www.energynewsbeat.com Stu and the team do an excellent job curating that making sure it up to speed with everything you need to know about the oil and gas business. Check us out Dashboard.EnergyNewsBeat.com. It’s our data news combo product We love that. Email the show [email protected] check out the description for all the links and articles that we are about to cover. I’m out of breathe tho Stu. Where do you want to begin? [00:02:43][123.6]

Stuart Turley: [00:02:44] Hey, let’s start with our buddies over there in China. China LNG deal comes at an environmental cost. Okay, this is kind of funny. Actually, Michael, just before I get into this, think about it. LNG is gas. Liquefaction of natural gas goes to a ship. That ship then chugs around the world and then gets declassified and then put into pipes. So let’s there’s a lot of transportation going on with that natural gas. Chinese gas importers have increased long term contracts with both Qatar and the U.S. by 50% since 2020 to both contracts 40 million tons per year. That is a lot of LNG traveling around the oceans. Here’s where it gets pretty wild. It shot up 72,000 and 800 million cubic meters. Wow. They are expected to contract LNG supply for more than 100 mtpa by 2026. That’s nuts. Let’s come in here. The CO2 emissions. This is a quote down here from a carbon brief report. China’s CO2 emissions are still increasing and we have returned to record levels. Really? It’s because all them coal plants that they’re putting in. [00:04:11][87.3]

Michael Tanner: [00:04:12] Exactly. I love this. This quote by LNG analyst Rob Rozanski. He’s from the Global Energy Monitor. I mean, this guy really gets paid to dig to give quotes like this. Switching from coal to natural gas probably improves local air quality, but gas fired power still produces harmful emissions linked to health impacts and premature deaths. I swear that guy got paid a salary to say that quote, That’s unbelievable. Sign me up still. [00:04:36][24.7]

Stuart Turley: [00:04:37] Oh, absolutely. And then factoring in the entire LNG lifecycle with methane gas leaks through the entire cycle, LNG chain and since methane is such a powerful greenhouse gas emitter, LNG has an outsized climate impact. That was from Rozanski. I got tickled at this one produce locally. You don’t have to ship around the world and become energy independent. Yep. [00:05:04][26.8]

Michael Tanner: [00:05:04] Now, I mean this I think is a good segway to this next article. China on now becoming the largest importer of LNG. It looks like they’re doing some crazy stuff with. [00:05:13][9.4]

Stuart Turley: [00:05:15] They’re doing the old shell game on this bad dog. Chinese customs data. There’s some big numbers in here. Michael shows that they reloaded. 617,000 metric tons of imported LNG during the nine months of this year compared with the 576,000 tons. And here’s where it gets funny. It comes down into here. We need to pull all the levers when it comes to managing market swings, says Zheng Yoi Bless you. Pieces galore, Pcci, global head of LNG, told Reuters. Here it comes down into here. China’s LNG receiving capacity is expected to expand 30% to nearly 182 million tonnes annually by 2025 from 139 million tonnes this year. Now here’s where it gets a little funny is that they’re trading gas shipments and I think that this is actually a let me find the quote numbers in here. South Korea has been taking 27% of China’s reloads and it’s even been going to Europe. I’m trying to find where that number it was buried in here. Anyway, China is getting the orders and then shipping them off somewhere else. [00:06:39][84.2]

Michael Tanner: [00:06:40] Well, because as as as Zheng Yao, the global head of LNG, pointed out, you know, this is using these financial derivatives and developing infrastructure like regasification terminals and underground storage, help offset market volatility and improve overall supply. So they’re doing things that, quite frankly, the U.S. should be doing, which was using their massive amount of infrastructure to obtain energy security at home. So as much as I’d love to hate China for this, they’re doing it in order to keep energy prices low at home. So. [00:07:12][31.4]

Stuart Turley: [00:07:12] Oh, absolutely. [00:07:13][0.3]

Michael Tanner: [00:07:13] You know, don’t hate the player, hate the game. [00:07:15][1.4]

Stuart Turley: [00:07:16] When they’re playing the game. Oh, that was air. Yeah. Okay, let’s go to the next one. Coming around the corner, we got our buddies over in Russia. Exclusive U.S. probes 30 ship managers for suspected Russian oil sanctions. Really, the Biden administration, the U.S. Treasury Department has sent notices to these ship managers. I don’t think anything is going to happen out of this. I got tickled out of it because the ship management companies in 30 countries were aimed at restricting oil revenues to Moscow as a punishment. They haven’t done anything to Iran. They haven’t done anything here. At last month, this imposed sanctions of owners of two tankers. They carried Russian oil priced above the cap. Okay, Michael, let me hold my breath for as long as this matters. Okay. Thank you very much. I mean, the only. [00:08:12][56.5]

Michael Tanner: [00:08:12] Thing I have to say here is is okay, I’m with you. We have these. We don’t enforce sanctions, but now we are trying to at least enforce them a little bit. I mean, your realistic was we don’t enforce sanctions. Why have sanctions? I’m with you. Sanctions don’t work. But if you’re going to have sanctions, you might as well enforce them at least are trying here. [00:08:31][18.6]

Stuart Turley: [00:08:31] And I love this the by enforcing a rely on ghost fleet of aging tankers, there’s no way they can touch that. My ghost fleet I mean, you know, it’s it’s not going to happen. Okay you shrinkage. There’s no way they can even enforce it. How do you how do you touch a ghost? Right. [00:08:53][21.6]

Michael Tanner: [00:08:53] So have you. There I am with you. If if if the way to cut this out is get rid of the Dark Fleet, then you’re in trouble because you have to be able to do that. It’s literally called the Dark Fleet for a reason. It operates somewhat off the grid. Now, you know, this article does point out that this is a routine step. They’ve really sent a notice that they’re intending to investigate. So it’s more a quest, a quest or and a request for information. So will anything happen out of this? I don’t know. Is could be more hand-waving to say, look, we’re even enforcing our sanctions and then they end up not know. [00:09:22][29.3]

Stuart Turley: [00:09:23] There’s no way they can. Anyway, let’s go to PG in Air Buddies over there, a PG and a PG, and he files an extension to keep Diablo Canyon operational. I find it funny that this was filed when President Z from China has come in. Oh, a miss producer. Can you fly in this thing? Here, let me get the ah, I found this on Twitter and I found it very interesting. This is from I want to give a Chuck Cohen a shout out and it’s before Z. And this is in San Francisco with the homeless. You know, you see the normal homeless after they ran through like goons beating the homeless and cleaning them up, just like in Princess Bride when they went, I need my goon squad to clean their. Everything they did. Okay, now, this is going to be the same thing, Michael. Here they are. They have lousy energy policies. President G shows up, and they’re going to add 20 years to Diablo Canyon. When Michael, you and I were covering it two years ago, they were shutting it down. All we have to do is get President z to tour the united states. Chicago would be cleaned up. New York would be cleaned up. This would be huge. I’m a G. Fan. All of a sudden, since he can get California cleaned up just by showing up this multiyear Diablo Canyon is just unbelievable. PG And he’s committed to answering the state’s call to ensure continued operation at the facility and safely delivered affordable, reliable and clean energy, said Patty Pope in a press release. She has to be our Person of the Week. [00:11:15][111.9]

Michael Tanner: [00:11:15] Yeah, I mean, you have to remember, for all of the flaws that we are forced down our throat from Diablo Canyon. Oh, it’s so bad. It’s so bad. It’s doing 10% of the state’s electrical supply is nothing to sneeze at. [00:11:27][11.4]

Stuart Turley: [00:11:27] No, it’s not. And it’s delivering less carbon than all of the oil that’s coming in from China’s wells out of the rainforest 24 hours a day, seven days a week, 365 rain or shine. I mean, I love me and you know. [00:11:46][19.4]

Michael Tanner: [00:11:47] You love it. And we do need we just need to take a tour of the United States. And it had me tickled. And then did you see I mean, not to sidetrack, but I saw a clip today of Newsom saying, well, hey, I know a lot of you think we just cleaned up the streets because President Gee is here and he’s like, wow. It’s true. It’s true. But we also did it because it was just he straight up just left. He admitted. [00:12:11][24.2]

Stuart Turley: [00:12:11] It. Well, did you do you remember when Biden made his first 15 minute drive by at the at the border? The border town was a wreck. They did the same thing. They brought the Princess Bride goon squad through, cleaned it up. You couldn’t find an illegal immigrant to save your life around the goon squad. And President Biden walked around with his bag. It depends under his arm, looking around, going, There’s no border crisis. Oh, just bring Biden and Z on a world tour around the U.S. and we would have no problem. [00:12:49][37.2]

Michael Tanner: [00:12:49] A world tour around the U.S.. I absolutely love it. Absolutely. Have you got anything else for us? [00:12:55][5.8]

Stuart Turley: [00:12:55] No. Biden would think he was on a world tour because he got out of the White House. [00:12:59][3.5]

Michael Tanner: [00:12:59] That’s a good point. We’ll go ahead and pivot, guys, to finance S&P 500, only down about a 10th of a percentage point. NASDAQ tumbles about 3/10 of a percentage point. Crude oil trades up about a you know, about a percent and a half sitting at 7852, mainly off the back of a new oil forecast. This comes at the hands of UBS, a UBS, FP, Eurasia and RBC Capital Markets. They really they come out and say that the OPEC leaders expected to extend its cuts by a million barrels, which were introduced last summer, and that will extend into next year. Here’s the quote from the bank leading it. Commerzbank Carsten Fritz Extension quote, now is very probable given that the oil market would likely otherwise. We’re seeing a high supply serve us in the first half of the year. Reason why I point this out is the fact that the reason why still we’re going to go ahead and actually keep these cuts okay, is because we’re now nervous that there’s going to be a, quote, supply surplus. I don’t know if that’s the bad signal before everything, but they’re saying there’s a supply shortage or a supply surplus. Where there goes that, where’s that hundred dollar oil prediction that if you’re telling me a million barrels a day production cut from OPEC is the only thing keeping us from an insane surplus? And where we are at now, still, I’m nervous. That makes me nervous. So right now they could be seeing something we’re not seeing. They could you know, again, there’s a lot that goes into this. I’d be remiss to say that that Saudi Energy minister Prince Abbes Salam insisted this week that global oil demand remains healthy, blaming Brant crude slide to $80 a barrel, a ploy by speculators. You know, he is right. World inventories still are tight. But this is interesting. This is the first time I’ve heard somebody come out and say the only reason we’re not in a surplus is because of these cuts. Spicy stew. [00:14:50][110.3]

Stuart Turley: [00:14:50] I’m telling you, I I’m not worried about it. I think we’re going to see high prices because demand, even with a global recession coming around the corner, demand will still be there. [00:15:01][11.1]

Michael Tanner: [00:15:02] Fair enough. Fair enough. I just I find it interesting that we’ve at least got a group of banks coming out and saying the opposite of what we would hear every day from Goldman Sachs. Well, quickly, covers do the the latest deal. I love the headline Mark Natural Resources adds a creative acquisition in Anadarko Basin. A creative quite possibly is my favorite I word. I’ll read you the headline here. Mock Natural Resources aside, in agreement with Paloma Partners, which is a and cap backed Port Co and they’ve gone ahead and acquired them for total cash consideration of about $815 million. Mark Natural Resources guys is led by Tom Ward, obviously of Chesapeake and the multiple different iterations out of that. Tom Ward has been I’m remember was the CEO and director over at Chesapeake for all those years back before Aubrey McClendon left. He then went over to Sandridge, also, then jumped over. Where else did he go? He went to another company. I forget it was Sandridge it then and another company. And now he’s here. Mark Resources. They actually just recently, about four, four or five weeks ago IPO’d and went ahead and turn their IPO cash into an eight $815 million position here by taking out plum partners they basically are acquiring about 32,000 body a day but 23% oil, 51% liquids, about 31.5 million barrels of oil equivalent. Again, you’re probably looking at 25% oil, 75% liquids even. They’ve got one rig currently running with six additional wells expected to be completed between the effect date and the closing day. 62,000 acres in the Anadarko Basin. Remember, that’s up there north of Oklahoma. Are middle Oklahoma kind of stretching into that that northern part of Texas There you’ve got scattered between Canadian Grady, McLane, Caddo, Custer, Dewey, Blaine and Kingfisher Counties are. Most of that, though is in Canadian and Grady counties. High drilling I love this do high return drilling locations over 12 years of operated inventory on a one rig program. Interesting. Interesting. One place. [00:17:01][118.8]

Stuart Turley: [00:17:01] Rig program. [00:17:01][0.4]

Michael Tanner: [00:17:03] Yeah. Well, here’s here’s my thing. Here’s my the interest that I think there’s two things about One, there’s no way they’ve got 12 years of operating inventory specifically because if you go look at their prospectus, they believe it’s all in the Oswego formation, where, trust me, I’ve got some experience with the Oswego formation. Not great. Trust me, guys. Oswego not great. Ace is also super interesting. MCC plans to fund the purchase with new debt financing. They received fully committed finance group Chambers Energy Management, EOC Partners, including Macquarie Investment Funds managed by Phalen, Capital Management, McGuire and other financials to build the 825 million security alone will close in conjunction with the closing of the acquisition. So not only do you IPO, you then decide to debt finance your Oswego formation purchase in Anadarko. You what I say to that good luck you and your 12 years of high return operated inventory. Haha good luck Stuart. I have to break this down a deal the week. This is going to have to be our deal of the week because I’d love to tear this apart. [00:18:02][59.7]

Stuart Turley: [00:18:03] Let’s do it. I’m ready. [00:18:04][1.0]

Michael Tanner: [00:18:04] I think. I think we know what’s next. Do but got to crack me up You know we we were remiss to say if they didn’t if they didn’t get it necessarily for a decent discount relative to PDP relative with their PDP was only about a 1.2 lever transaction. So, I mean, yes, they financed it all with debt, but you could argue they got it for an insanely cheap price and are really only financing about 20% of that out of pocket, considering you can back some of that with PDP adding more like 40%. But the matter is I don’t like the deal off the top of my head, but as we always do, we will dive into it more and you could check that out in some new content we have coming. Probably, Hopefully we can get one of these deal the weeks out. It’s not really going be deal the week. I love how we joke it’s deal the weeks probably like deal of the month but is to have one out by the end of November launch it beginning of December and then hopefully kind of roll one out each month as we go forward. We’re going to look at this one, Stu, because this one this one gets me tickled. What else should people be worried about? This week’s Do. [00:18:57][52.9]

Stuart Turley: [00:18:58] We need deal of the minute? Come on, man. Where’s where’s your sense of adventure? [00:19:01][3.4]

Michael Tanner: [00:19:02] I wish I had that time, Stu. What should people be scared about this week? [00:19:04][2.5]

Stuart Turley: [00:19:05] Well, Cap Tate’s coming up in a couple of weeks in a range. I’m trying to confirm three different people that are attending, and I can’t wait to have some. Why? I’ll even get up at two, 3 a.m. to have live productions going on. So it’ll be kind of fun. [00:19:23][17.9]

Michael Tanner: [00:19:24] I’m 28, man. What can we say? That is scary. I’ll give you that much. I’m 28 does scare me, but. Hi, guys. Well, with that, we’re going to let you get out of here, Get back to work, start your day. We appreciate everybody for checking us out. You’re on this gorgeous Tuesday, November 14th or 13th. Excuse me for Stuart Turley. I’m Michael Tanner. We’ll see you tomorrow, folks. [00:19:24][0.0][1130.0]

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Exclusive: US probes 30 ship managers for suspected Russia oil sanctions violations

Energy News Beat

WASHINGTON, Nov 13 (Reuters) – The U.S. Treasury Department has sent notices to ship management companies requesting information about 100 vessels it suspects of violating Western sanctions on Russian oil, according to a source who has seen the documents.

The notices, sent by the Office of Foreign Assets Control to ship management companies in about 30 countries on Friday, represent the biggest step of its kind by the United States since Washington and its allies imposed a price cap aimed at restricting oil revenues to Moscow as punishment for its invasion of Ukraine, the source said.

The Treasury Department would not comment on the reporting. “While we do not confirm or comment on investigations or enforcement actions, Treasury is committed to enforcing the price cap and reducing Russia’s resources for its war against Ukraine,” a Treasury spokesperson said.

The Group of Seven rich countries, the European Union and Australia imposed a $60 per barrel cap last December on sea-borne exports of Russian crude. It bans Western companies from providing services such as transportation, insurance and financing for the oil sold above the cap.

A rally in global oil prices this year has meant much of Russian oil has traded above the cap. But U.S. officials have said the cap has still imposed extra costs on Russia by forcing it to rely on a “ghost fleet” of aging tankers, longer voyages and non-Western maritime services that have cut into the revenues it can spend on the war.

The U.S. last month also imposed sanctions on owners of two tankers that had carried Russian oil priced above the cap, the first significant enforcement of the measure.

The source with knowledge of the new notices said some of the vessels now under investigation were involved in lifting Russian oil from the Pacific port of Kozmino, while others had loaded at the port of Primorsk on the Gulf of Finland.

The U.S. Treasury had published a warning to U.S. companies in April of possible evasions of the Russian petroleum price cap of crude oil exported through the Eastern Siberia Pacific Ocean pipeline and ports in eastern Russia.

The source with knowledge of the notices said one of the companies that had received a request for information was Beks Shipping, based in Turkey. Reuters was unable to immediately reach Beks by phone for comment. The source did not identify any other companies.

Requests for information are a routine step in sanctions investigations, the source said, and are designed to gather details like information on the companies that chartered certain vessels and/or purchased the oil they carried.

The price cap has caused a shift in global markets as China and India purchase Russian oil, often at a discount. Much of that oil had traditionally gone to Europe and other markets.

Source Reuters

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Oil forecasters predict Saudi Arabia, Russia to extend 1 MMbpd production cut into 2024

Energy News Beat

(Bloomberg) – As oil prices languish near a three-month low, forecasters are already predicting that Saudi Arabia won’t sit idle.

The OPEC+ leader is likely to extend its 1 MMbpd production cut — introduced over the summer — into next year, according to analysts at UBS Group AG, FGE, Commerzbank AG and Eurasia Group. RBC Capital Markets says it looks increasingly likely.

Extension “is now very probable, given that the oil market would otherwise risk seeing a high supply surplus in the first half of next year,” Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch said in a report on Friday.

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman insisted this week that global oil demand remains healthy, blaming Brent crude’s slide to $80 a bbl on a “ploy” by speculators. World inventories are tight, and data from top consumers like the U.S., China and India appears robust.

Nonetheless, with no impact on Middle East oil exports from the conflict between Israel and Hamas, traders are shifting focus to worrying macroeconomic indicators, like the disappointing trade figures released by China this week.

Prolonged action from the Saudis, and presumably their fellow OPEC+ leader Russia, ought to limit further price downside, the analysts say. The 23-nation OPEC+ alliance is due to meet on Nov. 26.

If that doesn’t suffice, RBC’s commodities strategist Helima Croft suggests that Riyadh could squeeze supplies further to scare off short sellers. “We see no indication that the Saudi energy minister is prepared to throw in the towel,” she writes.

In fact, rising supplies from other producers like Guyana, Brazil and the U.S. may mean the kingdom’s strategy faces a very long haul: S&P Global Inc. believes the Saudis will be forced to continue the cuts all the way into 2025.

Source: Worldoil.com

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Oil and gas industry jittery as EU nears deal on methane leakage

Energy News Beat

Oil and gas producers warn the EU’s draft methane regulation will be impossible to implement in its current form as legislators near completion of draft new rules to crack down on methane leaks from fossil fuels.

Methane can leak from fossil fuel infrastructure during extraction, transport, or storage, and it has more than 80 times the global warming power of CO2 in the first 20 years after it reaches the atmosphere.

Tabled in December 2021, the EU’s draft regulation aims to reduce methane leaks from the energy sector and obliges the industry to detect and repair all methane-leaking components.

Representatives from the 27 EU member states and the European Parliament are meeting in Brussels on Tuesday (14 November) for a potentially decisive round of talks to finalise the methane rules.

But the International Association of Oil & Gas Producers (IOGP) said it was “extremely concerned” about the regulation, saying some requirements in the draft EU rules “rely on technologies that do not exist”.

“The EU Methane Regulation is at risk of being impossible to implement by the European oil and gas industry because of certain requirements that are disconnected from reality,” said Nareh Terzian, head of strategy and communications at IOGP Europe.

Campaigners, for their part, sing a different tune. “As the world’s largest natural gas importer, the EU can no longer outsource pollution while claiming climate leadership,” warns the European division of the Environmental Defense Fund, a US-based green advocacy group.

“Because it stays in our atmosphere for less time, reducing methane is one of the fastest and most efficient ways to slow global warming and stabilise our climate. But we must act now,” EDF said.

Remaining issues: imports and repair

The EU talks, scheduled on Tuesday evening, will focus on remaining issues, such as tackling methane from imported oil and gas and repairing infrastructure leakage.

But the proposed threshold for leak detection and repair, as suggested by the European Parliament, is “disproportionate and nonsensical,” Terzian warned.

Parliament says repairs must be undertaken as soon as methane leaks reach 1 gramme per hour, a threshold ten times stricter than the original proposal tabled by the European Commission.

EU member states, for their part, pulled in the opposite direction by diluting the Commission’s proposal ten times, resulting in proposed thresholds that range from 1 to 100.

The two diverge on underground and underwater thresholds, with Parliament three times as ambitious as EU countries.

The two sides must agree on an identical text before the law can be approved.

There are also tricky details to iron out, like the distancing of sensors from potential leaks or the specifications of leak-detection systems, which may determine the final shape of the EU’s methane regulation.

EU countries want detectors to be placed “as close as possible” to leaks on the surface, while underground leakage shall be detected once the methane hits the air. For all other set-ups, like drilling below the seabed, the “best commercially available” systems should be used, EU countries recommend.

This fits with the industry’s demands. Stricter obligations for sub-sea tracking, as put forward by the European Parliament, should be scrapped “because there are no technologies to quantify the leaks in a subsea environment in a consistent manner,” IOGP insists.

The draft EU law also cracks down on methane flaring and venting, where gas is either burned for safety reasons or simply released into the atmosphere.

EU countries are asking companies to be 99% efficient in their flaring, up from the 98% standard today.

The European Parliament wanted to make this increase in efficiency mandatory from 2026, forcing producers to replace all the relevant parts in their operations. This was rejected by EU countries, who argue that upgrading replacement parts should suffice.

According to IOGP, upping efficiency to 99% would require “the replacement of numerous flare stacks”, which would “very likely lead to a net negative environmental impact.”

Imports

A key battlefield during negotiations relates to EU rules on methane leakage from imported oil and gas, an issue commonplace in countries like Russia, Ukraine, or Azerbaijan with ageing infrastructure.

Two main issues are at stake: how best to track methane emissions associated with energy imports and when to begin cracking down on the worst offenders.

Repairing leaky infrastructure largely pays for itself, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA), which estimates that 260 billion cubic metres of gas were wasted in 2021 in this way – almost half of the global LNG market – at a time when the world was going through a global energy crunch.

“The bloc’s external ‘methane footprint’ is up to 8 times higher than its domestic emissions, and worse still, we know through scientific measurements that in most places, emissions are underreported,” the EDF added.

However, the 2022 energy crisis triggered by the Ukraine war is still fresh in the minds of lawmakers, who are wary of slapping sanctions on gas-exporting countries that offer an alternative to Russian gas.

Parliament wants strict reporting standards limited to the framework of the OGM 2.0 partnership – the UN’s flagship methane tracker, which counts many European companies among its members.

The industry demands this requirement be loosened, a stance similar to those adopted by countries represented in the Council of the EU.

On crackdown aspects, both the Council and Parliament agree that methane leakage thresholds should be based on previously tracked data.

But when the provisions should come into force is still debatable. Oil and gas contracts are often agreed for decades, such as those passed by Austrian companies, which are contractually obliged to receive gas deliveries from Russia until 2040.

Parliament wants the standards imposed on all oil and gas exported into the bloc from 2027. EU countries are eyeing the early 2030s for contracts agreed upon after the law enters into force, a stance similar to the demands of IOGP.

Spain, which currently holds the EU’s rotating Council presidency, tabled a compromise amendment to avoid watering down the law entirely.

In the document, seen by Euractiv, Madrid urged EU countries to give in on timing and add a special provision allowing the EU to block fossil fuel imports during “super emitting events” like pipeline explosions.

Source: Euractiv.com

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The post Oil and gas industry jittery as EU nears deal on methane leakage appeared first on Energy News Beat.

 

Uptick in LNG demand in Asia, Europe insufficient to drive prices

Energy News Beat

LAUNCESTON, Australia, Nov 13 (Reuters) – Rising demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the top importing regions of Asia and Europe hasn’t been enough to spark an increase in spot prices, which continue to languish.

The price of spot LNG for delivery to north Asia slipped to $16.50 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) in the week to Nov. 10, down from $17.00 the prior week.

The price has dropped for three consecutive weeks, but is still higher than the recent low of $13.50 per mmBtu for the seven days to Oct. 6.

The usual pattern for the spot price in Asia is a rally into the northern winter followed by a decline in the lower demand shoulder season ahead of summer.

However, prices have so far failed to get their usual seasonal bump as demand remains relatively subdued and supply is more than adequate, especially from the United States.

Asia’s imports of LNG are forecast to rise to 22.67 million metric tons in November from October’s 21.18 million, according to data compiled by commodity analysts Kpler.

The November figure will also be a slight increase from the 21.41 million metric tons from the same month last year.

Much of the increase in Asia’s imports of the super-chilled fuel comes from China, the world’s second-biggest buyer, with Kpler estimating arrivals of 5.67 million metric tons in November, up from 5.41 million in October, but still below the 6.12 million from November 2022.

Japan, the world’s biggest LNG importer, is expected to see arrivals of 5.41 million metric tons in November, unchanged from October and slightly down from 5.65 million in November last year.

India, Asia’s fourth-biggest LNG buyer, is expected to import 1.3 million metric tons in November, down from 1.85 million in October.

India is viewed as a price-sensitive buyer and the rally in the spot price from the early October low to a high of $17.90 per mmBtu in the week to Oct. 20 most likely dulled appetite for spot cargoes.

LNG imports by Asia, Europe vs spot Asia price

EUROPE GAINS

Europe’s imports of LNG are expected to rise in November to 10.12 million metric tons, up from 9.50 million in October and the strongest month since May, according to Kpler.

However, Europe’s November arrivals are expected to be below the 11.76 million metric tons from the same month in 2022.

Europe turned to LNG in the wake of the loss of much of its pipeline supply of natural gas from Russia after Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

A combination of demand destruction and high LNG imports up until May this year has resulted in Europe’s gas inventories reaching 99.6% full, meaning there is reduced need for additional LNG.

A colder-than-usual winter may drain inventories, but even in this scenario it’s unlikely Europe would have to call for additional LNG until January or February.

Europe is buying more LNG from the United States, which is able to offer lower prices than other major exporters such as Qatar because of a surplus of domestic gas output.

Europe’s imports of U.S. LNG are expected to reach 5.45 million metric tons in November, up from 3.98 million in October, and the highest since April.

More U.S. LNG is also heading to Asia, with November imports slated at 1.97 million metric tons, up from 1.83 million in October.

While there are some supply concerns such as potential new sanctions on Russia’s Arctic LNG-2 project and an electrical fault at Chevron’s Gorgon plant in Western Australia, these are not enough to alter the comfortable supply outlook.

This leaves the spot price at the mercy of demand, and while there has been some uptick in both Asia and Europe, it hasn’t been enough to drive spot prices higher.

The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters

Source: Reuters.com

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China LNG deals come at an environmental cost

Energy News Beat

China’s LNG deal-making has been gaining momentum, even amid international calls to pull back on gas development due to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and methane leakage problems.

Chinese gas importers have increased long-term LNG contracts with both Qatar and the U.S., the world’s second and third largest LNG exporters, by nearly 50 percent since late 2022. These contracts account for some 40 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) of new LNG supply, according to Reuters figures. Chinese gas importers also plan to ink more long-term LNG deals with Oman, Canada and Mozambique.

China’s LNG imports also increased markedly over the past seven years, with only a brief pull back last year. Imports shot up from 72,800 million cubic metres (mcm) in 2016 to an all-time high of 162,820 mcm in 2021. In 2022, that number dropped to some 145,249 mcm.

Going forward, Chinese companies are expected to contract LNG supply of more than 100 mtpa by 2026, representing a surplus of up to 8 mtpa that year.

China’s gas importers are also starting up or expanding trading desks in London and Singapore. This is increasing China’s power as a major secondary LNG trader on the spot market in both Asia and Europe.

China goes long on LNG

China is the world’s second largest LNG importer, after conceding the top slot to Japan in 2021 due to economic contraction from the Covid-19 pandemic. It’s also the world’s third largest gas user (both LNG and pipeline gas), after the U.S. and Russia.

By 2022, gas made up 8.49 percent of China’s primary energy mix. This marks a decline from 8.67 percent in 2021, but a steady increase over the previous ten years. Gas made up only 3.75 percent of its energy mix in 2010 and 8.11 percent in 2020.

This increase comes in large part from China’s so-called coal-to-gas switching plan to try to reduce emissions, namely in its major urban centres.

The government meanwhile has been touting its ability to lower urban CO2 emissions in some 38 cities, despite growing economies and populations in these cities for the past five years. A further 21 cities have lowered emissions as their respective economies or populations have declined over the same period.

Beijing, for example, China’s capital and one of its most polluted cities, is an example. It has seen improved air quality since at least 2013, with particulate matter (PM) 2.5 levels dropping over that time period, according to an Atlantic Council report. LNG usage played a large part in emissions reductions, in addition to more pipeline gas being used.

As such, the Chinese government has also claimed that it’s on its way to reach over-all peak emissions by 2030 and net zero by 2060. State-run news agency Xinhua said recently that China is “pressing ahead on a green development path, it has made every effort to live up to its promises.”

However, these findings have to be put in context: China has 10 cities with over 10 million people, 21 cities with over five million residents, and a staggering 145 cities with over a million people. Its top three most populated cities are: Shanghai (24.5 million people), Beijing, (22.5 million) and Guangzhou, (19.8 million).

Moreover, while emissions in several Chinese cities have dropped, the country’s total emissions continued to spike over roughly the same time period, increasing from 10,011 million metric tons (MMT) in 2017 to 11,472 MMT in 2021.

“China’s CO2 emissions are still increasing and have returned to record levels,” a Carbon Brief report said. Emissions grew 10 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2023, rising approximately 1 percent above the record levels seen in 2021, it added. These emissions spikes come as the country opened up after more than two years of on-and-off again strict Covid-19 lockdowns over much of the country.

Climate impact

Rob Rozansky, an LNG analyst at Global Energy Monitor, told Gas Outlook that “switching from coal to gas power probably improves local air quality, but gas-fired power still produces harmful emissions linked to health impacts and premature deaths.”

The problem with gas is that it still emits at least half of the CO2 as does coal when used in power production. Moreover, methane leaks occur at every part of the gas value chain.

This includes from the well-head, during transportation along pipelines, at power plants, and also in the homes and businesses where gas is burned. Added to the fray, methane is more than 25 times as potent as CO2 at trapping heat in the atmosphere, according to U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) analysis.

Rozansky added that GHG emissions reductions from coal-to-LNG switching in China “are probably light at best, while a fleet of new LNG-fired power plants, built to operate for decades, would be out of step with international climate goals.”

Factoring in the entire LNG life cycle, and with methane gas leaks throughout the entire LNG supply chain and since methane is such a powerful GHG emitter, LNG has “an outsized climate impact,” Rozansky explained.

Moreover, the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) recent update to its Net Zero by 2050 scenario found that gas consumption for the power sector should begin to decline this decade, and that oil and gas consumption combined should be 20% lower by 2030 than it is today.

Source: Gasoutlook.com

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The post China LNG deals come at an environmental cost appeared first on Energy News Beat.

 

ENB # 151 Steve Reese How will we survie the energy crisis? You would be surprised.

Energy News Beat

Steve Reese is the CEO of Reese Consulting and Reese Training and has significantly impacted the natural gas market for decades. He worked on over 5% of the United States’ natural gas market through his auditing, training classes, and consulting firm.

We need training for the next generation, and his newest projects with exporting LNG to Germany is critical for energy security for both countries.

Please sit back and enjoy listening to my friend and fellow Okie. Steve, thanks for stopping by the podcast. I am looking forward to NAPE!

Also connect with Steve on his LinkedIn HERE: https://www.linkedin.com/in/steve-reese-185a86/

Reese Consulting HERE: https://www.reeseenergyconsulting.com/

00:00 – Intro

01:31 – Steve Reese, CEO of Reese Consulting and Reese Training, shares his 42-year background in the natural gas industry.

04:21 – Reese transitions to online natural gas courses with Energy Rogue, offering affordable pricing and subscriptions, prioritizing youth education, and addressing green energy trends through monthly Q&A sessions.

09:58 – Explores the energy industry’s shift to LNG, challenges in offshore wind projects, the positive role of natural gas, and Texas’ focus on diverse energy sources, highlighting pragmatic hybrid solutions.

15:46 – Launches American Gas Partners, a German-owned fund supporting U.S. shale gas export to Europe, addressing economic challenges from high electricity prices in Germany, emphasizing LNG’s environmental and economic benefits.

21:50 – Highlights American Gas Partners’ unique investment opportunity, a German-owned LNG infrastructure fund with dual benefits of returns and lower gas prices for European end-users, especially in affected sectors like fertilizer production.

24:33 – Discusses LNG ventures, emphasizing economic and environmental advantages of U.S. shale gas in Europe and noting a shift in investment perspectives within the energy industry.

27:32 – Contact information for Steve Reese.

29:06 – Outro

 

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The post ENB # 151 Steve Reese How will we survie the energy crisis? You would be surprised. appeared first on Energy News Beat.