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The Lime Rock and Venice wells were brought safely online in late December 2023 and have achieved an initial combined gross production rate of over 18,500 boed, averaging about 45% oil and 55% liquids. The estimated combined gross ultimate recoverable resources of these two discoveries are approximately 20 to 30 MMboe. In addition to Talos’s net production, the company will collect volume-based production handling fees (“PHA fees”) from non-operated partners in both discoveries.

The Lime Rock prospect was acquired in Lease Sale 256 in November 2020 and is approximately seven miles from the Ram Powell facility. The Venice prospect was identified within the existing Ram Powell unit acreage approximately three miles from the Ram Powell facility. Talos initially held a 100% working interest in both prospects before successful farm-downs to achieve its targeted 60% working interest.

Talos President and Chief Executive Officer Timothy S. Duncan commented, “The safe start-up of Lime Rock and Venice in less than 12 months is an extraordinary achievement by our operations team, which included new subsea installation and facility upgrade work. These prospects exemplify our strategy of utilizing purchased infrastructure and seismic imaging technology expertise to identify new and valuable investment opportunities to grow reserves and production to meet growing energy demand.”

“With these production additions, the Ram Powell facility is expected to achieve the highest combined sustainable production rate since approximately 15 years ago. Demonstrating our ability to successfully leverage existing infrastructure also provides a blueprint for future optimization, development, and exploration opportunities around our existing and potential new assets.”

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​Communities in southern Maine are collaborating on a pilot program that aims to help residents overcome cost and logistical barriers to accessing climate-friendly home energy upgrades.

Five towns and two regional nonprofits received a three-year, $800,000 grant from the U.S. Department of Energy’s Energy Efficiency and Conservation Block Grant Program in late 2023. The budget for the program is now being finalized for launch this summer or fall.

The grant will fund AmeriCorps members to provide one-on-one energy coaching for residents. These “navigators” will help identify the best cost- and emissions-cutting retrofits for each home, and will help residents apply for a range of accompanying tax credits, rebates and other incentives. The grant also includes about $500,000 to directly offset residents’ remaining costs.

“The pilot program, as we envision it, will remove the up-front capital barrier and help homeowners navigate the process with confidence,” said Kendra Amal, the town manager in Kittery, one of the towns participating in the grant. “We expect to see a significant increase in the number of households able to make energy-reducing and cost-saving improvements to their homes through this program.”

Kittery joins the towns of Kennebunk, Kennebunkport, Wells and Ogunquit in working with Southern Maine Planning and Development Commission on the project, along with York County Community Action Corporation. SMPDC will host the AmeriCorps navigators, while the county action agency will set up a new Southern Maine Energy Fund to help pay for projects and will provide energy services staffers to oversee actual retrofits and installations.

“We’ve heard from all of our communities that home weatherization and heat pumps are really important, but they didn’t feel like they could do it themselves,” said SMPDC sustainability coordinator Karina Graeter. “(This program) provides the opportunity for these smaller communities that don’t have their own sustainability staff or their own capacity to undertake big outreach and education efforts … to try and address the energy issues that have been shown to be really important to the community.”

Maine relies more on home heating oil than any other state, and residential emissions are the state’s top contributor to climate change after transportation. In recent years, Maine has been nationally lauded for successful efforts to incentivize efficient electric heat pumps as a replacement for oil. State heat pump and weatherization rebates can total thousands of dollars per project, especially for lower-income people, and federal tax credits can offer thousands more.

But even hefty incentives may not cover everything, and energy bill savings from these upgrades can take months or years to materialize — meaning many people still can’t afford remaining project costs, said Amal and Graeter.

During Kittery’s climate action planning process, the town discovered that many residents weren’t taking advantage of state energy rebates, Amal said. And costs were not the only problem; Amal said residents also cited “the confusing and often rigid process required to qualify” for incentives as another reason they chose not to pursue home efficiency or electrification work.

“There are so many great incentives out there, but they’re always sort of changing depending on what funding is available, you know, who’s running the program,” said Graeter. “Helping people navigate that requires a certain amount of skill and knowledge.”

The program’s navigators will be trained to help residents make the most of these complex offerings, she said.

The grant proposal envisions connecting with interested residents through whatever way they reach out to a participating group, whether it’s via the county agency or a town. Residents of any income would be paired with a navigator, who would answer their questions, assess their needs and provide technical assistance on designing a project with the greatest energy savings impact.

For low- and moderate-income families, the program would also provide instant rebates to offset upfront project costs. The county agency’s energy technicians would do the actual installation work on the project and follow up on other assistance options, including tax credits as needed.

In the next six months of setting up the program, Graeter said her cohort plans to seek inspiration from other regional groups — like the county agency partnering on the grant, or WindowDressers, which builds heat-saving window inserts for low-income people — to design a community engagement approach that will reach the most people.

“The idea is to have a ‘no wrong path’ sort of option for people; meeting people where they’re at in terms of their energy needs, and figuring out what assistance they need most,” she said.

The participating towns have been working toward this program for years, since initially collaborating to fund Graeter’s position at SMPDC, Graeter said. This regional approach lets them learn from each other and build on shared progress rather than duplicating effort, she said.

Amal noted that the pilot nature of the program also aims to help officials evaluate impact and potentially scale up similar efforts elsewhere in the state.

Graeter stressed that the grant doesn’t seek to replace federal energy tax credits or existing state programs offered by Efficiency Maine, the quasi-governmental agency that oversees Maine’s energy incentives.

“Our focus is really to increase access to those programs, and then provide some additional financial support to help bridge the gap between current incentives and the true cost of these upgrades, which is always shifting and changing,” she said.

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The vast differences between industries.

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET.

Earlier today, we discussed how job openings, voluntary quits, layoffs & discharges, and new hires showed that power in the labor market has shifted from workers back to employers.

Now we look at job openings by industry for November, based on data released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics as part of its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), which is based on a large survey of employers and not on internet job postings.

We’ll start with construction, because that’s the good news, and we’ll follow up with information, an industry that includes some tech and social media companies, where job openings collapsed.

And then we’ll look at some the major industry categories in between. All charts are the three-month moving averages (3MMA), which iron out the month-to-month ups and downs and show the trends. We also compare the 3MMA of November job openings to the same period in 2019.

Construction (8 million employees in all types of construction) is looking for you!  We discussed the eyepopping boom in factory construction in December. Investment in buildings and infrastructure has been growing. Growth in single-family residential construction has resurged in the second half of 2023. And the labor market for construction workers is tight.

Job openings 3MMA: +28,000
To 434,000 openings, highest in the data
From 2019: +44%

“Information,” a small sector with only 3 million employees, includes companies engaged in web search portals, data processing, data transmission, information services, software publishing, motion picture and sound recording, broadcasting including over the Internet, and telecommunications.

The three-month moving average has dropped so sharply in 2023 that in November, it was 20% below the same period in 2019!

Job openings 3MMA: -23,000
To 127,000 openings.
From 2019: -18%

Professional and business services, a huge category with 22 million employees. The category includes Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services; Management of Companies and Enterprises; Administrative and Support, and Waste Management and Remediation Services.

This industry category includes some of the tech and social media companies. Others are in the “information” sector or in other categories.

The job market in this sector has loosened up some but still remains tight, with job openings still 35% higher than in the same period of 2019:

Job openings 3MMA: -43,000
To 1.64 million openings
From 2019: +35%.

Manufacturing, 13 million employees. The labor shortages have vanished, but the job market remains fairly tight. Compared to 2019, job openings were up by 36%.

Job openings 3MMA: -19,000
To 570,000 openings
From 2019: +36%

Healthcare and social assistance, 21 million employees:

Job openings 3MMA: -32,000
To 1.71 million openings
From 2019: +49%.

Leisure and hospitality, 16 million employees:

Job openings 3MMA: -30,000
To 1.25 million openings
From 2019: +25%.

Retail trade, 15.5 million employees. About half of this sector has been under relentless pressure from ecommerce for years. The other half (gas stations, auto dealers, and grocery stores) have largely weathered the onslaught of ecommerce.

Job openings 3MMA: -20,000
To 596,000 openings
From 2019: -26%.

State & local government, mostly in Education, 20 million employees. You can still see the signs of some teacher shortages:

Job openings 3MMA: -13,000
To 829,000 openings
From 2019: +27%.

Wholesale trade, 6 million employees.

Job openings 3MMA: +12,000
To 233,000 openings
From 2019: +15%.

Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation, 2.6 million employees.

Job openings 3MMA: -1,000
To 179,000 openings
From 2019: +38%.

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People quit quitting, so fewer job openings to fill, fewer people to hire, less churn. Good for employers, not so good for workers. Layoffs & discharges dropped below Good-Times lows.

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET.

Job openings edged down in November, but remained relatively high, workers quit quitting maybe because they’re worried about their jobs, and with voluntary quitting back to normal, the churn in the workforce at companies is also back to normal: with fewer people quitting, there are fewer vacant slots that need to be filled, so fewer job openings and fewer hires. Layoffs and discharges fell sharply in November and are well below the Good-Times lows before the pandemic. A labor market that isn’t quite back to normal yet, but is getting there, as the pandemic-era churn that had shifted power from employers to workers is subsiding.

Job openings dipped by 62,000 in November from October, after the drop of 498,000 in the prior month, to 8.79 million openings, the lowest since March 2021. Openings were still 27% higher than in November 2019, according to data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics today as part of its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), based on a large survey of employers and not on internet job postings.

The three-month moving average, which irons out the month-to-month ups and downs and shows the trend, fell by 236,000 in November, after having stabilized in the prior three months:

People quit quitting. The layoff headlines since mid-2022 scared workers into hanging on to their jobs, and fewer of them went chasing after the greener grass on the other side of the fence. There is a lot of anecdotal reporting about workers who don’t want to return to the office biting the bullet and returning to the office at least a few days a week, rather than quitting to find a remote job.

Voluntary quits fell by 157,000 to 3.47 million, after having stabilized over the prior four months. The three-month moving average (3MMA) fell by 64,000 to 3.58 million. Quits are now back in the range where they had been during the Good Times before the pandemic.

Fewer quits translates into fewer newly vacant slots – so fewer job openings – and employers have to hire fewer people to fill those job openings – so fewer hires – and it means less churn and a more stable workforce, and that’s good for employers, but not so good for workers. It’s a sign that power in the labor market has shifted from workers back to employers.

Layoffs and discharges dropped by 116,000 in November to 1.53 million, and are in a historically very low range.

Businesses across the US fire workers for a variety of reasons all the time. When discharges are done for economic reasons, they’re “layoffs,” and when they’re done for other reasons, such as performance, they’re “discharges.” During the Good Times in 2014-2019, layoffs and discharges averaged 1.8 million per month. That was just part of a normal labor market. During the Great Recession, at the peak, layoffs and discharges exceeded 2.5 million a month. In March 2020, they exceeded 13 million.

The three-month moving average dropped by 52,000 to 1.59 million, well below the low points in the years before the pandemic:

New hires… With fewer people quitting and fewer people getting fired or laid off, there were fewer vacant slots to fill, and so hires dropped further. Hires in November fell by 363,000 to 5.46 million.

The three-month moving average fell by 128,000 to 5.73 million, in the middle of the range of 2018 and 2019.

This is another sign that the incredible churn in the labor market during the pandemic has subsided and that demand for labor has returned to normal-ish levels, and that workers no longer enjoy the power they used to have a couple of years ago.

But job openings vary widely by industry, surging to a record in construction, dropping in most other sectors, and plunging in information (a sector that encompasses many tech and social media companies). We will post this by-industry detail shortly, stay tuned.

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The online database, Trading Economics, indicates that in June 2023 the global price for lithium had risen to $59,212 per tonne. But by November it had fallen by more than half to $27,218. Prices have continued to plummet. As of December 31, lithium was selling for just $18,242 per tonne.

How could this be? Electric vehicle (EV) mandates established in many rich developed countries over the past few years had analysts predicting that if targets were actually met, the world would need 388 new lithium mines by 2035. A Fraser Institute study suggests that getting enough mines built to satisfy all the mandates will be a problem. It takes from seven to ten years to get a mine financed, approved and built.

Canada’s Environment Minister, Steven Guilbeault is certainly trying to drive up demand for lithium. The federal government’s Zero Emissions Vehicle Standard insists that by 2030, 20% of all new passenger cars, SUVs and light trucks sold in Canada must be greenhouse gas emissions free. New battery plants are being handsomely subsidized in Canada to power all of the new electric cars that will presumably be required. With similarly aggressive mandates in Europe and US states led by California there should be heavy demand for lots of batteries and a mountain of lithium.

The most likely explanation for collapsing lithium prices is US consumers’ reluctance to embrace electric vehicles. The Economist reports that EVs accounted for just 8% of new vehicle sales in America this past year. GM was only able to sell 20,000 EVs, but it did manage to sell over half a million fossil-fueled vehicles. Disappointing demand for EVs prompted GM to shelve plans to spend $4 bn to convert one of its plants to electric pickup truck production. Ford has similarly lost enthusiasm for EVs. This past fall it decided to delay plans to invest $12bn in EV production. Companies that make lithium batteries for EVs have responded accordingly. This past fall battery plants in Georgia and Michigan laid off hundreds of employees. Fewer batteries translated into less demand for lithium.

The post Commentary – Lithium Prices: What They Tell Us About the Popularity of Electric Vehicles – Jim Warren appeared first on Energy News Beat.

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(Bloomberg) – Libya’s largest oil field halted production after protesters entered the facility, according to a person with direct knowledge of the operations.

The country’s National Oil Corp. had warned earlier that a full stoppage and a force majeure were likely if the north African country was unable to meet the demands of protesters, according to a letter from the company signed by an NOC board member and obtained by Bloomberg. A group of people had entered the field in 20 vehicles, demanding jobs, services and a new refinery, according to a letter signed by a board member at the state company.

The Sharara oil field was producing roughly 270,000 bpd on Tuesday before the protests began.

Libya’s energy facilities have been the focus of conflict since the fall of dictator Moammar Al Qaddafi in 2011, with armed factions shutting down oil production to press their political and economic demands. Operations at Sharara — run by a joint-venture between NOC with Spain’s Repsol SA, France’s TotalEnergies SE, Austria’s OMV AG and Norway’s Equinor ASA — were also stopped by protesters in July.

Continuing agitation will result in “a tumbling of exports, in addition to shaking the confidence of foreign partners and impeding efforts to stabilize production,” according to the NOC letter.

Force majeure is a legal term allowing companies not to meet their contractual obligations due to issues outside of their control.

OPEC member Libya kept production stable at around 1.2 MMbpd for most of the last year. NOC Chairman Farhat Bengdara said last month that the country is targeting at least 1.4 MMbpd by the end this year.

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When I bought my first home — a 50-year-old fixer-upper ­in a small town — I couldn’t run my hair dryer and the microwave at the same time without tripping a circuit. I had to get creative with how I used electricity; such electric use was unheard of when the house was built, let alone using a smart home system or charging an electric vehicle.

Changes in how Americans use energy are occurring even faster than we expected, for reasons we may not have even seen coming, and our electric grid is woefully unprepared to handle it. Electricity consumption has more than doubled since my first home was built, and according to a new report from Grid Strategies, it’s expected to grow 4.7% over the next five years – an increase that’s nearly double what was projected just last year.

The energy generated by renewable sources is an important part of meeting this future electricity demand cheaply. However, there are over 1,350 GW of generation waiting in U.S. interconnection queues, more than 95% of which are zero-carbon energy. The core problem with connecting these sources to the grid is a lack of transmission.

A complex network of transmission lines power our daily lives, but many of the existing lines — constructed in the 1950s and 1960s — have reached or exceeded their lifespan. To make matters more complicated, our current electric grid looks more like a patchwork quilt than a cohesive system that can efficiently transfer energy from where it’s generated to where it’s used. In order to ensure the electricity reliability that Americans have come to expect, it’s crucial that FERC and Congress put the right policies in place to accelerate buildout of high-capacity transmission lines.

More recently, headlines have focused on states’ and cities’ all-electric mandates and electric car incentives as a catalyst for growing energy consumption, but that’s just the tip of the iceberg. The U.S. is enjoying a manufacturing boom that will require significantly more energy, as well as the infrastructure to deliver it. Energy consumption from U.S. data centers is expected to double from 17 GW in 2022 to 35 GW by 2030. Furthermore, use of artificial intelligence has increased, which requires a sizable quantity of power to operate — training a single model can consume more electricity than 100 homes use in an entire year.

In parallel with increased consumption, the energy mix has shifted since the start of the century. When it comes to changes in how our energy is generated, we often think of state mandates — and this is understandable. Renewable development policy first began with a 1970’s federal law, through which progressive state requirements, called renewable portfolio standards, were levied on their in-state utilities to develop renewable resources. Relatedly, transmission development was characterized around 2011 as being for reliability, economic, or public policy purposes — it was envisioned that a line might be for one purpose or another, but that the streams would not always meet.

Fast forward a decade and the landscape is dramatically different. While state mandates continue to stimulate renewable development, they are not necessarily the dominant force. Since 2014, energy customers have voluntarily procured more than 71 GW of clean energy — with nearly 17 GW purchased last year alone. Even without the obligation of state mandates, utilities are setting their own clean energy goals, such as Xcel in North Dakota, Entergy in Arkansas, and PacifiCorp in Utah.

In its current state, the U.S. electric grid will not be able to keep up with Americans’ increasing energy consumption. However, with so many GW of renewable generation sources waiting to be connected to the grid, the solution is simple: transmission must be expanded to move this energy from where it’s created to where it’s consumed.

There are a number of policies that, if enacted, would help clear the current backlog and accelerate transmission buildout. FERC should finalize a strong regional transmission planning and cost allocation rule that requires a long-term look at the changing resource mix and load, specifies economic and reliability benefits, and creates a backstop cost allocation method. Moreover, Congress could create a transmission tax credit or reform current siting and permitting guidelines to give the federal government primary jurisdiction over regionally significant power lines.

Simply put, the needs of the grid are changing, and our energy infrastructure must change with them. If we fall any further behind, we risk leaving households and businesses across the country in the dark. America needs a grid to power America.

Source: Realclearenergy.org

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The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in May 2023 published a proposed rule that would establish new source performance standards (NSPS) and existing source performance standards (ESPS) for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from new, modified, reconstructed, and existing fossil-fuel fired electric generating units (EGUs).

The proposed rule, which EPA plans to promulgate pursuant to section 111 of the Clean Air Act (CAA), would replace the Affordable Clean Energy (ACE) Rule, which EPA proposes to repeal.

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The emission reduction requirements included in the proposed rule would be achieved through performance standards and emission guidelines based on EPA’s predictions regarding the future availability and capacity of various systems of emission reduction, including carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) and hydrogen co-firing. EGUs would be required to meet these standards in phases between 2024, when a final rule is expected, and 2038.  The proposed standards include the following:

New and reconstructed fossil-fuel fired stationary combustion turbines (primarily new natural gas-fired units) would be subject to updated NSPS for GHG emissions based on the capacity of the unit and the function it serves, with NSPS for new natural gas units based on the use of highly efficient generating practices and lower emitting fuels. Beginning in 2032, these requirements would include hydrogen co-firing, as well as CCS for higher capacity and baseload units.
Large and frequently used existing fossil fuel-fired stationary combustion turbines (primarily existing natural gas turbines larger than 300 MW with a capacity factor of greater than 50%) would be subject to emission guidelines based on either 90% capture of carbon dioxide (CO2) using CCS by 2035, or co-firing of 30% by volume low-GHG (also referred to as “green”) hydrogen beginning in 2032, and co-firing 96% by volume low-GHG hydrogen beginning in 2038.
Existing fossil fuel-fired steam generating EGUs (primarily existing coal units) would be subject to new emission guidelines starting in 2030, with the applicable standard determined by the unit’s federally-enforceable retirement date. Beginning in 2030, units retiring before 2032, and units retiring between 2032 and 2035 that commit to operate with an annual capacity factor limit of 20%, would be prohibited from increasing CO2 emission rates. Units retiring between 2032 and 2040 would be required to reduce CO2 emissions by 16% based on co-firing natural gas. Units retiring after 2040 would be required to reduce CO2 emissions by 88.4% based on CCS with 90% recapture.
Modified coal-fired units would be subject to an 88.4% reduction in CO2 emissions, based on implementation of CCS with 90% recapture, required immediately. (The proposed rule states that it does not include any revisions to EPA’s earlier new performance standards for new or reconstructed coal-fired EGUs because EPA does not anticipate construction of any such units.)

Although EPA does not propose to establish emission trading programs associated with the new GHG standards, it suggests that states may establish trading programs to ease the impact of the rule. EPA also says that states may ease the impact of the rule by setting mass-based emission limitations, to allow the CO2 reduction requirements to be met by reduced utilization. EPA will hold a virtual public hearing on the proposed rule on June 13 and 14, 2023, and has announced a 60-day public comment period on the proposed rule, ending July 24, 2023.  A final rule is expected by summer 2024.

Petitions for judicial review of the final rule may be filed within 60 days after its publication in the Federal Register. Based on recent trade press articles, the rule is expected to face widespread legal challenges in the circuit court for the District of Columbia. Among other things, commentators have opined that, if EPA issues a final rule that is consistent with the proposed version of the rule, it could be challenged at least in part because the proposed systems of emission reduction have not been “adequately demonstrated,” as required by section 111 of the CAA. In addition, the rule is viewed by some as similar to the Obama administration’s Clean Power Plan’s “generation shifting” approach that encouraged fossil retirements in favor of other sources of generation, which the Supreme Court held was too broad to be covered under Section 111’s limited authority. See West Virginia v. EPA, 142 S.Ct. 2587, 2615-2616 (2022).

The effects of the rule may begin to be felt before a final rule is issued, as EGU owners and operators face decisions regarding whether and when to retire existing fossil-fuel fired units, and how to plan for future generation capacity.

Many stakeholders are making these sorts of decisions now, and others will be forced to make these decisions in the next couple of years, as EPA accepts and considers public comments on the proposed rule, as EPA finalizes the new GHG rule, and as judicial review of the final rule proceeds. The regulatory uncertainty created by the proposed rule may be great enough to cause some operators to shutter units that otherwise would have remained available for several more years in order to provide reliable sources of electricity during the ongoing energy transition, even if EPA ultimately finalizes a rule that is less stringent than the proposed rule.

Source: Powermag.com

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